It might be the game of the weekend.
The Buffalo Bills travel to play the Jacksonville Jaguars in a game that will kick off at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. It's not two huge markets, but it's two quality football teams with quality quarterbacks.
Josh Allen is trying to make his first Super Bowl. Trevor Lawrence is trying to prove that the best regular season of his career wasn't a fluke.
There are so many narratives here, but the reality is that one team will move on, and the other will go home.
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Bills vs. Jaguars exact score prediction from ESPN expert
ESPN's Bill Barnwell released his projections for the playoffs on Thursday, and he predicts that the Bills will beat the Jaguars, 28-24.
"The Jaguars are a heavy zone coverage team, though, and Allen's 71.7 QBR against zone this season is the second-best mark in the league," Barnwell writes. "The Jaguars have been a much better defense against teams that go lighter than against teams that use multiple tight ends, and the Bills are going to bring Dalton Kincaid, Dawson Knox and Jackson Hawes onto the field to try to manipulate Jacksonville's personnel and limit its exotic pressure looks. The Bills win in a shootout."
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Barnwell's main concern for Buffalo is the receiving group, which hasn't created much separation this season and could set Allen up to throw an interception.
"One year after posting the fewest takeaways in the league, the Jaguars have thrived by forcing turnovers, with their 22 interceptions ranking second in the NFL," Barnwell writes. "And while Allen posted a career-low 1.2% interception rate while winning MVP a year ago, his 2.2% rate in 2025 was roughly in line with his career average. With a receiving corps that struggles to separate against tight coverage, we know Allen is going to need to make some tight-window throws, and that's where the Jags can get their picks."
But if Allen can protect the football, he's the reigning MVP for a reason.
The Bills will feel like they've got a chance in any game as long as No. 17 is on their side.
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