The pro hoops action rolls along this evening with a huge Western Conference showdown featuring last season's NBA champions vs. Another playoff contender. Before the game tips-off, check out these Thunder vs. Clippers player props, picks, and predictions for tonight's matchup.
- Despite being heavy 7.5-point road favorites, the Thunder face significant upset potential due to major injuries and a Clippers team that is a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five games on a back-to-back.
- The game's pivotal matchup pits Oklahoma City's elite transition attack, which generates 23.9 points off turnovers, ranking them 2nd in the league, against a turnover-prone Clippers squad that ranks just 27th in assist-to-turnover ratio.
- Conflicting betting trends create intrigue, but the most powerful signal points to a high-scoring affair, as the Over has hit in the Clippers' last six consecutive home games following a loss.
A red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder squad, winners of eight of their last nine games, travels to Los Angeles to face the LA Clippers as significant road favorites. While oddsmakers are high on the Thunder, this matchup has all the makings of a classic trap game for bettors. The primary storyline is OKC's health, as they will be without key starter Jalen Williams, placing an even greater burden on MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to carry the offense.
This presents a prime opportunity for the veteran Clippers. Playing the role of the home underdog, they will rely on their own superstar, Kawhi Leonard, to control the pace and exploit the visitors' sudden lack of depth. The action tips off at 11:00 pm ET from the Intuit Dome, airing nationally on NBC/Peacock.
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Thunder vs. Clippers Betting Odds
| Bet Type | Oklahoma City Thunder | LA Clippers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -285 | +230 |
| Total Points | Over 223.5 (-108) | Under 223.5 (-112) |
Odds as of November 4 from DraftKings.
The Thunder enter this contest as significant road favorites, with a (-285) moneyline suggesting a 74% implied probability of winning. The Clippers, meanwhile, are considerable underdogs at home with (+230) odds. Win probabilities are approximately 71% for the Thunder and 29% for the Clippers.
A successful $10 wager on the favored Thunder moneyline would yield a profit of just $3.51. Conversely, a winning $10 bet on the underdog Clippers would result in a much larger $23.00 profit.
The betting line has seen significant movement since it opened. The spread initially favored OKC by just 3.5 points, but has since shifted a full four points to (-7.5). This dramatic move suggests that early betting action or new information has heavily favored Oklahoma City, prompting oddsmakers to adjust. The game total, however, has remained unchanged from its opening mark of 223.5 points.
Key Betting Trends: Thunder Hot Streak vs Clippers' Back-to-Back Success
Recent performance and situational trends offer conflicting signals for bettors. The Thunder have been one of the league's hottest teams, but the Clippers have shown remarkable resilience when playing on no rest.
Oklahoma City Thunder Trends
- The Thunder enter this matchup with significant momentum, posting an 8-1 (.889) straight-up record in their last nine contests.
- Scoring has been a recent theme, with the Over hitting in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games (80%).
- However, that trend flips completely when they are favored on the road. The Over has hit in just 1 of their last 6 games (16.7%) under these specific conditions.
LA Clippers Trends
- The Clippers have been flawless when playing on the second night of a back-to-back, going a perfect 5-0 straight up (100%) and 5-0 against the spread (100%) in their last five such games.
- When playing at home after a loss, the Clippers have consistently been involved in high-scoring affairs. The Over has hit in each of their last 6 games (100%) in this scenario.
Thunder vs Clippers Fearless Forecast: Why the Injured Thunder Are on Upset Alert
This matchup presents a classic case of a red-hot team facing a perfect storm of negative circumstances. While the Thunder have been dominant, winning eight of their last nine, the value lies with the home underdog. Oklahoma City is hobbling into this game with key starter Jalen Williams confirmed out and their defensive anchor, Luguentz Dort, questionable. This dramatically alters their defensive identity against a Clippers team that is finally healthy.
The betting line has ballooned to (-7.5) for OKC, a significant over-adjustment that creates a prime opportunity to back the hosts. The most compelling trend supports the Clippers covering. They have been flawless on the second night of back-to-backs, posting a perfect 5-0 against the spread record in their last five such situations. Given OKC's injuries, particularly on the wing, asking them to win by eight or more points on the road is a tall order.
The Clippers' efficient, methodical offense, led by a home-dominant Kawhi Leonard (29.5 PPG at home), is well-equipped to exploit the gaps left by OKC's missing defenders. Leonard figures to be up for this duel, especially with the motivation of facing his former team's current superstar in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
For the game total, conflicting trends give way to situational analysis. While the Under has hit in 5 of OKC's last 6 games as a road favorite, the Clippers' trend is far more powerful in this spot: the Over has cashed in all 6 of their last home games following a loss. With Dort potentially sidelined, the Thunder's ability to disrupt and generate turnovers will be compromised, leading to more efficient halfcourt possessions for the Clippers and a higher-scoring environment.
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Our Fearless Forecast:
- Lock of the Week - Spread: LA Clippers +7.5 (-115). The line movement is too drastic given OKC's significant injuries. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back and are healthy enough to keep this close, if not win outright.
- Total: Over 223.5 (-108). We're siding with the Clippers' powerful 6-0 Over trend at home after a loss. OKC's defensive personnel questions make this the logical play against a highly efficient Clippers offense.
- Best Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard Over Points (-111 on DraftKings). Leonard averages 29.5 points at home, and his primary defender, Luguentz Dort, is questionable with an illness. If Dort sits, Leonard faces a much easier path to a high-scoring night. Even if Dort plays, he may not be at 100%, giving a significant edge to the Over.