Saturday night's showdown between the Baltimore Ravens and Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field promises to be one of Week 17's most compelling matchups. With both teams fighting for playoff positioning, this non-conference battle features two dynamic quarterbacks in Lamar Jackson and Jordan Love, though injury concerns could dramatically alter the game's complexion.
Ravens vs Packers Week 17 Prediction
The Ravens enter this crucial contest with their playoff hopes hanging in the balance, desperately needing wins to secure a wild-card spot. Meanwhile, the Packers have emerged as legitimate NFC contenders, with Love's development transforming their offensive identity. What makes this matchup particularly intriguing is how similar these teams are statistically - Green Bay averages 24.0 points per game compared to Baltimore's 23.8 - yet their paths to success couldn't be more different.
Green Bay's aerial attack has racked up 3,340 passing yards this season, while the Ravens have ground out 2,218 rushing yards behind the powerful duo of Jackson and Derrick Henry. The contrasting styles should create fascinating chess matches throughout the game, particularly if both starting quarterbacks are healthy enough to showcase their skills.
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Ravens vs. Packers Betting Information
Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
Kickoff: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Lambeau Field — Green Bay, WI
- Moneyline: Packers (-205) | Ravens (+170)
- Spread: Packers -4.5 (+100) | Ravens +4.5 (-120)
- Total: 40.5 (Over -102 | Under -118)
Betting odds courtesy of DraftKings.
The betting market has spoken decisively about this matchup, with dramatic line movement telling the story. The Packers opened as 1.5-point underdogs but have shifted to become 4.5-point home favorites, indicating strong public and sharp money backing Green Bay. Perhaps even more telling is the total, which has plummeted from an opening number of 46.5 all the way down to 40.5 points - a massive six-point drop that suggests concerns about offensive execution from both teams.
Key Statistical Matchups: Where the Game Will Be Won
When breaking down how these teams match up, the numbers reveal why this could be such a tightly contested battle. Offensively, both squads are nearly identical in scoring output, but their methodologies create compelling contrasts that could determine the outcome.
The most significant edge appears in situational football. Green Bay converts an exceptional 50.3% of their third-down attempts, ranking among the league's elite in extending drives. This efficiency will be crucial against a Ravens defense that has managed 10 interceptions but struggles with consistency. Conversely, Baltimore's red zone struggles are glaring - they've converted just 45.3% of their trips inside the 20 into touchdowns, compared to Green Bay's more reliable 58.9% rate.
Turnovers could be the decisive factor. The Packers have maintained a positive +1 turnover differential this season, protecting the football while creating opportunities. The Ravens, meanwhile, have been plagued by mistakes, sitting at -5 with 22 giveaways that have cost them in crucial moments.
Recent form adds another layer of intrigue. Henry is coming off a multi-touchdown performance despite Baltimore's loss, showcasing his ability to produce even when the team struggles. The Packers' offense managed 384 yards in their last outing but settled for field goals instead of touchdowns - a trend that must change against Baltimore's opportunistic defense.
Ravens vs Packers Prediction: Defense and Efficiency Will Rule
This Saturday night clash at Lambeau Field is shaping up to be a defensive slugfest where every possession matters. The dramatic line movement - particularly the total dropping six full points to 40.5 - reflects legitimate concerns about both offenses' ability to consistently reach the end zone.
Green Bay's superior situational execution gives them the edge in what should be a low-scoring affair. Their 50.3% third-down conversion rate will be crucial for controlling the clock and limiting Baltimore's explosive rushing attack. The Ravens' inability to finish drives consistently, scoring touchdowns on less than half their red zone attempts, could prove fatal in a game where field goals won't be enough.
The turnover battle heavily favors the Packers (+1 differential vs -5 for Baltimore), and in a tight game, those extra possessions become magnified. Green Bay's cleaner play and home-field advantage at frozen Lambeau should be enough to cover the spread.
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Best Bet: Under 40.5 Total Points
The market has aggressively moved this total down for good reason. Both teams have shown struggles finishing drives, and with potential weather factors at Lambeau in late December, expect a grind-it-out affair with plenty of punts and field goals.
Player Prop Focus: Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown (-105)
Even in a low-scoring game, Henry remains Baltimore's most reliable red zone weapon. The Ravens have built their 2,218 rushing yards primarily through Henry's power, and he's the obvious choice to punch in Baltimore's limited scoring opportunities. At near even odds, this presents solid value for the Ravens' primary offensive catalyst.