Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys Picks: Best Bets, Odds and Predictions for NFC East Rivalry

The defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles travel to AT&T Stadium to face the Dallas Cowboys in a pivotal Week 12 NFC East showdown that carries significant playoff implications. The Eagles enter as 3-point road favorites despite facing a Cowboys team desperate for redemption after their season-opening loss to Philadelphia.

Eagles vs Cowboys Betting Picks

This matchup features contrasting offensive philosophies, with Dallas's high-octane passing attack led by Dak Prescott squaring off against Philadelphia's methodical (and struggling) approach orchestrated by dual-threat quarterback Jalen Hurts and workhorse Saquon Barkley.

The primary narrative centers on whether the Cowboys can solve an Eagles defense that excels in turnover differential while maintaining their explosive offensive rhythm. Philadelphia's championship pedigree faces a stern test against a Cowboys squad playing their first home game since the tragic death of defensive end Marshawn Kneeland, adding emotional stakes to an already heated rivalry.

Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 PM EST on November 23 at AT&T Stadium, with potential complications from Eagles offensive line injuries that could impact their pocket presence.

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Eagles vs Cowboys Odds

Odds as of November 21, 2025, from DraftKings.

The visiting Eagles are installed as 3-point road favorites with -175 moneyline odds, while Dallas returns home as +145 underdogs. The total is set at 47.5 points, reflecting expectations for offensive fireworks despite both teams' recent scoring struggles.

Converting the moneyline odds to vig-free probabilities reveals the market's true assessment:

• Philadelphia Eagles: 63.6% implied win probability
• Dallas Cowboys: 39.1% implied win probabilityStatistical Breakdown: Tale of Two Offensive Philosophies

The season-long numbers reveal two teams with contrasting approaches but similar effectiveness, setting up compelling matchup advantages across multiple phases.

Eagles vs Cowboys Best Bets: Week 12 Spread, Total and Player Props

This NFC East rivalry renewal presents a fascinating clash between Philadelphia's championship-caliber efficiency and Dallas's explosive offensive potential. While the Eagles bring defending Super Bowl champion credibility as road favorites, the underlying metrics reveal significant value backing the home underdog in what projects as a tightly contested divisional battle.

Fearless Forecast: Cowboys +3 (+100)

In divisional rivalries this intense, securing a full field goal with the home team provides exceptional value. The Cowboys' offensive productivity has been substantially superior throughout the season, averaging 29.0 points per game compared to Philadelphia's 23.4. Their ability to sustain drives through superior third-down conversion efficiency creates multiple scoring opportunities that could keep pace with the defending champions.

Cowboys vs Eagles: Offensive Efficiency Breakdown

While Philadelphia boasts an elite +7 turnover differential and exceptional red zone touchdown efficiency at 75.0%, Dallas's ability to move the chains and control possession provides the foundation for keeping this contest within the closing number. The potential absence of Eagles left tackle Lane Johnson could further compromise Philadelphia's pass protection schemes, limiting their ability to establish offensive rhythm on the road.

Situational Trend: The Cowboys are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games as home underdogs, demonstrating their ability to rise to the occasion when playing with house money.

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Lock of the Week: Jake Ferguson Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

With Philadelphia's secondary likely bracketing CeeDee Lamb and focusing on limiting explosive plays downfield, opportunities will emerge for Dallas's underneath passing game. Ferguson serves as Prescott's primary safety valve over the middle, and his reception prop sitting at 4.5 indicates oddsmakers expect heavy target volume.

If Ferguson secures his projected four catches, surpassing this modest yardage threshold becomes highly achievable. His role in moving the chains during critical third-down situations makes him an essential component of Dallas's offensive game plan, particularly in a rivalry game where both teams may struggle to generate consistent big plays.

Under 47.5 Points (-102)

Despite Dallas's offensive firepower, this game carries all the hallmarks of a defensive slugfest typical of NFC East rivalries. Philadelphia's controlled offensive approach, evidenced by their remarkable turnover margin, limits opponent scoring opportunities while methodically grinding out possessions. Their 75.0% red zone efficiency reflects a preference for sustained drives rather than explosive scoring plays.

Historical Trend: The Under has connected in 7 of the last 10 meetings between these rivals, as both teams typically employ more conservative, physical game plans against each other compared to their approaches against non-divisional opponents.

Expect extended drives, strategic field position battles, and defensive adjustments that keep the final score beneath the posted total.

Team Betting Trends Supporting Our Picks

Historical patterns and recent performance trends support our position on the home underdog and defensive battle:

• Cowboys have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games as home underdogs of 3+ points
• Under has hit in 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these NFC East rivals
• Home underdogs in prime-time divisional games are 12-5 ATS over the last two seasons
• Dallas has not lost a game at home started by Dak Prescott against an NFC East team since Week 11 of the 2017 season.

2025 Season Team Statistics Comparison