Raiders-Cowboys Props and Picks: Back Bowers, Lamb for Monday Night Football

This Monday Night Football clash between the Dallas Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders presents a compelling non-conference matchup with significant playoff implications and enticing player prop opportunities. The spotlight centers on two veteran quarterbacks leading high-octane offenses in what promises to be an aerial circus under the Allegiant Stadium dome.

Best Raiders-Cowboys Props for Monday Night Football

For Dallas, Dak Prescott has established himself as a model of consistency this season, averaging 257.7 passing yards per game while orchestrating an offense that puts up 28.8 points per contest. His primary weapons include CeeDee Lamb, who continues to serve as the focal point of the passing attack, and reliable tight end Jake Ferguson, who has emerged as a red zone threat. The ground game features Javonte Williams, who has been one of the Cowboys most impressive offensive players through the first ten weeks of the season.

On the Las Vegas sideline, Geno Smith enters this primetime stage coming off a complete dud in which the offense scored just seven points in a loss at Denver in Week 10. His connection with second-year tight end Brock Bowers will be crucial for the Raiders passing attack after the team traded away it's top receiver Jakobi Myers. The Raiders' ground attack centers around Ashton Jeanty, who has provided a dynamic element to their offensive scheme.

This marquee matchup kicks off at 8:15 pm ET, from the climate-controlled confines of Allegiant Stadium. The following analysis dissects key player matchups, statistical trends, and line movements to identify the most valuable betting angles for this primetime showdown.

New users can claim the BetMGM bonus code TSN150 or TSN1500 to win $150 in bonus bets or score a $1,500 First Bet Offer, depending on your location.

Player Props Analysis: Quarterback Duel Headlines Monday Night Slate

The player prop market for this primetime affair offers a fascinating glimpse into how oddsmakers view the offensive capabilities of both squads, with particular emphasis on the aerial attack from both veteran signal-callers.

Passing Props: Veteran Quarterbacks in the Spotlight

The quarterback prop landscape tells a compelling story about market expectations. Prescott's passing yardage line sits at 258.5, just one yard above his season average, creating a genuine toss-up scenario. However, the market displays overwhelming confidence in his red zone efficiency, with his passing touchdowns prop heavily juiced to the over at -187. This line has shown some movement from its opening price of -205, suggesting slight buyback on the under.

Smith's props reflect a more conservative outlook despite his recent four-touchdown explosion. His passing yardage total sits at a modest 233.5, while his touchdown prop mirrors Prescott's at 1.5 but with more balanced -114 odds on the over. The most intriguing development involves his completions prop, which opened with the over favored at -122 but has since flipped entirely to +100, indicating sharp money believes Dallas's defense will limit his completion opportunities.

Skill Position Props: Workhorses and Playmakers

The skill position markets reveal expectations for a ground-and-pound approach from both teams. Williams carries a rushing yards line of 75.5 with his attempts prop set at 17.5 (-122 over), signaling expected heavy usage in the Cowboys' offensive game plan.

For the pass-catchers, Lamb leads Dallas with a robust receiving yards line of 88.5, while his receptions prop sits at 6.5 with the over juiced to -130. The Raiders' prop market is dominated by Bowers, whose receiving yards line matches Williams' rushing total at 75.5. Following his three-touchdown performance, his receptions line is set at 6.5, with the over experiencing significant movement from an opening +103 to the current -111.

Touchdown Scorer Market: Goal-Line Favorites Emerge

The touchdown market heavily favors the workhorses, with Williams commanding the shortest odds at -175 for anytime touchdown scorer. His Raiders counterpart, Jeanty, follows closely at -145. The most dramatic movement belongs to Bowers, whose anytime touchdown odds have tightened from an opening +130 to +100, while his prop to score multiple touchdowns has plummeted from +1000 to +600, reflecting market confidence in another explosive performance.

Best Player Prop Bets: Identifying Prime Opportunities

After analyzing market sentiment, statistical trends, and game script projections, three player props emerge as the most compelling betting opportunities for Monday night's showcase.

Use the linked DraftKings promo code on this page to bet $5 and get $300 in bonus bets (if you win) plus three months of NBA League Pass.

Lock Play: Brock Bowers Over 6.5 Receptions (-111)

The rookie sensation represents the evening's most confident play, supported by overwhelming market movement and game script analysis. The dramatic line shift from +103 to -111 on the over reflects rare consensus between public and professional bettors.

Supporting Evidence:

• Volume Expectation: Dallas averages 28.8 points per game, forcing opponents into pass-heavy game scripts to maintain pace
• Target Share Dominance: Bowers has established himself as Smith's primary safety valve, particularly on third-down conversions and red zone opportunities
• Matchup Advantage: The Cowboys defense has struggled against tight ends in intermediate routes, Bowers' specialty area

The game flow strongly favors a high-target night for the rookie, as Las Vegas will likely trail or engage in a shootout scenario that demands consistent chain-moving receptions.

Value Play: Jake Ferguson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155)

While Williams enters as the heavy touchdown favorite, Ferguson presents superior value based on Dallas's red zone tendencies and Prescott's passing touchdown expectations.

Red Zone Efficiency Analysis:

• Elite Red Zone Production: Dallas converts nearly 62% of red zone trips into touchdowns, ranking among the league's most efficient units
• Prescott's Air Raid Approach: The heavy juice on Prescott's passing touchdown over (-187) indicates multiple aerial scores expected
• Market Value: Ferguson's odds have already tightened from +180 to +155, but still offer strong value for a key red zone target

Correlation Play: Same Game Parlay Construction

For bettors seeking enhanced payouts through correlated outcomes, this three-leg parlay leverages Dallas's offensive strengths:

Leg 1: Dak Prescott Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-187)

• Foundation play based on Dallas's 28.8 scoring average and red zone efficiency

Leg 2: CeeDee Lamb Over 88.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

• Prescott's touchdown production requires heavy involvement from his primary target

Leg 3: Jake Ferguson Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-109)

• Conservative total that aligns with his role as a consistent chain-mover while defenses focus on Lamb

This parlay construction capitalizes on the interconnected nature of Dallas's passing attack, where Prescott's success directly correlates with increased targets and production for his primary weapons.