The Independence Bowl is set to deliver an intriguing non-conference clash on December 30, 2025, when the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs face off against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Independence Stadium in Shreveport. Both teams enter at 7-5, but this matchup presents a fascinating contrast between Conference USA's Louisiana Tech and the Sun Belt's Coastal Carolina.
Louisiana Tech vs Coastal Carolina Prediction
Louisiana Tech enters this bowl game riding momentum from their second consecutive Independence Bowl appearance, showcasing the program's growing consistency under head coach Sonny Cumbie. The Bulldogs bring a more explosive offensive attack, averaging 27.5 points per game compared to the Chanticleers' 22.8. Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina is looking to build positive momentum for their new coaching staff as they transition into a fresh chapter.
The key storyline revolves around Louisiana Tech's exceptional ball security and takeaway ability. The Bulldogs have built an outstanding +9 turnover differential this season, fueled by 20 interceptions from their opportunistic defense. This creates a nightmare scenario for the Chanticleers, who sit at a net-zero turnover differential.
Head coach Sonny Cumbie has added intrigue to the matchup, teasing "curveballs and new wrinkles" in his game plan during pre-game press conferences. His emotional praise of key players like Landon Nelson and Cedric Woods, whom he called a "unicorn" for his unique talents, has Louisiana Tech fans buzzing about the team's preparation.
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Louisiana Tech vs. Coastal Carolina Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Louisiana Tech -403, Coastal Carolina +314
- Spread: Louisiana Tech -10.5 (-108)
- Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-111 O / -109 U)
Betting odds courtesy of consensus odds.
Louisiana Tech enters as the heavy favorite, reflected in the -403 moneyline and 10.5-point spread. The line has moved from its opening mark of -9.5, suggesting sharp money backing the Bulldogs. The total has dropped from 51.5 to 49.5, indicating expectations for a more defensive struggle.
Game Information:
- Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
- Kickoff Time: 2:00 PM EST
- Location: Independence Stadium, Shreveport, Louisiana
How Louisiana Tech and Coastal Carolina Match Up Statistically
The numbers paint a clear picture of Louisiana Tech's advantages across the board. The Bulldogs generate 364.5 total yards per game compared to Coastal Carolina's 321.4, with a powerful ground game that churns out 196.6 rushing yards per contest. The Chanticleers rely on a more balanced approach, splitting nearly evenly between rushing (163.7 yards per game) and passing (157.8 yards per game).
Louisiana Tech's efficiency on crucial downs gives them another edge, converting 42.3% of their third-down attempts versus Coastal Carolina's 34.3% rate. While the Chanticleers boast an impressive 86.1% red zone conversion rate, the Bulldogs' ability to sustain drives and create short fields through turnovers makes them dangerous.
Running back A. Burnette will be crucial for Louisiana Tech after his three-touchdown performance in their previous game. He'll face a Coastal Carolina defense that was part of a demoralizing 51-7 blowout loss in their last outing, raising questions about their ability to bounce back.
The most significant mismatch lies in ball security. Louisiana Tech's defense has been exceptional at creating takeaways with 20 interceptions, while their offense has protected the football effectively. This presents a major challenge for a Chanticleers team that has struggled to create similar advantages.
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Louisiana Tech vs. Coastal Carolina Pick and Prediction
Louisiana Tech has all the ingredients to cover the 10.5-point spread in what should be a decisive victory. The Bulldogs' superior offensive production, combined with their exceptional ability to create turnovers, gives them multiple paths to a comfortable win.
The turnover differential tells the story of this matchup. Louisiana Tech's +9 margin, built on 20 interceptions, creates a significant advantage over a Coastal Carolina team sitting at zero. When you combine the Bulldogs' ball-hawking defense with their efficient 42.3% third-down conversion rate, they should control field position and wear down the Chanticleers throughout the game.
Coastal Carolina's 51-7 blowout loss in their finale raises concerns about their mental state entering this bowl game, while Louisiana Tech has the familiarity advantage playing close to home in their second straight Independence Bowl appearance.
Best Bet: Louisiana Tech -10.5
The Bulldogs have the offensive firepower and defensive playmaking ability to pull away in the second half and cover the spread comfortably.