A marquee matchup of MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and rookie phenom Victor Wembanyama takes center stage as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday, January 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The Thunder enter as the presumptive home favorite at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, but savvy bettors are watching the recent player trends closely before laying any money down.
Thunder vs Spurs Player Props & Predictions
While Gilgeous-Alexander has been elite all season, his recent shooting slump presents a key variable for a team that relies heavily on his offensive firepower. On the other side, Wembanyama continues to put up stellar numbers, but the Spurs' success as a road underdog could hinge on whether his running mate, De'Aaron Fox, can break out of a significant cold spell.
With key secondary players like Jalen Williams for OKC and a surging Julian Champagnie for San Antonio, this contest offers intriguing depth beyond the headliners. The game will air nationally on NBC/Peacock, with local coverage on FDSOK.
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Thunder vs Spurs NBA Player Props Breakdown
The individual matchups in this game present a goldmine for player prop bettors. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's high volume is always in play, but his recent inefficiency has created value on both sides of his props. For the Spurs, Victor Wembanyama's unique ability to stuff every statistical category makes his combo props particularly appealing, especially against a Thunder team that can be vulnerable on the glass.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Made Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC Thunder | ||||
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.5 (-109/-121) | 4.5 (-134/+102) | 6.5 (+107/-142) | 1.5 (-194/+143) |
| Jalen Williams | 17.5 (-117/-112) | 5.5 (+105/-138) | 5.5 (-120/-111) | 0.5 (-211/+157) |
| Chet Holmgren | 16.5 (-132/-101) | 8.5 (-142/+108) | 1.5 (-105/-128) | 1.5 (+131/-175) |
| Luguentz Dort | 7.5 (-117/-111) | 3.5 (-124/-107) | 0.5 (-110/-120) | 1.5 (-145/+110) |
| Aaron Wiggins | 9.5 (-111/-120) | 3.5 (-155/+117) | 0.5 (-238/+175) | 1.5 (+111/-146) |
| San Antonio Spurs | ||||
| Victor Wembanyama | 21.5 (-105/-125) | 9.5 (-116/-114) | 2.5 (-143/+108) | 1.5 (-113/-117) |
| De'Aaron Fox | 18.5 (-113/-115) | 3.5 (-143/+108) | 5.5 (+109/-143) | 1.5 (-183/+138) |
| Julian Champagnie | 12.5 (-104/-126) | 6.5 (-143/+108) | 1.5 (+115/-149) | 2.5 (-142/+108) |
| Keldon Johnson | 13.5 (-124/-106) | 5.5 (-151/+114) | 0.5 (-125/-105) | 1.5 (-101/-130) |
| Harrison Barnes | 9.5 (-103/-127) | 2.5 (-167/+125) | 1.5 (+137/-190) | 1.5 (-133/+100) |
Odds courtesy of consensus market data. Lines and odds are subject to change.
Notable Prop Market Movement
There has been significant line movement since the props opened, indicating where early money is flowing. Chet Holmgren's props have seen considerable adjustments, with his points total now at 16.5, suggesting bettors see a favorable scoring matchup. However, his rebound line has moved in the opposite direction, dropping from 9.5 at some books to 8.5. This could be a direct result of the Wembanyama effect, with the market anticipating a tougher night for Holmgren on the boards.
Bettors are also expecting production from the Spurs' supporting cast. Keldon Johnson saw his points prop climb a full point from 12.5 to 13.5, while Julian Champagnie's line also rose from 11.5 to 12.5. Similarly, De'Aaron Fox's scoring line was bet up from 17.5 to 18.5, suggesting the market believes San Antonio will need a balanced attack to keep pace with the Thunder.
Best Thunder vs Spurs Player Prop Picks and Predictions
After dissecting the matchups, injuries, and statistical trends, we've identified two player props that offer significant value based on clear statistical advantages and situational factors.
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Fearless Forecast: De'Aaron Fox Under 5.5 Assists (-143)
This pick directly targets the Oklahoma City Thunder's defensive identity. The Thunder boast the NBA's best Defensive Rating and force a league-high 18.3 turnovers per game while allowing 24.7 assists per game to opponents. Fox will face constant pressure from elite perimeter defenders in a system designed to create chaos for primary ball-handlers.
Fox has struggled to facilitate efficiently during his recent stretch, averaging just 4.9 assists over his last nine games. With Devin Vassell out, Fox may be forced to look for his own shot more often, further depressing his assist opportunities against this suffocating defense.
Situational Trend: Fox has averaged 4.9 assists over his last nine games, hitting the under on this line 66.7% of the time during that span.
Lock of the Week: Jalen Williams Over 17.5 Points (-117)
While Shai Gilgeous-Alexander navigates a minor shooting slump, Jalen Williams has stepped up as a reliable secondary scorer and finds himself in a prime position to continue that trend. Williams has been on a tear, averaging 20.0 points on 14.6 shots per game over his last five contests.
The absence of Spurs starting wing Devin Vassell amplifies this opportunity significantly. Without Vassell to contend with, Williams should find more room to operate against a San Antonio defense that already allows a permissive.460 opponent field goal percentage. The Spurs' tendency to give up high-volume three-point attempts creates additional scoring avenues for the versatile Williams.
Situational Trend: Williams has averaged 20.0 points over his last five games, demonstrating his elevated role and production in the Thunder's offensive scheme., demonstrating his elevated role and production in the Thunder's offensive scheme.