College football bowl projections for Week 11: Cincinnati's playoff path still open

Bill Bender

College football bowl projections for Week 11: Cincinnati's playoff path still open image

There are four weeks left until the College Football Playoff and New Year’s Day Six pairings are revealed.

A total of 10 teams appear to be in contention for those CFP spots ahead of the second set of rankings on Tuesday. How do those teams fit in our latest bowl projections?

Right now we still have Georgia beating Alabama in the SEC championship game. Ohio State will hold off one-loss teams Michigan State and Michigan. Oklahoma will knock off Oklahoma State.

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So Georgia, Ohio State and Oklahoma are in the CFP. That leaves Oregon, Cincinnati and Notre Dame fighting for the last spot. We’re still thinking the Ducks takes a second loss and the Bearcats slip in with the help of that victory against the Irish.

This year’s bowl season includes 42 games between FBS teams. The College Football Playoff championship game is Jan. 10 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The semifinals are Dec. 31 at the Capital One Orange Bowl and Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic.

Our bowl projection is for how we believe the rest of the season will play out.

Here are our Week 11 bowl projections:

SN has projections for all 42 bowl games here, and they will be updated throughout the season:

College football bowl projections for Week 11 

DATEBOWLMATCHUP
Dec. 17Bahamas BowlMiami, Ohio vs. FAU
Dec. 17Cure BowlCoastal Carolina vs. East Carolina
Dec. 18RoofClaim.com Boca Raton BowlNevada vs. Liberty*
Dec. 18New Mexico BowlSan Diego State vs. UTEP
Dec. 18Radiance Technologies Independence BowlBYU vs. UTSA
Dec. 18Lendingtree BowlNorthern Illinois vs. Troy
Dec. 18Los Angeles BowlUtah State vs. USC
Dec. 18R&L Carriers New Orleans BowlSouth Alabama vs. UAB
Dec. 20Myrtle Beach BowlAppalachian State vs. Western Michigan
Dec. 21Famous Idaho Potato BowlEastern Michigan vs. Boise State
Dec. 21Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco BowlBall State vs. Fresno State
Dec. 22Armed Forces BowlArmy* vs. Western Kentucky
Dec. 23Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla BowlWashington State vs. Marshall
Dec. 24Hawai'i BowlAir Force vs. UCF
Dec. 25Camellia BowlKent State vs. Louisiana
Dec. 27Quick Lane BowlMemphis vs. Rutgers
Dec. 27Military BowlWyoming* vs. Washington*
Dec. 28TicketSmarter Birmingham BowlHouston vs. Mississippi State
Dec. 28First Responder BowlWest Virginia vs. Syracuse
Dec. 28AutoZone Liberty BowlTexas vs. Florida
Dec. 28Holiday BowlArizona State vs. Miami
Dec. 28Guaranteed Rate BowlVirginia vs. Kansas State
Dec. 29Fenway BowlSMU vs. Boston College
Dec. 29Pinstripe BowlMaryland vs. N.C. State
Dec. 29Cheez-It BowlTexas Tech vs. Louisville
Dec. 29Valero Alamo BowlUtah vs. Baylor
Dec. 30Duke's Mayo BowlMinesota vs. Clemson
Dec. 30Transperfect Music City BowlIowa vs. Kentucky
Dec. 30SRS Las Vegas BowlOregon State vs. Purdue
Dec. 31TaxSlayer Gator BowlTennessee vs. Wake Forest
Dec. 31Tony the Tiger Sun BowlUCLA vs. North Carolina
Dec. 31Arizona BowlCentral Michigan vs. San Jose State
Jan. 1Outback BowlWisconsin vs. Auburn
Jan. 1Vrbo Citrus BowlPenn State vs. Ole Miss
Jan. 4Texas BowlIowa State vs. Arkansas

*Denotes not tied to bowl game

College Football New Year's Six projections

DATEBOWLMATCHUP
Dec. 30Chick-Fil-A Peach BowlNotre Dame vs. Pitt
Jan. 1PlayStation Fiesta BowlTexas A&M vs. Michigan
Jan. 1Rose Bowl GameOregon vs. Michigan State
Jan. 1Allstate Sugar BowlOklahoma State vs. Alabama
Dec. 31Capital One Orange Bowl (semifinal)Cincinnati vs. Georgia
Dec. 31Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic (semifinal)Oklahoma vs. Ohio State

College Football Playoff championship projection

DATEBOWLMATCHUP
Jan. 10College Football Playoff championshipGeorgia vs. Ohio State

Bill Bender

Bill Bender graduated from Ohio University in 2002 and started at The Sporting News as a fantasy football writer in 2007. He has covered the College Football Playoff, NBA Finals and World Series for SN. Bender enjoys story-telling, awesomely-bad 80s movies and coaching youth sports.