A marquee NFC West showdown presents a treasure trove of player prop opportunities as the Seattle Seahawks visit the Los Angeles Rams with first place on the line. Both teams enter at 7-2, making this Sunday afternoon clash at SoFi Stadium a pivotal divisional battle with significant playoff implications.
Seahawks vs. Rams Props, Picks and Best Bets for NFL Week 11
The offensive firepower on display is extraordinary. Rams signal-caller Matthew Stafford enters this contest averaging an impressive 269.7 passing yards per game with a stellar 114.8 passer rating. He's coming off a dominant performance where he threw for five touchdowns, connecting twice with star wideout Davante Adams and once with Puka Nacua.
On the other side, Seattle's Sam Darnold is playing with incredible efficiency, boasting a 116.5 passer rating and averaging 9.9 yards per attempt. He also tossed five touchdowns in his last outing and will look to veteran target Cooper Kupp to make plays in his emotional return to face his former team.
With dynamic running backs like the Rams' Kyren Williams (73.2 rushing yards per game) and the Seahawks' Kenneth Walker III (59.9 rushing yards per game) also featured, the scoreboard figures to be busy. This NFC West showdown kicks off at 4:05 PM EST on November 16 at SoFi Stadium, with the winner taking sole possession of the division lead.
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Player Props Analysis
With two high-powered offenses set to clash in perfect indoor conditions, the player prop market is ripe with opportunities for sharp bettors. We'll examine the key passing, rushing, receiving, and touchdown props for this crucial divisional matchup.
Passing Props
| Player | Passing Yards (Prop) | Pass Completions | Passing TDs (Prop) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford (LA) | 279.5 | 25.5 | 2.5 |
| Sam Darnold (SEA) | 251.5 | 20.5 | 1.5 |
The quarterback duel presents intriguing line movements that reveal market sentiment. Matthew Stafford's pass completions prop has experienced significant volatility; the over opened at -125 but has since moved to +100, indicating the market now favors him to complete fewer than 25.5 passes. His passing touchdowns line remains heavily juiced to the under at -200, though the over price has shortened slightly from +150 to +145, suggesting some late action on a big day from the veteran quarterback.
For Seattle, Sam Darnold's passing touchdowns prop has moved in the opposite direction. The over on his 1.5 total opened at -115 and has since been bet up to -128, signaling growing confidence that he will throw for at least two scores against a Rams defense.
Rushing & Receiving Props
| Player | Rushing Yards (Prop) | Rushing Attempts (Prop) | Receiving Yards (Prop) | Receptions (Prop) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua (LA) | N/A | N/A | 88.5 | 7.5 |
| Davante Adams (LA) | N/A | N/A | 62.5 | 5.5 |
| Kyren Williams (LA) | 53.5 | 12.5 | 14.5 | 2.5 |
| Tyler Higbee (LA) | N/A | N/A | 24.5 | 2.5 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | N/A | N/A | 97.5 | 7.5 |
| Kenneth Walker III (SEA) | 44.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| Cooper Kupp (SEA) | N/A | N/A | 31.5 | 2.5 |
| Zach Charbonnet (SEA) | 32.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
The rushing backfield props tell a compelling story about projected workload distribution. Seahawks running back Zach Charbonnet's rushing attempts prop opened with the over favored at -139 but has swung dramatically to +105, with the under now a heavy favorite at -143. This sharp reversal suggests the market expects Kenneth Walker III, whose own attempts prop moved from +100 to -105 on the over, to handle the majority of Seattle's ground attack.
Among the receivers, Tyler Higbee's reception prop has generated the most significant action. The over on 2.5 catches moved from +100 to -125, indicating sharp money believes the veteran tight end will see increased target share as a safety valve against Seattle's aggressive secondary.
Touchdown Scorer Props
| Player | Anytime TD Scorer | First TD Scorer |
|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua (LA) | -130 | +515 |
| Davante Adams (LA) | -120 | +558 |
| Kyren Williams (LA) | -103 | +642 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | +117 | +783 |
| Zach Charbonnet (SEA) | +156 | +967 |
| Kenneth Walker III (SEA) | +195 | +1100 |
| Cooper Kupp (SEA) | +393 | +2167 |
| Tyler Higbee (LA) | +357 | +1867 |
The most dramatic movement in the touchdown market surrounds Rams running back Kyren Williams. His anytime touchdown odds opened at +114 but have been bet all the way to -103, crossing from underdog to favorite territory. This represents one of the most significant shifts on the board, with his first touchdown scorer odds also shortening from +750 to +642.
Conversely, both Seahawks running backs have seen their odds drift longer, with Zach Charbonnet's anytime TD price moving from +144 to +156 and Kenneth Walker III's shifting from +182 to +195, reflecting decreased market confidence in Seattle's ground game finding the end zone.
Best Player Props & Predictions for Seahawks vs. Rams
This divisional heavyweight bout offers several compelling prop betting opportunities based on market movement, situational trends, and matchup-specific advantages. Our analysis focuses on the most actionable wagers where statistical trends align with sharp money movement.
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Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-103) — The Market's Strongest Signal
The loudest message from the betting market surrounds Rams running back Kyren Williams, whose anytime touchdown odds have experienced a seismic shift from +114 to -103. This type of dramatic line movement crossing from plus-money to minus-money territory typically indicates respected money forcing the adjustment.
Statistical Foundation:
- Williams averages 73.2 rushing yards per game, nearly 20 yards above his prop line of 53.5
- He has found the end zone in recent home games at SoFi Stadium
- The Rams convert 63.4% of their red zone opportunities into touchdowns, third-best in the NFC
Matchup Advantage: Seattle's defense faces challenges against opposing running backs. Williams' dual-threat ability as both a goal-line back and pass-catching option makes him the primary beneficiary of the Rams' red zone efficiency.
The Pick: Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-103)
Sam Darnold Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-128) — Riding the Hot Hand
The market has shown increasing confidence in Darnold's ability to maintain his torrid touchdown pace, with the over moving from -115 to -128. This reflects both his recent five-touchdown explosion and the favorable matchup dynamics.
Key Supporting Factors:
- Darnold averages 1.9 passing touchdowns per game this season
- Seattle averages 30.6 points per game with a 67.7% red zone touchdown conversion rate
- The Rams have shown susceptibility to passing touchdowns in recent games
Game Script Advantage: With the total set at 48.5 points, oddsmakers expect a shootout where both quarterbacks will be airing it out frequently. Darnold's connection with targets like Jaxon Smith-Njigba should neutralize the Rams' pass rush effectiveness.
The Pick: Sam Darnold Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-128)
Same Game Parlay Suggestion
For bettors seeking correlated value, a Rams-centric parlay offers strong logical connection:
Leg 1: Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown (-103)
Leg 2: Tyler Higbee Over 2.5 Receptions (-125)
Parlay Logic: This combination hinges on successful offensive drives for Los Angeles. If the Rams are moving the ball effectively enough for Williams to punch in a touchdown, Higbee will likely serve as a crucial possession receiver on those scoring drives. The tight end's line movement from +100 to -125 suggests the market expects increased target share as a safety valve against Seattle's aggressive coverage schemes focused on neutralizing Puka Nacua and Davante Adams.