The New York Knicks head to the Alamo City on Wednesday, December 31st, looking to build on their recent offensive surge against a San Antonio Spurs team eager to bounce back at home. The Knicks are riding momentum from an impressive 130-125 road victory over the New Orleans Pelicans, where Jalen Brunson exploded for 28 points and the offense clicked on all cylinders.
Knicks vs Spurs Prediction for Wednesday Night
Meanwhile, the Spurs are licking their wounds after a 113-101 home loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, but they'll have the luxury of playing in front of their home crowd at the Frost Bank Center. The storyline here revolves around availability versus talent – while New York brings offensive firepower, they're dealing with some significant injury concerns that could swing this matchup. Victor Wembanyama remains the must-watch player for San Antonio, continuing to showcase why he's one of the league's most transcendent young talents.
This inter-conference clash presents an intriguing battle between a team finding its offensive rhythm and a rebuilding squad anchored by generational talent.
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Knicks vs Spurs Betting Odds
Date: Wednesday, December 31, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
TV: NBA TV, MSG, FDSSW
Here's how the betting market sees this matchup:
- Moneyline: Spurs (-122) | Knicks (+102)
- Spread: Spurs -1.5 (-115) | Knicks +1.5 (-105)
- Total: Over/Under 236.5 (O: -108, U: -112)
Betting odds courtesy of DraftKings
The oddsmakers are treating this as essentially a pick-em game, with San Antonio getting the slightest edge as the home team. That 1.5-point spread suggests we're in for a nail-biter that could come down to the final possessions. The high total of 236.5 points indicates bookmakers expect both offenses to light up the scoreboard, which makes sense given New York's recent offensive explosion.
Statistical Breakdown: High-Octane Offenses Meet
Both teams bring serious firepower to this matchup, setting up what should be an entertaining offensive showcase. The Knicks average an impressive 120.8 points per game, fueled by elite three-point shooting – they're knocking down 15.3 triples per contest at a scorching 38.4% clip. The Spurs aren't far behind offensively, putting up 119.5 points per game with a superior overall field goal percentage of 48.3%.
The defensive numbers tell a similar story of closely matched teams. San Antonio holds a slight edge, allowing 113.6 points per game with a 110.2 defensive rating compared to New York's 114.0 points allowed and 112.1 defensive rating.
Where this game could be won or lost is on the glass. The Knicks are absolutely relentless on the offensive boards, grabbing 13.7 per game and converting those into 17.5 second-chance points. That's going to test a Spurs team that posts a solid 52.5% total rebound percentage.
One potential X-factor is bench production. San Antonio's reserves contribute 41.4 points per game at home, significantly outpacing the 31.3 points the Knicks' bench provides on the road. In a potentially tight game, that depth advantage could prove decisive.
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Injury Report: New York's Depth Under Fire
The injury situation heavily favors San Antonio, with the Knicks dealing with multiple key absences that could significantly impact their game plan.
New York Knicks:
- Mitchell Robinson (C): Ankle (Out)
- Josh Hart (G): Ankle (Out)
- Landry Shamet (G): Shoulder (Out)
- Ariel Hukporti (C): Mouth (Questionable)
- Tyler Kolek (G): Ankle (Probable)
San Antonio Spurs:
- Stephon Castle (G): Thumb (Questionable)
Robinson's absence is particularly devastating for New York. He's one of the league's premier offensive rebounders, and losing him directly undermines the Knicks' bread-and-butter ability to generate second-chance opportunities. Hart's absence further thins their wing rotation and removes a high-energy catalyst from their system.
With three players definitively sidelined, the Knicks will be asking a lot from their available rotation players against a nearly full-strength Spurs squad. San Antonio's only concern is Castle's thumb issue, giving them a significant health advantage.
Prediction: Spurs Capitalize on New York's Shorthandedness
This game comes down to a simple equation – can talent overcome availability? While Brunson has been playing at an elite level and the Knicks showed their offensive ceiling against New Orleans, the injury situation creates too many hurdles to ignore.
Losing Robinson essentially strips New York of their primary offensive identity. Those 17.5 second-chance points per game become nearly impossible to replicate without their top glass-cleaner. The Spurs' bench advantage becomes even more pronounced when facing a thinned-out rotation, and Wembanyama should have a field day controlling the paint without Robinson's rim presence.
Best Bet: San Antonio Spurs -1.5 (-115)
The health disparity is too significant to overlook in what's essentially a coin-flip game. The Spurs get their elite talent in Wembanyama plus superior depth against a Knicks team missing two rotation cornerstones. At home with a tiny spread, San Antonio represents solid value.
Best Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama Over 9.5 Rebounds (-107)
This prop perfectly captures the matchup's key dynamic. Robinson is one of the few players who can challenge Wembanyama on the boards, and without him, those 13.7 offensive rebounds per game that New York typically generates will crater. Wembanyama should feast on the defensive glass while also maintaining his usual offensive rebounding production.