Packers' Josh Jacobs dealing with a super concerning rushing stat

Billy Heyen

Packers' Josh Jacobs dealing with a super concerning rushing stat image

Josh Jacobs was an absolute star in his first season with the Green Bay Packers.

But he hasn't quite run it back the same way so far through three weeks of the 2025 season.

Jacobs ranks dead last in the NFL in rush yards over expected this season, according to Packers writer Wendell Ferreira.

The stat, created by the NFL's Next Gen Stats, accounts for the offensive line and the defense along with the space on the field on a given play to assign an expected value to each run.

And right now, Jacobs has run for negative-53 rushing yards relative to expectation.

That's, um, not good.

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In more traditional stats, Jacobs has 58 carries for 180 yards and two touchdowns.

His 3.1 yards per carry is well off his 4.4 ypc from last season, and much of that has to do with Jacobs not making the most of his runs.

The Packers did just have a tough matchup against the Cleveland Browns in Week 3 that didn't help Jacobs' numbers.

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It's still concerning, though. Jacobs averaged just 3.5 yards per carry in his last season with the Raiders in 2023 and was a bit of an uncertain commodity in free agency after that season. The Packers gave him a shot, and he paid off with 1,329 yards and 15 touchdowns.

But there's always a chance Jacobs was still on the regression timeline a bit. The Packers will be hoping he turns it around soon.

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Billy Heyen

Billy Heyen is a freelance writer with The Sporting News. He is a 2019 graduate of Syracuse University who has written about many sports and fantasy sports for The Sporting News. Sports reporting work has also appeared in a number of newspapers, including the Sandusky Register and Rochester Democrat & Chronicle