Week 14 brings a compelling slate of matchups featuring some of the league's most dynamic playmakers in prime position to deliver exceptional performances. The Cardinals' tight end continues his breakout campaign, while established stars like DJ Moore face defensive schemes that could create lucrative betting opportunities. Running backs across the conference will test defenses ranging from porous to elite, setting up intriguing ground game battles.
This week's prop landscape reveals several misaligned lines where elite talent meets favorable matchups. We've identified the most valuable player prop bet for each team, focusing on volume-driven opportunities and defensive vulnerabilities that create clear statistical edges.
NFL Week 14 Prop Picks: Best Bets for Every Team in Week 14
Here we dive into the player prop market to identify the most valuable bet for one player on every team playing this Sunday. By analyzing the matchups and consensus lines, we've pinpointed where the numbers offer a clear edge.
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| Team | Opponent | Best Player Bet | Prop Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | LA | Trey McBride | Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-114) |
| CHI | GB | DJ Moore | Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-113) |
| DEN | LV | Courtland Sutton | Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-121) |
| GB | CHI | Josh Jacobs | Over 77.5 Rushing Yards (-112) |
| LA | ARI | Kyren Williams | Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-114) |
| LV | DEN | Brock Bowers | Over 57.5 Receiving Yards (-114) |
Top Prop Bets of the Week
While each pick in the table offers value, these three stand out as our most confident plays for the slate.
Trey McBride (ARI) - Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
McBride has emerged as the undisputed primary target in Arizona's passing attack, commanding a target share that reflects his elite route-running and reliable hands. With quarterback Jacoby Brissett's pass attempts line set at 37.5, expect significant volume to flow through the Cardinals' star tight end. His receptions prop sits at 7.5 with the over priced at -113, creating a compelling correlation play. If McBride reaches that catch total against the Rams' secondary, surpassing 76.5 receiving yards becomes highly probable given his ability to create separation and rack up yards after the catch.
DJ Moore (CHI) - Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
This line represents a significant undervaluation of an elite wide receiver's floor production. Despite facing a challenging divisional road environment at Lambeau Field, a receiving total of just 32.5 yards creates an incredibly low barrier for a player of Moore's caliber and target volume. The Bears' primary aerial weapon possesses the route diversity and big-play capability to eclipse this number on minimal touches, making this one of the week's most attractive value propositions.
Kyren Williams (LA) - Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Williams operates as the bell-cow back in the Rams' ground-and-pound approach, consistently handling heavy workloads regardless of game script. Against Arizona's run defense, Los Angeles should find favorable opportunities to establish their rushing attack early and often. The 66.5-yard line aligns perfectly with Williams' usage patterns and the offensive coordinator's tendency to lean on their featured back. With a combined rushing and receiving yards line of 81.5, the market clearly expects substantial involvement from the Rams' workhorse.
Matchup Analysis & Prop Breakdowns
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals
This NFC West clash at State Farm Stadium showcases two offenses with clearly defined focal points, creating advantageous betting angles on both sides.
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Los Angeles Rams: Kyren Williams Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Williams anchors the Rams' ground game with consistent carries and goal-line opportunities. Facing the Cardinals' run defense, expect Los Angeles to emphasize ball control and time of possession through their featured back. The 66.5-yard threshold represents a reasonable target for a runner who consistently handles 18-22 touches per game and thrives in short-yardage situations.
Arizona Cardinals: Trey McBride Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
McBride's emergence as the Cardinals' top receiving threat has created predictable target distribution patterns. His reception prop of 7.5 indicates market expectation of heavy involvement against the Rams' pass coverage. Given his red zone utilization and intermediate route mastery, reaching 76.5 receiving yards becomes highly achievable when paired with the projected target volume.
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
This storied NFC North rivalry at Lambeau Field presents contrasting offensive approaches that benefit specific skill position players.
Chicago Bears: DJ Moore Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
The prop line dramatically underestimates Moore's production floor as the Bears' unquestioned No. 1 receiver. His route tree and target share make 32.5 yards attainable on a single reception, let alone across an entire divisional game where Chicago will need sustained drives. The Bears' passing scheme frequently targets Moore on comeback routes and crossing patterns that generate consistent yardage accumulation.
Green Bay Packers: Josh Jacobs Over 77.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Against the Bears' front seven, the Packers figure to establish their power running game through their veteran back. Jacobs' 77.5-yard line reflects his role as the primary ball carrier in short-yardage and red zone situations. His combination of between-the-tackles running and occasional receiving work creates multiple paths to surpassing this rushing total in a divisional contest.
Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders
This AFC West matchup at Allegiant Stadium features pass-catchers positioned to exploit defensive vulnerabilities in the intermediate passing game.
Denver Broncos: Courtland Sutton Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-121)
Sutton maintains his status as a primary target in Denver's vertical passing concepts. The 46.5-yard line appears conservative for a receiver with his contested catch ability and downfield threat. Against the Raiders' secondary, expect the Broncos to challenge coverage with Sutton's size and route precision, creating opportunities for chunk yardage that easily surpasses this modest threshold.
Las Vegas Raiders: Brock Bowers Over 57.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Bowers presents a dynamic receiving threat from multiple alignments, creating matchup challenges for Denver's coverage schemes. His 57.5-yard prop reflects his integral role in the Raiders' passing attack, particularly in the intermediate zones where his route-running creates separation. Against the Broncos, expect sufficient target volume and yardage opportunities to clear this receiving line comfortably.