Tuesday night's NBA action delivers a compelling three-game slate featuring some of the league's most dynamic playmakers and emerging stars. The marquee matchup showcases the Battle of Los Angeles, where the Los Angeles Lakers and their high-octane offense led by Luka Dončić face off against the LA Clippers' veteran core.
With several key players dealing with injuries and role adjustments, tonight's slate offers sharp bettors numerous angles to attack the player prop market. We've identified the most favorable matchups where stars are positioned to exceed expectations and where situational factors create compelling betting opportunities.
It's a light three-game slate before a busy Thanksgiving Eve, but let's jump in and take a look at some of our favorite plays. Sign up using the bet365 bonus code TSN365 to get a $150 bonus or use a $1,000 safety net for one of these NBA player props.
Best NBA Player Props for November 25
After analyzing tonight's matchups, injury reports, and recent performance trends, we've pinpointed the strongest player prop bet for each team in action. These selections focus on players whose roles align perfectly with their opponents' defensive weaknesses or recent usage patterns.
| Team | Opponent | Best Player Bet | Prop Pick & Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks | WAS | Jalen Johnson | Over 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-122) |
| Washington Wizards | ATL | Alexandre Sarr | Over 1.5 Blocks (-156) |
| Orlando Magic | PHI | Franz Wagner | Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-132) |
| LA Clippers | LAL | James Harden | Over 9.5 Assists (-147) |
| Los Angeles Lakers | LAC | Austin Reaves | Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-129) |
Premium Prop Selections
Three props stand out as particularly strong plays based on matchup dynamics and recent trends:
James Harden Over 9.5 Assists (-147) capitalizes on the Clippers' need for offensive orchestration in a high-profile divisional clash. Harden has averaged 11.2 assists over his last five games against teams that play at pace above 102 possessions per game. The Lakers' transition defense has allowed opponents to generate quality looks in secondary break situations, creating multiple assist opportunities for primary ball handlers.
Alexandre Sarr Over 1.5 Blocks (-156) exploits Atlanta's paint-heavy offensive approach perfectly. The Hawks rank fourth in drives per game this season, consistently challenging rim protectors. Sarr has recorded multiple blocks in seven of his last 10 games against teams with drive rates exceeding 50 per game, showcasing his ability to capitalize on aggressive offensive styles.
Key Injuries Impacting Tonight's Props
Several significant absences will reshape rotation minutes and usage patterns across tonight's slate, creating derivative value on supporting players' prop markets.
Paolo Banchero (Orlando Magic) - Out (Groin)
The Magic's primary offensive engine remains sidelined, fundamentally altering Orlando's shot distribution. Banchero's absence has increased Franz Wagner's usage rate from 23.1% to 28.4% over the last five games, directly correlating with his increased three-point attempts per game (6.8 vs. 4.2 season average). This expanded role makes Wagner's three-point prop particularly attractive against Philadelphia's perimeter defense.
Trae Young (Atlanta Hawks) - Out (Knee)
Young's continued absence elevates Jalen Johnson's importance as both a secondary playmaker and primary rebounder. Without Young's 29.2% usage rate, Johnson has seen his assist opportunities increase significantly, recording four or more assists in three of his last four games. His expanded role in transition situations directly supports the rebounds plus assists combination prop.
Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) - Out (Knee)
The Lakers' interior depth takes another hit without their starting center, potentially forcing smaller lineups that rely more heavily on perimeter shooting. This absence should increase Austin Reaves' catch-and-shoot opportunities, as the Lakers will need additional floor spacing to compensate for reduced interior presence.
Matchup Analysis & Prop Breakdowns
Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards
Jalen Johnson Over 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-122)
Johnson's elevated role in Young's absence has transformed him into Atlanta's primary facilitator from the forward position. The Wizards allow 14.2 assists per game to opposing power forwards this season, ranking 24th in the league. Johnson's rebounding has also spiked against faster-paced teams, averaging 8.1 boards over his last six games against opponents with pace above 101. Washington's tendency to get up and down the court should create multiple possession-ending opportunities for Johnson to contribute in both categories.
Alexandre Sarr Over 1.5 Blocks (-156)
The Hawks' aggressive offensive approach plays directly into Sarr's defensive strengths. Atlanta ranks in the top five for field goal attempts within five feet of the rim, consistently challenging interior defenders. Sarr has demonstrated excellent timing against athletic teams, recording multiple blocks in 70% of his games against opponents shooting above 45% on drives. The rookie's 7-foot-4 wingspan creates natural advantages against Atlanta's slashing style.
Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers
Franz Wagner Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-132)
Wagner's transformation into Orlando's primary scorer has coincided with increased perimeter volume. Without Banchero's interior presence, the Magic have shifted toward a more perimeter-oriented attack, with Wagner attempting 6.8 three-pointers per game over the last five contests. Philadelphia's defense has struggled against versatile forwards who can create their own looks, allowing 37.2% shooting on contested three-pointers to players in Wagner's positional range.
LA Clippers @ Los Angeles Lakers
The Battle of LA concludes the evening with a star-studded affair that should showcase both teams' offensive capabilities.
James Harden Over 9.5 Assists (-147)
Harden's role as the Clippers' primary orchestrator becomes even more crucial in high-profile matchups where offensive efficiency determines outcomes. The Lakers' defensive rotation has allowed 24.7 assists per game over their last 10 contests, ranking 22nd in team assist defense. Harden's ability to find Kawhi Leonard in favorable matchups and create open looks for role players should generate multiple assist opportunities throughout the game's flow.
Austin Reaves Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-129)
The Lakers' offensive spacing will be tested without Ayton's interior presence, likely increasing Reaves' catch-and-shoot opportunities from the perimeter. Reaves has connected on 42.3% of his three-point attempts over the last seven games, with his improved shot selection resulting in higher-quality looks. The Clippers' defensive focus on containing Dončić should create favorable shooting angles for complementary scorers like Reaves, who thrives in spot-up situations.