A compelling Western Conference showdown awaits Friday night as the Minnesota Timberwolves head to Chase Center to face the Golden State Warriors. The Timberwolves are riding high after their impressive 125-116 road victory against New Orleans, where they exploded for 37 fourth-quarter points to pull away. Julius Randle led the scoring charge in that comeback win, showcasing the kind of interior dominance that could be crucial against a short-handed Warriors squad.
Warriors vs Wolves Betting Picks
Meanwhile, the Warriors are looking to rebound at home following a disappointing 124-112 loss to Oklahoma City Thunder. This matchup features plenty of star power, but injuries are shaping the narrative. Golden State will be without key pieces Draymond Green and Al Horford, while Minnesota faces uncertainty with Anthony Edwards listed as questionable and Mike Conley definitively out.
The question becomes whether Stephen Curry can carry a depleted Warriors roster, or if Minnesota's balanced attack can capitalize on Golden State's frontcourt absences. Let's break down how this Western Conference battle will unfold.
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Timberwolves vs Warriors Game Details and Betting Lines
Date: Friday, December 12, 2025
Time: 10:00 PM EST / 7:00 PM PST
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TV: NBA TV, NBCS-BA, FDSN
Here are the current betting odds for this Western Conference clash:
- Moneyline: Warriors (-125) | Timberwolves (+105)
- Spread: Warriors -1.5 (-112) | Timberwolves +1.5 (-108)
- Total: Over/Under 231.5 (Over -105 / Under -115)
Betting odds courtesy of DraftKings
Despite their injury concerns, the Warriors have moved to slight home favorites after opening as underdogs. The line has seen significant movement, with Golden State shifting from +114 underdogs to -125 favorites, while Minnesota dropped from -135 favorites to +105 underdogs. The narrow 1.5-point spread suggests oddsmakers expect a tight contest that could come down to the final possessions.
How the Timberwolves and Warriors Match Up Statistically
This matchup presents a fascinating contrast between Minnesota's explosive offense and Golden State's defensive-minded approach. The Timberwolves enter with one of the league's most potent attacks, averaging 119.6 points per game while shooting an efficient 48.6% from the field. Their three-point shooting has been particularly lethal at 38.3%, creating the kind of versatile scoring that can break games open.
The Warriors have built their identity around defense this season, allowing just 111.7 points per game with a solid defensive rating of 108.8. Offensively, they've been more methodical, scoring 113.5 points per game on 44.9% shooting from the field.
The most telling mismatch lies in the paint. Minnesota excels at interior scoring, pouring in 50.2 points per game down low, while the Warriors surrender 50.9 paint points per game at home. This discrepancy becomes even more pronounced considering Golden State will be without their two primary interior defenders.
Coming off his scoring outburst against New Orleans, Julius Randle appears primed for another dominant performance alongside Rudy Gobert. The Warriors' perimeter defense will be tested by Minnesota's balanced attack, though Golden State's volume three-point shooting (43.8 attempts per game) faces a Timberwolves defense that limits opponents to just 35.5% from beyond the arc.
Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction and Best Picks
This NBA game hinges on one critical factor: Golden State's inability to protect the rim without Green and Horford. Minnesota's interior advantage with Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert creates a pathway to control this game, regardless of Anthony Edwards' status.
The Warriors already surrender 50.9 paint points per game at home, and that number could balloon against a Timberwolves team that thrives inside. Even with Stephen Curry's playmaking brilliance, it's difficult to envision how Golden State consistently stops Minnesota's size and physicality down low.
Randle's recent scoring surge against New Orleans demonstrates his ability to dominate when given favorable matchups, and he won't face better interior defense than what awaits Friday night. The betting line shift toward Golden State creates value on Minnesota, especially given the on-court mismatch.
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Best Bet: Timberwolves +1.5 (-108)
The narrow spread undervalues Minnesota's significant frontcourt advantage. Even if this game stays close, the Timberwolves have multiple paths to covering or winning outright through their interior dominance.
Player Prop: Julius Randle Over Points + Rebounds
With Green and Horford sidelined, Randle faces the softest interior defense he's seen all season. Coming off a strong scoring performance, he's positioned for a monster night on both ends of the floor against Golden State's compromised frontcourt.