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Sixers vs. Celtics Player Props, Picks, Best Bets (November 11)

Senior Editor
Sixers vs. Celtics Player Props, Picks, Best Bets (November 11) image

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An iconic Eastern Conference rivalry is renewed as the Boston Celtics travel to face the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday, at 8:00 pm ET, with the game broadcasting nationally on NBC and Peacock from Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. This will be the third 76ers vs. Celtics matchup this season, with the teams splitting the first two games. This puts the spotlight squarely on the available stars and creates a complex scenario for bettors to decode.

 

Sixers vs. Celtics Player Props, Picks, and Best Bets

For the road underdog Celtics, the offensive load falls heavily on Jaylen Brown, who has embraced what he calls a "new era" for the franchise amid roster transitions. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia 76ers, positioned as home favorites, will lean on the dynamic duo of Joel Embiid and the explosive Tyrese Maxey, who has been in sensational form recently. This clash tests the depth and resilience of both depleted squads while offering clear prop betting opportunities based on increased usage rates and altered team dynamics.

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Celtics vs 76ers Player Props: Focus Shifts to Available Stars

With two All-Star forwards sidelined, the player prop market centers on the stars left to carry their respective teams. Brown is Boston's undisputed offensive engine, while Philadelphia runs their attack through the inside-out combination of Embiid and Maxey.

PlayerPointsAssistsRebounds3PMDouble-Double1st Basket
Jaylen Brown (BOS)O/U (-113/-115)O/U (+108/-143)O/U (+103/-136)O/U (+135/-181)Yes/No (+180/-240)(+850)
Derrick White (BOS)O/U (-109/-120)O/U (+113/-150)O/U (-154/+116)O/U (+127/-170)Yes/No (+320/-450)(+1200)
Payton Pritchard (BOS)O/U (-126/-104)O/U (-117/-113)O/U (+104/-138)O/U (-143/+108)Yes/No (+850/-1500)(+1800)
Joel Embiid (PHI)O/U (-107/-122)O/U (-114/-116)O/U (+112/-148)O/U (+102/-136)Yes/No (-130/+105)(+750)
Tyrese Maxey (PHI)O/U (-117/-112)O/U (-152/+114)O/U (-161/+121)O/U (+106/-139)Yes/No (+250/-330)(+950)
Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI)O/U (-126/-104)O/U (+140/-188)O/U (+117/-155)O/U (-103/-128)Yes/No (+450/-650) 

Odds via consensus lines as of November 11.

Market Movement Analysis

Jaylen Brown (BOS): Without Tatum commanding defensive attention, Brown's points prop opened at a lower number but has seen steady movement upward as bettors recognize his expanded role. His assists prop shows heavy juice on the under (-143), suggesting the market expects him to hunt his own shot rather than facilitate extensively.

Joel Embiid (PHI): The market is bullish on Embiid's scoring output, with his points prop carrying slightly favorable odds for the over (-107). However, his rebounds prop shows significant movement toward the under (-148), indicating concerns about Boston's ability to compete on the glass despite their statistical weaknesses.

Tyrese Maxey (PHI): Maxey's assists prop has the over carrying heavy juice (-152) at most books. This reflects his evolution from pure scorer to primary facilitator in Philadelphia's offense, particularly with George unavailable to handle secondary playmaking duties.

Team Strengths and Weaknesses: Identifying Prop Betting Edges

Understanding each team's core tendencies becomes crucial when key players are absent, as these characteristics often become more pronounced with reduced roster depth.

Boston Celtics: Perimeter Excellence Meets Interior Struggles

Strength: Elite Three-Point Volume
The Celtics' offensive identity revolves around generating looks from beyond the arc, launching a league-leading 44.8 three-point attempts per game. While their conversion rate sits at a respectable 32.7%, this relentless approach creates consistent opportunities for their guards and wings to accumulate makes.

Player Prop Angle: With Tatum out of the equation, Boston's remaining shooters will see increased volume. This makes the Over on Derrick White's 3-Pointers Made particularly appealing, as he figures to absorb many of those vacated attempts in the half-court offense.

Weakness: Defensive Rebounding Deficiency
Boston's most glaring vulnerability lies in securing defensive boards after forcing misses. The Celtics post a concerning defensive rebounding percentage of 69.6%, ranking low in the league. They surrender 12.9 offensive rebounds per game to opponents, creating additional scoring chances for aggressive offensive rebounders.

Player Prop Angle: This weakness directly benefits Philadelphia's interior presence. The Over on Joel Embiid's Rebounds becomes an attractive play, as Boston's inability to clear the glass consistently will provide multiple opportunities for second-chance points and inflated rebounding numbers for the 76ers' dominant center.

Philadelphia 76ers: Free Throw Frequency vs Transition Troubles

Strength: Superior Free Throw Generation
The 76ers excel at drawing contact and getting to the charity stripe, averaging 28.7 free throw attempts per game. This aggressive approach to attacking the rim forces opponents into foul trouble while providing reliable scoring opportunities even when field goals aren't falling.

Player Prop Angle: Embiid drives this team strength with his ability to draw fouls in the post. Even if Boston's interior defense makes his shots difficult, his consistent trips to the free throw line provide a high floor for the Over on Joel Embiid's Points prop.

Weakness: Transition Defense Collapse
Philadelphia's most exploitable flaw appears in transition, where they surrender a league-worst 23.5 fast break points per game. This defensive breakdown after turnovers and missed shots creates easy scoring opportunities for athletic opponents.

Player Prop Angle: Jaylen Brown thrives in the open court and figures to be the primary beneficiary of Philadelphia's transition struggles. This defensive weakness supports betting the Over on Jaylen Brown's Points, as he should find multiple high-percentage scoring opportunities in transition situations.

Best Celtics vs 76ers Player Prop Bets

 

Based on usage projections, recent performance trends, and key defensive mismatches, two scoring props offer exceptional value in this rivalry matchup.

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Best Bet: Jaylen Brown Over Points

The Pick: Jaylen Brown Over Points

With Jayson Tatum sidelined, Brown transforms from complementary scorer to primary offensive option. His usage rate has exploded to 39.6% over his last five games, during which he's averaged 28.4 points on 23 field goal attempts per contest. This volume alone positions him favorably to exceed his points total.

The matchup provides an ideal environment for a high-scoring performance. Philadelphia surrenders 23.5 fast break points per game, the worst mark in the league. Brown excels in transition situations and should capitalize on numerous easy scoring opportunities created by the 76ers' defensive breakdowns.

Supporting Trend: Brown has exceeded 26.5 points in 4 of his last 5 games without Tatum, averaging 28.4 points per game in those contests while shooting 49.6% from the field.

Best Bet: Tyrese Maxey Over Points

The Pick: Tyrese Maxey Over Points

Maxey has emerged as Philadelphia's offensive catalyst, averaging 33.2 points per game while playing heavy minutes (41.1 per game). His home performance has been particularly impressive, posting 32.2 points per game on efficient 44.1% shooting across five home contests this season.

Boston's defensive attention will focus primarily on containing Embiid in the post, creating favorable perimeter matchups for Maxey to exploit. The Celtics have an opponent three-point percentage of 35.9%, providing opportunities for Maxey to connect from long range while also attacking the rim consistently.

Supporting Trend: Maxey has demonstrated strong scoring performances recently. His scoring average has increased this season.

Editorial Team