The Detroit Lions hit the road for a crucial NFC showdown against the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium, bringing their high-octane offense to face a Washington squad searching for consistency. This matchup features a fascinating contrast in styles, with Detroit's explosive scoring attack averaging 29.6 points per game going up against a Commanders team that's been clinical in the red zone but struggled with ball security throughout the season.
Commanders vs Lions Odds, Picks, and Player Props
The Lions enter this contest riding the momentum of their potent offensive system led by quarterback Jared Goff, who has helped Detroit maintain a stellar +6 turnover differential. Meanwhile, the Commanders have shown flashes of brilliance with weapons like Terry McLaurin, but their -6 turnover differential tells the story of missed opportunities and costly mistakes. Washington's saving grace has been their elite red zone execution at 77.3%, which could be the great equalizer if they can generate enough scoring chances.
With playoff positioning on the line for both teams, this late-afternoon clash promises to showcase two contrasting philosophies battling for NFC supremacy.
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Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders Betting Odds
Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
Kickoff Time: 4:25 PM EST
Venue: Northwest Stadium — Landover, MD
This late afternoon showdown takes place at Northwest Stadium, where outdoor conditions could influence the game's flow.
• Moneyline: Detroit Lions (-472) | Washington Commanders (+358)
• Spread: Detroit Lions -8 (-111)
• Total: 49.5 (Over -108 | Under -115)
Betting odds courtesy of consensus odds.
The Lions enter as substantial road favorites, with the (-472) moneyline reflecting Detroit's perceived superiority. The 8-point spread indicates oddsmakers expect a comfortable Lions victory, while the 49.5-point total suggests a high-scoring affair that plays into Detroit's offensive strengths.
How the Lions and Commanders Stack Up Statistically
The numbers reveal a clear tale of two different approaches to moving the football. Detroit brings a championship-caliber offense that churns out 29.6 points and 350.8 yards per game, while Washington has been more methodical with 21.7 points and 329.4 yards per contest. The most telling disparity lies in ball security, where the Lions' disciplined approach has created a massive 12-turnover swing compared to Washington's struggles.
However, the Commanders possess a weapon that could neutralize Detroit's advantages: red zone precision. Washington converts an astounding 77.3% of their red zone opportunities into touchdowns, significantly better than Detroit's solid but unspectacular 68.8% clip. This efficiency inside the 20-yard line represents Washington's best path to keeping pace with the Lions' explosive attack.
Defensively, Detroit's pass rush has been more disruptive with 28 sacks compared to Washington's 22, which could prove crucial given the Commanders' tendency to turn the ball over. The Commanders showed their vulnerability in their recent 38-14 loss, surrendering four sacks while struggling to establish any offensive rhythm. For Detroit, tight end Sam LaPorta continues his reliable production, hauling in a touchdown pass in their last outing and providing Goff with a consistent red zone target.
Lions vs Commanders Prediction and Best Bets for Week 10
While Washington's red zone mastery gives them a fighting chance to hang around, Detroit's overall efficiency and ball security create too significant an advantage to ignore. The Lions have built their success on protecting the football and capitalizing on opponents' mistakes – exactly the formula needed against a turnover-prone Commanders squad.
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Best Bet: Detroit Lions -8 (-111)
The turnover battle will decide this game's outcome. Detroit's +6 turnover differential against Washington's -6 creates a 12-turnover swing that's simply too massive to overlook. The Lions' high-powered offense thrives on short fields and extra possessions, exactly what they'll get against a Commanders team that's been far too generous with the football. Expect Detroit to pull away in the second half as their disciplined approach pays dividends.
Best Player Prop: Marcus Mariota Over 0.5 Interceptions (-152)
This prop aligns perfectly with the game's central narrative. Washington's quarterback will face a Lions defense that has already recorded eight interceptions and generates consistent pressure with 28 sacks. If the Commanders fall behind early, Mariota will be forced into obvious passing situations where Detroit's opportunistic defense can capitalize. The combination of pressure and desperation creates prime conditions for defensive takeaways.