A marquee NFC showdown is set to unfold as two high-powered offenses clash, creating a tantalizing slate for player prop bettors. This matchup features a fascinating quarterback duel between two of the league's most efficient passers.
Lions vs. Eagles Player Props Picks and Best Bets for SNF
For the visiting Detroit Lions, Jared Goff has been exceptional, posting a stellar 117.7 passer rating on the season while averaging 248.3 passing yards per game. He's supported by the dynamic Jahmyr Gibbs, who is coming off a dominant three-touchdown performance in his last outing and averages 5.41 yards per carry.
On the other side, the Philadelphia Eagles counter with their own elite signal-caller, Jalen Hurts, who boasts a 112.0 passer rating, though the Philadelphia passing game struggled massively the last time out. The Eagles' ground game is spearheaded by Saquon Barkley, who rushed for just 60 yards in his last game and handles an average of 16.56 carries per contest.
With star power all over the field, this game offers tremendous value in the prop market. This NFC clash is set for an 8:20 PM EST kickoff on Sunday, November 16, from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. This article will break down the key statistical matchups to help you find the winning edge.
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NFL Player Props Analysis: Lions vs Eagles Betting Lines
This showdown between two of the league's most efficient offenses provides a treasure trove of opportunities in the player prop market. From the quarterback duel to the running back clash and the battles on the perimeter, we'll break down the key lines and where the value might lie.
Passing Props
| Player | Passing Yards | Pass Completions | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff (DET) | 235.5 (Over -112) | 21.5 (Over -126) | 1.5 (Over +102) |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 204.5 (Over -113) | 17.5 (Over -126) | 1.5 (Over -131) |
The quarterback props reflect the expected styles of their respective offenses. Jared Goff's lines are set higher across the board in yardage (235.5) and completions (21.5), which aligns with a Lions offense that averages more yards per game. Bettors have pushed the line on his completions, with the over moving from an opening price of -103 to a much heavier -126, signaling an expectation that Goff will be airing it out. Interestingly, the market has soured slightly on his touchdown potential, with his odds to throw for over 1.5 TDs shifting from -106 to +102.
For Jalen Hurts, the lines suggest a more methodical, efficient day. His passing yards total sits at a modest 204.5, but a significant amount of money has come in on his passing TDs over, which has been bet from -124 to -131. The market also anticipates a higher volume of successful passes, moving his completions over from -112 to -126, while his attempts line (26.5) remains relatively low.
Rushing & Receiving Props
| Player | Rushing Yards | Rushing Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 62.5 (Over -113) | 13.5 (Over -112) | 23.5 (Over -113) | 3.5 (Over +109) |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | N/A | N/A | 77.5 (Over -111) | 7.5 (Over +101) |
| David Montgomery (DET) | 38.5 (Over -111) | 10.5 (Over +102) | 7.5 (Over -116) | 1.5 (Over -123) |
| Jameson Williams (DET) | 0.5 (Over +109) | 0.5 (Over -117) | 55.5 (Over -114) | 3.5 (Over -148) |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 71.5 (Over -112) | 16.5 (Over -131) | 15.5 (Over -111) | 2.5 (Over -130) |
| A.J. Brown (PHI) | N/A | N/A | 60.5 (Over -111) | 4.5 (Over +106) |
| DeVonta Smith (PHI) | N/A | N/A | 55.5 (Over -114) | 4.5 (Over -107) |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | N/A | N/A | 36.5 (Over -115) | 4.5 (Over +120) |
In the ground game, Saquon Barkley's rushing attempts line (16.5) has seen its over odds juiced from -125 to -131, indicating the market expects Philadelphia to lean on its workhorse back who averages 16.56 carries per game. For the Lions, Jahmyr Gibbs holds a rushing line of 62.5 yards, but his backfield partner David Montgomery has seen a dramatic shift on his attempts prop. The over on his 10.5 carries has swung from a favored -126 to a +102 underdog, suggesting bettors anticipate a Gibbs-heavy game plan.
In the receiving corps, Amon-Ra St. Brown has the highest yardage prop on the board at 77.5, though his receptions line of 7.5 has seen money come in heavily on the under, moving the over from -147 to +101. Conversely, his teammate Jameson Williams has attracted significant action on his receptions over; the line on over 3.5 catches has shifted from -104 to a heavily favored -148. For the Eagles, A.J. Brown (60.5) and DeVonta Smith (55.5) have nearly identical yardage props, showcasing their balanced roles in the passing attack.
Touchdown Props
| Player | Anytime TD Scorer | First TD Scorer |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | -120 | +550 |
| David Montgomery (DET) | +150 | +900 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | +125 | +900 |
| Jameson Williams (DET) | +225 | +1500 |
| Sam LaPorta (DET) | +245 | +1600 |
| Brock Wright (DET) | +300 | +1900 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | -105 | +600 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | +125 | +700 |
| A.J. Brown (PHI) | +140 | +900 |
| DeVonta Smith (PHI) | +155 | +950 |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | +165 | +1000 |
| Jahan Dotson (PHI) | +850 | +4000 |
The touchdown market is dominated by the star running backs, with Saquon Barkley (-105) and Jahmyr Gibbs (-120) being the only two players with minus-odds to find the end zone. Bettors have backed both heavily, with Barkley's price shortening from an opening of +100 and Gibbs' from -110. Jalen Hurts is also a popular pick to score, as his odds have moved from +145 to +125, reflecting his reputation as one of the league's premier goal-line threats.
Among the pass-catchers, Amon-Ra St. Brown (+125) and A.J. Brown (+140) offer solid value. One of the most significant line movements belongs to David Montgomery, whose anytime touchdown odds have shortened considerably from +175 to +150, indicating that while his yardage props may be fading, the market still respects his nose for the goal line.
Best Player Prop Picks and Betting Strategy for Lions vs Eagles
After a deep dive into the statistical matchups and, most importantly, the sharp-money line movements, we've identified the most exploitable edges in the player prop market for this primetime NFC battle. While surface-level stats tell part of the story, following the money reveals where the market expects the game plan to deviate from season averages. Here are our top player prop picks for the Lions at Eagles.
Pick 1: Saquon Barkley Over 16.5 Rushing Attempts (-131)
The betting market is signaling a ground-and-pound approach from the Eagles. As the home favorite with a -2.5 point spread, the game script projects favorably for Philadelphia to control the clock, and the clearest path to doing so is by feeding their workhorse running back.
- Season Average: 16.56 carries per game
- Prop Line: 16.5 carries
- Market Movement: The over has been bet from -125 to -131, indicating sustained confidence from bettors that Barkley will see a heavy workload.
This prop aligns perfectly with Barkley's established usage. He is the undisputed bell cow, and the prop is set right at his season average. With the market continuing to push juice on the over, it's clear the expectation is for a game plan centered around him, especially if Philadelphia can build a lead. This isn't just a bet on talent; it's a bet on a clear and predictable offensive philosophy.
The Pick: Saquon Barkley Over 16.5 Rushing Attempts (-131)
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Pick 2: Jameson Williams Over 3.5 Receptions (-148)
One of the most telling market stories of this matchup is the flood of money coming in on Jameson Williams' volume props. Simultaneously, bettors have aggressively faded Amon-Ra St. Brown's reception total. This suggests an anticipated defensive scheme aimed at bracketing St. Brown, forcing Jared Goff to distribute the ball elsewhere. Williams appears to be the expected beneficiary.
| Player | Reception Prop | Opening Over Odds | Current Over Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jameson Williams | 3.5 | -104 | -148 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 7.5 | -147 | +101 |
The seismic shift on Williams' line from a near pick'em at -104 to a heavily juiced -148 is one of the most significant movements on the board. When the market speaks this loudly, it's wise to listen. This isn't a guess; it's following a trail of money that points directly toward an increased target share for the Lions' deep threat.
The Pick: Jameson Williams Over 3.5 Receptions (-148)
Lions vs Eagles Same Game Parlay
For those looking to combine correlated plays, a Philadelphia-centric parlay built around their offensive strengths offers compelling value.
- Leg 1: Saquon Barkley Anytime TD Scorer (-105)
- Leg 2: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD Scorer (+125)
This SGP banks on Philadelphia's elite red zone execution. The Eagles boast a stellar 81% red zone conversion rate, the best of the two teams. Barkley is the workhorse and the top scoring favorite on the board for a reason, with his odds shortening from +100 to -105. Hurts is arguably the league's most dangerous goal-line weapon at the quarterback position, and bettors have taken notice, pushing his odds down from +145 to +125. If the Eagles get inside the 10-yard line, there's a high probability one of these two will be punching it in. Combining them capitalizes on this concentrated, high-efficiency red zone attack.