The early season NBA action rolls along on Thursday evening with an exciting cross-conference matchup with two playoff-hopefuls. Before the game gets underway, basketball bettors can follow along with these Warriors vs 76ers player props to take their best shot at wagering on the matchup.
- With superstars Stephen Curry and Joel Embiid sidelined by injuries, the betting focus shifts entirely to the supporting casts, creating unique value on player props for Andre Drummond and Draymond Green.
- The top prop bets target clear statistical mismatches, as Andre Drummond is positioned to exploit a Warriors team that allows 11.8 offensive rebounds per game while Draymond Green takes over playmaking duties against a 76ers defense that gives up 27.5 assists per contest.
- This game features a compelling clash of weaknesses, pitting the Warriors' interior softness (48.8% Total Rebound %) against Philadelphia's paint-focused attack and the 76ers' league-worst transition defense (allowing 19.7 fast break points) against Golden State's athleticism.
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Warriors vs. 76ers Odds
The Philadelphia 76ers enter as slight 2.5-point home favorites despite missing their franchise cornerstone, reflecting both Wells Fargo Center advantage and the Golden State's own injury concerns. The moneyline pricing favors Philadelphia at -142, while the Golden State Warriors offer +120 value as road underdogs.
Current Betting Lines:
- Spread: 76ers -2.5 (-108) / Warriors +2.5 (-112)
- Total: Over/Under 223.5 (Over -108 / Under -112)
- Moneyline: 76ers -142 / Warriors +120
The total of 223.5 points is set by oddsmakers, with the number likely adjusted downward due to multiple star absences on both sides.
Game Information:
- Date: December 5, 2025
- Tip-off: 7:00 PM ET
- Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
- Television: NBA TV, NBCS-PH, NBCS-BA
Warriors vs 76ers Player Props Betting Lines
The absence of multiple All-Stars has created significant value shifts in the player prop markets, with expanded roles leading to adjusted expectations across both rosters.
| Player | Points | Assists | Rebounds | 3PM | Double-Double | 1st Basket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey (PHI) | O/U 24.5 (-113/-116) | O/U 6.5 (+106/-141) | O/U 4.5 (-162/+121) | O/U 2.5 (-115/-115) | Yes/No (+180/-240) | +800 |
| Buddy Hield (PHI) | O/U 14.5 (-124/-107) | O/U 3.5 (-154/+115) | O/U 3.5 (+135/-182) | O/U 3.5 (-159/+119) | Yes/No (+450/-650) | +1200 |
| Quentin Grimes (PHI) | O/U 11.5 (-106/-123) | O/U 2.5 (-155/+118) | O/U 4.5 (-147/+111) | O/U 1.5 (-103/-129) | Yes/No (+650/-950) | +1500 |
| Andre Drummond (PHI) | O/U 8.5 (-106/-124) | O/U 1.5 (-200/+145) | O/U 9.5 (-125/-105) | O/U 0.5 (+165/-227) | Yes/No (+120/-160) | +2000 |
| Jimmy Butler III (GSW) | O/U 18.5 (-122/-108) | O/U 5.5 (+102/-136) | O/U 6.5 (-148/+112) | O/U 1.5 (-125/-105) | Yes/No (+200/-270) | +900 |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | O/U 8.5 (-108/-122) | O/U 6.5 (-130/-102) | O/U 7.5 (+114/-151) | O/U 1.5 (-132/-101) | ||
| Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) | O/U 15.5 (-108/-124) | O/U 2.5 (-162/+120) | O/U 5.5 (+107/-142) | O/U 0.5 (-193/+143) | ||
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | O/U 12.5 (-126/-106) | O/U 4.5 (-146/+110) | O/U 4.5 (-121/-109) | O/U 2.5 (+125/-168) |
Odds are from a combination of consensus lines and individual bookmakers as of December 4, 2025
Prop Market Movement Analysis
Maxey's Usage Surge: The market has heavily adjusted Maxey's props upward since opening lines, with his points total has been adjusted upward to 24.5 as books anticipate increased offensive responsibility. His assists under (-141) reflects expectations that he'll prioritize scoring over facilitating.
Drummond's Rebounding Value: Andre Drummond's rebounding line is currently available, creating potential value given his history of double-digit boards against teams that struggle on the glass. The market appears conservative on his floor, despite favorable matchup conditions.
Green's Facilitator Role: With Curry sidelined, Draymond Green's assists prop has moved significantly, with the over now priced at -130. This reflects his expanded playmaking responsibilities as the primary ball distributor in Golden State's motion offense.
Team Strengths and Weaknesses: Exploitable Matchups
Golden State Warriors: Elite Ball Movement Meets Interior Vulnerability
Strength: Three-Point Volume and Facilitation
The Warriors maintain their identity through elite perimeter shooting and ball movement, ranking near the top of the league with 16.0 made three-pointers per game while assisting on an impressive 69.7% of their made field goals. This system creates constant threats from multiple positions and generates open looks through patient ball movement.
Player Prop Angle: This offensive ecosystem directly benefits Draymond Green's assists prop. With shooters spacing the floor and Curry absent, Green becomes the primary orchestrator, creating clear value on his assists over as the offense flows through his decision-making.
Weakness: Rebounding and Interior Defense
Golden State's Achilles heel remains their interior presence, posting a concerning 48.8% total rebound percentage while allowing opponents to grab 11.8 offensive rebounds per game. This vulnerability gives opposing teams numerous second-chance opportunities and exposes their lack of size in the paint.
Player Prop Angle: The Warriors' glass struggles create a prime opportunity for Andre Drummond's rebounds over. Drummond's relentless motor on the offensive boards should feast against a team that consistently gets outworked in the paint.
Philadelphia 76ers: Paint Dominance vs Transition Disasters
Strength: Drawing Fouls and Paint Scoring
The 76ers built their offensive identity around aggressive drives and interior scoring, averaging 25.6 free throw attempts per game while putting up 50.7 points in the paint. This physical approach generates high-efficiency looks even without their primary stars.
Player Prop Angle: This system amplifies Tyrese Maxey's points prop value. His explosive first step and fearless drives to the rim align perfectly with Philadelphia's offensive philosophy, creating natural paths to exceeding his scoring total.
Weakness: Transition Defense
Philadelphia's most glaring weakness appears in transition, where they rank dead last by allowing 19.7 fast break points per game. This defensive breakdown gives athletic opponents easy scoring opportunities and momentum-shifting runs.
Player Prop Angle: The 76ers' transition struggles benefit athletic Warriors wings like Jimmy Butler III and Jonathan Kuminga, whose speed and finishing ability should generate quality looks in the open court.
Injury Report: Star Absences Reshape Betting Markets
The injury landscape dramatically alters both team's rotations and creates significant prop market adjustments across multiple positions.
Golden State Warriors Injuries
Stephen Curry remains sidelined with a quadricep injury and is expected to miss at least three more games, completely removing the team's primary offensive catalyst. Jimmy Butler III carries a questionable designation with a knee issue, making his availability crucial for the Warriors' wing rotation. Jonathan Kuminga also sits questionable with an ankle concern, potentially limiting their athletic options. De'Anthony Melton is definitively out with a knee injury.
Philadelphia 76ers Injuries
Joel Embiid is listed as doubtful with ongoing knee management, making his absence nearly certain for this matchup. Paul George remains questionable with knee soreness, creating uncertainty around Philadelphia's wing scoring. Quentin Grimes carries a questionable tag due to calf tightness, while Kelly Oubre Jr. Is confirmed out with a knee injury.
These absences have significantly inflated usage rates for available players, with prop totals adjusted upward for Maxey, Green, and Drummond as they absorb additional responsibilities in expanded roles.
Best Player Props Picks and Predictions
Our fearless forecast targets two statistical mismatches that create clear edges in the player prop markets, backed by concrete trends and situational advantages.
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Lock of the Week: Andre Drummond Over 9.5 Rebounds (-125)
This pick exploits a fundamental mismatch between Drummond's relentless rebounding and Golden State's interior weakness. The Warriors allow opponents to grab 11.8 offensive rebounds per game, creating a perfect storm for Drummond's specialty.
Statistical Foundation: Drummond has averaged 11.3 rebounds over his last 10 games, including 3.6 offensive boards per contest. In 12 home games this season, he's posting 10.9 rebounds per game, demonstrating remarkable consistency on his home floor.
Situational Trend: Drummond has recorded double-digit rebounds in 6 of his last 10 games (60% hit rate), while the Warriors have allowed opposing centers to exceed 9.5 rebounds in 7 of their last 10 games (70% rate). This convergence of trends creates exceptional value on the over.
Best Value: Draymond Green Over 6.5 Assists (-130)
Without Curry commanding the basketball, Green transforms into Golden State's primary facilitator against a Philadelphia defense that struggles with ball movement and allows 27.5 assists per game.
Statistical Foundation: Green has averaged 5.9 assists over his last eight games while serving as a secondary playmaker. With expanded usage, his assist rate projects to increase significantly as he becomes the focal point of the Warriors' motion offense.
Situational Trend: Green has exceeded 6.5 assists in 4 of 6 games when Curry was absent this season (67% success rate). The 76ers have allowed opposing point forwards to surpass 6.5 assists in 3 of their last 4 home games (75% rate), creating a highly favorable situational spot for Green's facilitating prowess.