The AFC's marquee Week 4 matchup brings us a clash between two championship-caliber teams looking to right their ships. The Baltimore Ravens travel to Kansas City to face the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium, with both teams entering at 1-2 and desperate for momentum. This game features two of the league's most electrifying quarterbacks in Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes, setting up what could be the game of the week.
The Ravens arrive with an explosive offense that's been putting up video game numbers, averaging 37.0 points per game behind Jackson's dual-threat abilities and Derrick Henry's punishing ground attack. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs are still searching for their offensive identity after a sluggish start, averaging just 20.0 points per game. With both teams coming off close losses and playoff implications already on the line this early in the season, expect fireworks in Kansas City.
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Ravens vs Chiefs Betting Odds
This conference clash is scheduled for Sunday, September 28, with kickoff set for 4:25 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium. The game will be played in typical late September conditions at one of the NFL's most intimidating venues.
- Moneyline: Ravens (-148) | Chiefs (+126)
- Spread: Ravens -2.5 (-120) | Chiefs +2.5 (+100)
- Total: Over/Under 48.5 (Over -115, Under -105)
Betting odds courtesy of FanDuel.
The NFL betting market shows respect for Baltimore's hot offensive start, making them road favorites despite playing in one of the toughest environments in football. The narrow 1.5-point spread reflects just how evenly matched these teams are, with the Chiefs getting slight home field value as underdogs for one of the rare times in recent memory.
Ravens vs Chiefs: Statistical Breakdown and Key Matchups
The most striking difference between these teams lies in their offensive production. Baltimore's attack has been unstoppable through three games, putting up 37.0 points per game compared to Kansas City's more modest 20.0 points per game. Interestingly, the yardage totals are much closer, with the Ravens generating 330.7 total yards per game to the Chiefs' 315.7.
Both teams rely heavily on their ground games, with Baltimore rushing for 122.7 yards per game and KC managing 108.0 yards on the ground. The Ravens have been more efficient in crucial situations, converting 44.1% of their third downs and 54.5% of red zone opportunities. The Chiefs trail slightly at 41.5% on third down and 50.0% in the red zone.
The defensive battle will center around Kansas City's pass rush versus Baltimore's protection. The Chiefs have generated 7.0 sacks through three games compared to just 3.0 for the Ravens' defense. This sets up a fascinating chess match between Jackson's mobility and Kansas City's ability to create pressure.
Both quarterbacks are coming off tough performances in close losses, making this a potential bounce-back spot for two players who rarely stay down for long. The team that can establish rhythm early and protect their quarterback will have a significant advantage.
Ravens vs Chiefs: Best Bets and Fearless Forecast
Our Fearless Forecast: This game has all the makings of an instant classic between two desperate teams with championship aspirations. The Ravens' offensive explosion early in the season can't be ignored, but playing in Arrowhead always brings out the best in Mahomes and company.
Prediction: Ravens 28, Chiefs 26
The Ravens' balanced attack and Jackson's ability to extend plays with his legs should be enough to edge out a Chiefs team still finding its offensive identity. Expect both teams to move the ball effectively, with the game likely coming down to a final drive.
Lock of the Week: Over 48.5 (-115)
With Baltimore averaging 37.0 points per game and Kansas City's offense due for a breakout at home, this total feels too conservative. The combined scoring average between these teams suggests we're looking at a shootout, especially with both defenses showing vulnerabilities early in the season. Make this pick with the FanDuel promo code offer and win a $300 bonus.
Best Player Prop: Travis Kelce Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
This number seems disrespectfully low for the Chiefs' security blanket, particularly in a game where Kansas City will need to throw to keep pace with Baltimore's explosive offense. Kelce remains Mahomes' most trusted target, and in a competitive home game, he should clear this modest total.
Ravens vs Chiefs Injury Report: Key Health Updates
Both NFL teams enter Week 4 with significant injury concerns that could impact the game's outcome. The Ravens are dealing with more troubling issues on both sides of the ball.
Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have 7 players on their injury report, with several key contributors missing practice entirely:
- T Ronnie Stanley (Ankle) - Did Not Participate In Practice
- OLB Kyle Van Noy (Hamstring) - Did Not Participate In Practice
- DL Nnamdi Madubuike (Neck) - Did Not Participate In Practice
- FB Patrick Ricard (Calf) - Did Not Participate In Practice
- DL Broderick Washington Jr. (Ankle) - Did Not Participate In Practice
- TE Isaiah Likely (Foot) - Limited Participation In Practice
Analysis: The potential absence of starting tackle Ronnie Stanley could be devastating against a Chiefs pass rush that's already generated 7.0 sacks. Losing Van Noy and Madubuike would significantly weaken a defense that needs to contain Mahomes in a hostile environment.
Kansas City Chiefs
While the Chiefs listed 13 players on their injury report, the key contributors appear healthier:
- QB Patrick Mahomes (Right Wrist) - Full Participation In Practice
- WR Xavier Worthy (Shoulder) - Full Participation In Practice
- WR Marquise Brown (Ankle) - Full Participation In Practice
- LB Nick Bolton (Rib) - Full Participation In Practice
- CB Kristian Fulton (Ankle) - Limited Participation In Practice
Analysis: The most encouraging news for Kansas City is that Mahomes and their key offensive weapons were full participants despite appearing on the report. The only concern is cornerback Kristian Fulton's ankle injury, which could impact their secondary depth against Jackson and the Ravens' passing attack. It's worth noting that they'll get a lift from the return of Xavier Worthy.
The health disparity between these teams could be a decisive factor, with the Chiefs appearing much better positioned from an injury standpoint heading into this crucial AFC showdown.