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Knicks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Players Props, Picks, Predictions (Nov 5)

Alex Payton

Knicks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Players Props, Picks, Predictions (Nov 5) image

© Lucas Boland-Imagn Images

Wednesday night in the NBA features an exciting 11-game slate with a bevy of Playoff teams from last season, and even more hoping to crash the party this time around. One of the most anticipated matchups of the evening takes place at MSG, and bettors can get an inside track on placing wagers with these Knicks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Props, and Predictions.

 
  • With Knicks center Mitchell Robinson sidelined, New York's interior defense faces a major test against a Minnesota squad that generates 50.3 points in the paint per game.
  • The entire betting landscape hinges on Anthony Edwards' questionable status with a hamstring injury, potentially crippling Minnesota's efficient offense that shoots 49.8% from the field.
  • Sharp money appears to be backing the Under 227.5 despite public sentiment favoring a shootout, creating a strong contrarian betting opportunity.

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Knicks vs Timberwolves Odds, Props, and Predictions

Two teams riding impressive victories collide in a compelling cross-conference battle as the Minnesota Timberwolves visit the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden. Just one year ago, these two teams finalized a blockbuster trade that sent Karl-Anthony Towns to New York and Julius Randle to Minnesota, adding emotional intrigue to an already fascinating matchup. The Knicks enter as home favorites looking to leverage their MSG advantage, but significant injury concerns create betting uncertainty around the spread and total.

The contest features star power clash with New York's Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns facing off against Minnesota's potentially sidelined Anthony Edwards and former Knick, Julius Randle. This Wednesday night showdown tips off at 7:30 p.m. ET with national television coverage on ESPN, setting a crucial tone for their season series. The betting markets reflect the uncertainty, with line movement favoring Minnesota despite New York's home-court status.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks Odds

Knicks vs Timberwolves OddsMoneylineSpreadTotal
Minnesota Timberwolves+125+3.5 (-115)O 227.5 (-115)
New York Knicks-155-3.5 (-105)U 227.5 (-105)

Odds as of November 5 from MGM.

The Knicks enter as 3.5-point home favorites with (-155) moneyline odds, requiring a four-point victory to cover the spread. A successful $10 wager on the Knicks moneyline yields $6.45 profit, while backing the underdog Timberwolves returns $12.50 on the same stake.

Significant line movement tells the story of early betting action. The spread opened at Knicks (-5.5) before dropping two full points to the current (-3.5), suggesting sharp money backing Minnesota's ability to keep the contest competitive. The total has similarly moved from an opening 230.5 down to 227.5, indicating Under sentiment among early bettors who anticipate a lower-scoring affair than initially projected.

Key Betting Trends to Monitor

Recent performance patterns reveal several noteworthy trends that could influence wagering decisions. The Knicks have shown home dominance as favorites while Minnesota has consistently been involved in high-scoring affairs.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • The Timberwolves have struggled against the spread this season, posting a disappointing 2-5 ATS record
  • Totals have consistently trended high in Minnesota games, with the Over connecting in 5 of 7 contests

New York Knicks

  • The Knicks have dominated at Madison Square Garden when favored, winning their last 4 such games outright
  • New York shows strong bounce-back ability, going 3-1 in their last 4 games following a victory
  • The Knicks have struggled against quality opposition, posting just a 1-3 ATS mark in their last 4 games against teams with winning records

Fearless Forecast: Knicks Navigate Post-Trade Emotions

 

This first post-trade meeting creates compelling narratives but the betting value lies with the home favorites despite line movement favoring Minnesota. While Edwards' hamstring uncertainty represents a significant risk factor, the Knicks' home-court dominance as favorites provides strong historical backing for our position.

Narrative: New York has won their last four games as home favorites, demonstrating their ability to execute in pressure spots at Madison Square Garden. Even with Robinson's absence creating interior vulnerability, the uncertainty surrounding Edwards' availability tips the scales. If he sits, Minnesota's efficient offense loses its primary engine, forcing role players into uncomfortable creation roles. If he plays limited minutes, his effectiveness against New York's perimeter defense becomes questionable.

The line movement from (-5.5) to (-3.5) suggests sharp money on Minnesota, but we're getting value on a historically strong situational spot for the Knicks. Their methodical approach should help them grind out a cover against a potentially compromised Timberwolves attack.

Pick: New York Knicks -3.5 (-118)

Lock of the Week: Under 227.5 Total Points (-105)

The sharp money driving this total down from 230.5 tells the real story. While Minnesota games have trended Over this season, that pattern relied on Edwards' offensive contributions. His questionable status removes their primary pace-pusher and shot creator. New York's methodical halfcourt approach naturally leads to lower possessions, particularly against quality opponents where they can't simply outscore problems.

The injury situations favor a grinding, defensive-minded contest. Without Edwards' explosiveness, Minnesota loses easy transition opportunities. Without Robinson's rim protection, New York may adopt more conservative defensive schemes that slow the game's rhythm. Trust the line movement and injury impact over season-long trends.

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Best Player Prop: Julius Randle Over Rebounds (+100)

Robinson's absence creates a massive rebounding opportunity for Randle, who should feast on the glass against an undermanned Knicks frontcourt. While Towns will command boards, he'll be stretched defensively trying to cover Robinson's rim protection duties. Getting plus-money odds on Randle exceeding his rebound total represents exceptional value against a compromised rebounding unit.

News Correspondent