2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections

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2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections image

This year, the number crunchers at TeamRankings are applying their analytical and value-driven approach to providing fantasy football player projections and rankings for 2020. All rankings and stat projections for the 2020 season are available for free in the new fantasy football section of our betting site, BetIQ.com.

(Like always, we also will have NFL Survivor Pool Picks, Football Pick 'em Picks, and NFL Betting Picks for the 2020-21 season.) 

DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Ultimate 2020 cheat sheet

Our fantasy rankings are grounded in objective and reliable data, including betting market expectations for how many games teams will win this season, as well as team stats from last year. We also have developed models that analyze similar players (by age, stats, and other factors) and how teams historically have distributed touches among position players. If you wish, you can read a full explanation of what went into creating these player rankings

Below we list the top-10 quarterbacks and tight ends and top-20 running backs and wide receivers in our rankings, assuming standard fantasy football scoring. Check out our full fantasy football projections for the complete list of players and more scoring formats, like PPR and half-PPR.

Please note that these projections and rankings below were generated on Aug. 21 and are subject to change based on breaking news, injuries, etc. Our latest numbers will always be available on the fantasy football section of BetIQ.com.

2020 FANTASY SLEEPERS:
6 QBs | 16 RBs14 WRs | 10 TEs | 5 D/STs | One from each team

2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: QB

The top-10 list for our quarterback projections features many familiar young names and dynamic talents, starting with Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. 

Our ranking for Kyler Murray is a little lower than the consensus. Plenty of folks, after seeing consecutive years where a second-year starting QB exploded to win MVP, are drafting Murray as the most likely option to continue that trend after Mahomes and Jackson in 2020. 

Murray comes with significant risks, though, including Arizona’s below-average projected win total, the uneven performance of similar teams with highly drafted second-year QBs, and some historical inconsistency from players similar to him. Our 2020 projections are more sanguine about Murray's likely performance this season.

Remember that just one year ago when Lamar Jackson burst on the scene, the fantasy community was drafting the previous year’s first overall pick, Baker Mayfield, in the top five at the QB position. 

These projections are for four-point passing TD leagues.

RankPlayerByePass YdsPass TDsINTsRush YdsRush TDsFan. Points
1Patrick Mahomes10455235.09.12692.0342.8
2Lamar Jackson8336126.210.78685.5339.9
3Russell Wilson6399329.510.13492.9309.9
4Dak Prescott10431227.611.92423.6304.9
5Deshaun Watson8384124.411.53914.3296.9
6Matt Ryan10453827.412.21431.3290.6
7Josh Allen11348021.011.85375.0283.3
8Kyler Murray8389121.612.44213.1277.9
9Carson Wentz9415426.310.81731.3274.9
10Tom Brady13429326.211.3281.5265.7

2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: RB

It’s very important to pay attention to your scoring system when drafting all players, but especially running backs. Alvin Kamara is an extreme example of this. Kamara is seventh in our standard RB rankings based on his projections, but he is third in our PPR RB Rankings because of his projected catches.

Derrick Henry, a pounding back who does not catch many passes, is the opposite of Kamara. He’s our third-highest scoring back in leagues that do not use receptions, but moves down the board in PPR leagues. So, you will want to fully account for your league scoring when considering who to draft in the first round after the first couple of picks are off the board.

These projections are for standard, non-PPR leagues. For PPR projections, click here

RankPlayerByeAttRush YdsRush TDsTgtsRec.Rec. YdsRec. TDsFan. Points
1Christian McCaffrey1323310489.5119877413.6258.6
2Saquon Barkley1125411348.975514452.4225.7
3Derrick Henry7257117211.229221891.2211.3
4Ezekiel Elliott1026511048.163463722.0208.2
5Dalvin Cook722010038.654423740.9194.7
6Joe Mixon924210767.844322891.7193.5
7Alvin Kamara61657307.098725752.8189.5
8Clyde Edwards-Helaire101938668.159433642.8188.4
9Kenyan Drake82079388.351363411.7187.8
10Miles Sanders92169516.460444071.9186.1
11Austin Ekeler101928575.282544982.4181.1
12Nick Chubb925610937.830231750.9179.0
13Aaron Jones52068807.750353162.0177.8
14Josh Jacobs624010597.539271980.4173.1
15Leonard Fournette72139135.663433161.0162.5
16Chris Carson62139116.636271951.0156.2
17Melvin Gordon III82048625.750342660.7151.6
18Le'Veon Bell111977834.956423371.5150.4
19Jonathan Taylor71938457.028221810.8149.5
20James Conner81767506.246342671.5148.8

More From TeamRankings:
Football Pick 'em Picks | NFL Survivor Picks | NFL Betting Picks

2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: WR

Calvin Ridley is one player that stands out in our wide receiver rankings. There are several reasons we're more bullish on Ridley than the general consensus, where he is being drafted in the teens at the WR position.

First, the Falcons again project as a high-volume passing team in 2020. In fact, our projections have Atlanta as the top team in pass attempts and second only to Kansas City in passing yards.

Second, Ridley (a former first-round pick) has already been productive and is entering year three of his career. Quite a few similar players have broken out with bigger performances at the same stage, and Ridley has the opportunity to do the same on a team likely to be among the passing yard leaders.

These projections are for standard, non-PPR leagues. For PPR projections, click here

RankPlayerByeRush YdsRush TDsTgtsRec.Rec. YdsRec. TDsFan. Points
1Michael Thomas650.114711313247.3177.3
2Davante Adams540.01488811559.1170.6
3Tyreek Hill10790.41217310698.3167.0
4Julio Jones1060.01449012535.9162.9
5Kenny Golladay5180.11227610877.5156.1
6DeAndre Hopkins840.01388611226.5151.9
7Adam Thielen7290.11167210526.6148.2
8Chris Godwin1350.01267410666.7147.2
9Amari Cooper1040.01207110187.1144.8
10Calvin Ridley10340.0125789926.9144.0
11A.J. Brown7450.6107609805.4138.9
12Mike Evans1300.01237610305.8137.8
13Robert Woods9650.4117719435.4135.5
14DJ Moore13440.3125839774.9133.4
15Allen Robinson II1130.0138799755.7132.2
16DeVante Parker1130.1115689036.3131.9
17DK Metcalf6170.198588697.0131.2
18Cooper Kupp980.0120769875.2130.7
19Odell Beckham Jr.9110.2122699345.6130.3
20JuJu Smith-Schuster800.0114689056.5129.5

2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: TE

Tight end rankings can have plenty of variation after the top few guys. Travis Kelce and George Kittle lead our projections, followed by Mark Andrews and Zach Ertz.

After that, things are more wide open. Very few projected fantasy points separate the tight ends we rank between sixth and 15th, and the order can change depending on the scoring format. 

T.J. Hockenson is relatively high in our projections. That’s driven in part by comparable players, where recent history has shown that the second year is the most frequent year for tight end breakouts. Hockenson put up decent production for a rookie while Matthew Stafford was at QB for Detroit, but his numbers tanked (and he got hurt) after Stafford’s injury.

These projections are for standard, non-PPR leagues. For PPR projections, click here

RankPlayerByeRush. YdsRush TDsTgtsRec.Rec. YdsRec. TDsFan. Points
1Travis Kelce1060.11157410047.1144.1
2George Kittle11130.1113779985.7135.9
3Mark Andrews800.088597526.7115.3
4Zach Ertz900.0104707704.8105.8
5Darren Waller650.191607564.0100.7
6T.J. Hockenson500.082505864.786.8
7Evan Engram11200.187475874.286.5
8Rob Gronkowski1300.067435425.285.4
9Mike Gesicki1100.084515774.484.1
10Jared Cook600.072465624.281.4

For our complete projections of nearly 300 players and team defenses, visit our fantasy football section on BetIQ.com. If you play in football pools, don't forget to check out our NFL Survivor Picks or Football Pick 'em Picks.

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