NFL mock drafts 2024: Compare latest from Mel Kiper, Daniel Jeremiah, & more experts

Jacob Camenker

NFL mock drafts 2024: Compare latest from Mel Kiper, Daniel Jeremiah, & more experts image

Football fans are counting down the weeks to the 2024 NFL Draft, and mock drafts are starting to look more and more alike across the board.

The NFL Combine and the early stages of NFL free agency are in the books, and that typically allows draft analysts a better idea of what teams need and are targeting with each of their early selections.

Some quarterback vacancies have been filled. The Falcons aren't likely to draft a quarterback early after signing Kirk Cousins, so the No. 8 pick now becomes a potential landing spot for the first defensive player in 2024.

That makes many want to focus on picks 11-13, where the Vikings, Broncos, and Raiders will all be drafting with needs at quarterback.

There isn't yet a consensus on what those teams will do. Some draft analysts have J.J. McCarthy, Bo Nix, and even Michael Penix Jr. coming off the board with those selections. Others have the teams eschewing quarterback and opting for elite talent at other positions.

As always, a few NFL writers are even trying to mix up their mocks by projecting trades that could shake up the 2024 draft altogether.

With that in mind, Sporting News is breaking down several top mock drafts with the bulk of NFL free agency in the books. Here's how several experts see the first round taking shape.

MORE NFL FREE AGENCY:
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Vinnie Iyer's mock draft (The Sporting News)

Iyer's latest mock draft was released on March 19:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Chicago Bears (from CAR)Caleb WilliamsQBUSC
2Washington CommandersDrake MayeQBNorth Carolina
3New England PatriotsJayden DanielsQBLSU
4Arizona CardinalsMarvin Harrison Jr.WROhio State
5Los Angeles ChargersMalik NabersWRLSU
6New York GiantsRome OdunzeWRWashington
7Tennessee TitansJoe AltOTNotre Dame
8Atlanta FalconsDallas TurnerEDGEAlabama
9Chicago BearsLaiatu LatuEDGEUCLA
10New York JetsTaliese FuagaOTOregon State
11Minnesota VikingsJ.J. McCarthyQBMichigan
12Denver BroncosBo NixQBOregon
13Las Vegas RaidersNate WigginsCBClemson
14New Orleans SaintsOlumuyiwa FashanuOTPenn State
15Indianapolis ColtsBrock BowersTEGeorgia
16Seattle SeahawksJared VerseEDGEFlorida State
17Jacksonville JaguarsTerrion ArnoldCBAlabama
18Cincinnati BengalsAmarius MimsOTGeorgia
19Los Angeles RamsCooper DeJeanCBIowa
20Pittsburgh SteelersJ.C. LathamOTAlabama
21Miami DolphinsByron Murphy IIDTTexas
22Philadelphia EaglesQuinyon MitchellCBToledo
23Minnesota Vikings (from HOU via CLE)Jer'Zhan NewtonDTIllinois
24Dallas CowboysJackson Powers-JohnsonGOregon
25Green Bay PackersTyler GuytonOTOklahoma
26Tampa Bay BuccaneersKool-Aid McKinstryCBAlabama
27Arizona Cardinals (from HOU)Troy FautanuGWashington
28Buffalo BillsBrian Thomas Jr.WRLSU
29Detroit LionsChop RobinsonEDGEPenn State
30Baltimore RavensJordan MorganOTArizona
31San Francisco 49ersGraham BartonOTDuke
32Kansas City ChiefsKingsley SuamataiaOTBYU

Noteworthy: 

— Five quarterbacks go within the top 12 picks, as the Vikings and Broncos take J.J. McCarthy and Bo Nix, respectively. Neither team made a significant quarterback addition during free agency (no, Sam Darnold does not count), so each team considered a signal-caller in a loaded class is reasonable.

— Drake Maye is ahead of Jayden Daniels in this mock, albeit by one pick. The UNC and LSU products are believed to be competing to be the Commanders' No. 2 overall pick.

— The offensive slant of the 2024 NFL Draft is undeniable. Five quarterbacks, four receivers, and 11 offensive linemen are included within the top 32 selections. Tight end Brock Bowers brings the total number of offensive players selected in the first round to 21. 

MORE: NFL Draft big board of top 125 players

Mel Kiper's mock draft (ESPN)

Kiper's latest mock draft was released on March 19:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Chicago Bears (from CAR)Caleb WilliamsQBUSC
2Washington CommandersJayden DanielsQBLSU
3New England PatriotsDrake MayeQBNorth Carolina
4Arizona CardinalsMarvin Harrison Jr.WROhio State
5Los Angeles ChargersMalik NabersWRLSU
6New York GiantsRome OdunzeWRWashington
7Tennessee TitansJoe AltOTNotre Dame
8Atlanta FalconsDallas TurnerEDGEAlabama
9Chicago BearsJared VerseEDGEFlorida State
10New York JetsBrock BowersTEGeorgia
11Minnesota VikingsJ.J. McCarthyQBMichigan
12Denver BroncosBo NixQBOregon
13Las Vegas RaidersJC LathamOTAlabama
14New Orleans SaintsOlumuyiwa FashanuOTPenn State
15Indianapolis ColtsQuinyon MitchellCBToledo
16Seattle SeahawksTroy FautanuGWashington
17Jacksonville JaguarsTerrion ArnoldCBAlabama
18Cincinnati BengalsTaliese FuagaOTOregon State
19Los Angeles RamsByron Murphy IIDTTexas
20Pittsburgh SteelersBrian Thomas Jr.WRLSU
21Miami DolphinsGraham BartonCDuke
22Philadelphia EaglesNate WigginsCBClemson
23Minnesota Vikings (from HOU via CLE)Cooper DeJeanCBIosa
24Dallas CowboysTyler GuytonOTOklahoma
25Green Bay PackersLaiatu LatuEDGEUCLA
26Tampa Bay BuccaneersXavier WorthyWRTexas
27Arizona Cardinals (from HOU)Chop RobinsonEDGEPenn State
28Buffalo BillsT.J. TampaCBIowa State
29Detroit LionsXavier LegetteWRSouth Carolina
30Baltimore RavensAmarius MimsOTGeorgia
31San Francisco 49ersRoger RosengartenOTWashington
32Kansas City ChiefsAdonai MitchellWRTexas

Noteworthy: 

— Like Iyer's draft, five quarterbacks are selected within the top 12 picks, including three going consecutively to start it off. The major difference? Washington goes with Jayden Daniels over Drake Maye this time.

— Combine star Xavier Worthy, who blazed the fastest 40-yard dash in the event's history, goes 26th overall to the Buccaneers. He pairs with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin in what would be a dynamic receiving corps around Baker Mayfield.

— Five cornerbacks are off the board in the first round of this mock, good for half of the defensive players taken in the first round. Kiper is among the few notable analysts to have Iowa State's T.J. Tampa in the first round, so that explains why his mock skews toward cornerback when teams aren't looking to beef up their offenses (22 of 32 first-round picks).

Daniel Jeremiah's mock draft (NFL Network)

Jeremiah's latest mock draft was released on March 19:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Chicago Bears (from CAR)Caleb WilliamsQBUSC
2Washington CommandersDrake MayeQBNorth Carolina
3New England PatriotsJayden DanielsQBLSU
4Minnesota Vikings (projected trade with ARI)J.J. McCarthyQBMichigan
5New York Jets (projected trade with LAC)Marvin Harrison Jr.WROhio State
6New York GiantsMalik NabersWRLSU
7Tennessee TitansJoe AltOTNotre Dame
8Atlanta FalconsDallas TurnerEDGEAlabama
9Chicago BearsRome OdunzeWRWashington
10Los Angeles Chargers (projected trade with NYJ)Taliese FuagaOTOregon State
11Arizona Cardinals (projected trade with MIN)Jared VerseEDGEFlorida State
12Denver BroncosBrock BowersTEGeorgia
13Las Vegas RaidersMichael Penix Jr.QBWashington
14New Orleans SaintsOlumuyiwa FashanuOTPenn State
15Indianapolis ColtsQuinyon MitchellCBToledo
16Seattle SeahawksTroy FautanuOTWashington
17Jacksonville JaguarsTerrion ArnoldCBAlabama
18Cincinnati BengalsJC LathamOTAlabama
19Los Angeles RamsLaiatu LatuEDGEUCLA
20Pittsburgh SteelersTyler GuytonOTOklahoma
21Miami DolphinsGraham BartonOLDuke
22Philadelphia EaglesNate WigginsCBClemson
23Arizona Cardinals (projected trade with MIN)Brian Thomas Jr.WRLSU
24Dallas CowboysJackson Powers-JohnsonOLOregon
25Green Bay PackersAmarius MimsOTGeorgia
26Tampa Bay BuccaneersDarius RobinsonEDGEMissouri
27Arizona Cardinals (from HOU)Byron Murphy IIDTTexas
28Buffalo BillsJer'Zhan NewtonDTIllinois
29Detroit LionsKool-Aid McKinstryCBAlabama
30Baltimore RavensCooper DeJeanCBIowa
31San Francisco 49ersChop RobinsonEDGEPenn State
32Kansas City ChiefsAdonai MitchellWRTexas

Noteworthy: 

— Jeremiah gets a little crazy with this one, as he has the Vikings trading up to No. 4 to get J.J. McCarthy. Four quarterbacks have never gone consecutively to start a draft, so a trade-up from Minnesota could make history.

— Jeremiah is also the only analyst to have Michael Penix Jr. in the first round of his mock draft. He has the Washington product going to the Raiders at 13 because he thinks Penix "is a unique fit for the Raiders’ style of play."

— Bo Nix doesn't make the cut in this mock draft despite Penix's inclusion. That's partially because the Broncos — one of Nix's top projected landing spots — went with tight end Brock Bowers at 12 overall rather than a quarterback.

Todd McShay's mock draft

McShay has not yet released his first full mock draft for 2024.

Dane Brugler's mock draft (The Athletic)

Brugler's latest mock draft was released on March 5:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Chicago Bears (from CAR)Caleb WilliamsQBUSC
2Washington CommandersDrake MayeQBNorth Carolina
3Atlanta Falcons (from NEP)Jayden DanielsQBLSU
4Arizona CardinalsMarvin Harrison Jr.WROhio State
5Chicago Bears (from LAC)Rome OdunzeWRWashington
6New York GiantsMalik NabersWRLSU
7Minnesota Vikings (from TEN)J.J. McCarthyQBMichigan
8New England Patriots (from ATL)Joe AltOTNotre Dame
9Los Angeles Chargers (from CHI)Taliese FuagaOTOregon State
10New York JetsOlumuyiwa FashanuOTPenn State
11Tennessee Titans (from MIN)J.C. LathamOTAlabama
12Denver BroncosBrock BowersTEGeorgia
13Las Vegas RaidersQuinyon MitchellCBToledo
14New Orleans SaintsDallas TurnerEDGEAlabama
15Indianapolis ColtsBrian Thomas Jr.WRLSU
16Pittsburgh Steelers (from SEA)Amarius MimsOTGeorgia
17Philadelphia Eagles (from JAX)Terrion ArnoldCBAlabama
18Cincinnati BengalsByron MurphyDTTexas
19Los Angeles RamsJared VerseEDGEFlorida State
20Seattle Seahawks (from PIT)Jackson Powers-JohnsonG/COregon
21Miami DolphinsTroy FautanuGWashington
22Jacksonville Jaguars (from PHI)Nate WigginsCBClemson
23Houston Texans (from CLE)Laiatu LatuEDGEUCLA
24Buffalo Bills (from DAL)Adonai MitchellWRTexas
25Green Bay PackersCooper DeJeanCBIowa
26Tampa Bay BuccaneersGraham BartonG/CDuke
27Arizona Cardinals (from HOU)Darius RobinsonDLMissouri
28Dallas Cowboys (from BUF)Tyler GuytonOTOklahoma
29Detroit LionsChop RobinsonEDGEPenn State
30Carolina Panthers (from BAL)Ladd McConkeyWRGeorgia
31San Francisco 49ersJordan MorganOT/GArizona
32Kansas City ChiefsXavier WorthyWRTexas

Noteworthy: 

— Brugler's projecting a trade-filled first-round. There are seven trades made in the draft, including the Falcons moving up to third overall and the Panthers moving into the first round by dealing with the Ravens.

— The runs on quarterbacks, receivers, and offensive tackles ensures that a defensive player doesn't come off the board until the 13th pick. That would be Toledo's Quinyon Mitchell, who seems increasingly likely to be the first cornerback selected after his stellar showing at the NFL Combine.

— This is another mock that has McCarthy rising. He goes at No. 7 overall to the Vikings, who trade up to get him. That jump isn't as high as the leap the Vikings make in Jeremiah's mock, but clearly, draft analysts believe that Minnesota likes McCarthy.

Jacob Camenker

Jacob Camenker first joined The Sporting News as a fantasy football intern in 2018 after his graduation from UMass. He became a full-time employee with TSN in 2021 and now serves as a senior content producer with a particular focus on the NFL. Jacob worked at NBC Sports Boston as a content producer from 2019 to 2021. He is an avid fan of the NFL Draft and ranked 10th in FantasyPros’ Mock Draft Accuracy metric in both 2021 and 2022.