In an already inherently risky world of sports betting, parlays -- especially same-game parlays -- should be treated as lottery tickets. They're not to be played beyond your budgetary limits.
Most SGPs are already priced at a disadvantage for the bettor, with sportsbook operators accounting for correlation statistics that would be involved in these multi-layered NFL betting picks.
If you have the recreational means to place an SGP on the AFC Championship Game between the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos, keep reading for the best bets to include as parlay legs.
Best Patriots vs. Broncos SGP (+918) • FanDuel Sportsbook Same Game Parlay (1 unit)
- Drake Maye: 225+ Passing Yards (-122)
- Hunter Henry: 4+ Receptions (-136)
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 50+ Rushing Yards (-108)
- Jarrett Stidham: 15+ Rushing Yards (-102)
FanDuel Sportsbook
These are all achievable -- with Stidham's likely need to scramble dictating his ground yardage.
We're not putting the 2+ bar to clear here for Maye against this defense, so we're going with yardage.
Henry likely will be a frequent Maye target to avoid the cornerback coverage.
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MORE: Patriots vs. Broncos predictions, best bets, odds | AFC Championship prop bets
Longshot AFC Championship SGP (+2200) • BetMGM Sportsbook Same Game Parlay (0.5 units)
- Over 43.5 total points (+105)
- Drake Maye: 250+ Passing Yards (+155)
- Kayshon Boutte: 50+ Receiving Yards (+130)
- TreVeyon Henderson Anytime TD (+165)
- Evan Engram: Over 2.5 receptions (-118)
BetMGM Sportsbook
Again, results are within reason -- even Engram's receptions total because the Patriots allowed the fifth-most tight end receptions (109) this season and have solid cornerback-wide receiver advantages in coverage.
MORE: NFC Championship predictions, best bets, odds | Rams vs. Seahawks props
Moonshot AFC Championship SGP (+9229) • FanDuel Sportsbook (0.25 units)
- Patriots Defense Anytime TD (+600)
- Jarrett Stidham Anytime TD (+430)
- Stefon Diggs 60+ Receiving Yards (+188)
FanDuel Sportsbook
All three of these need plenty of luck.
Diggs, less so, because he could slip into favorable slot coverage or against Riley Moss and break a big play.
The other two? More so: Stidham could stumble into a touchdown due to a QB sneak or his own scrambling, and his mistakes could also lead to a Patriots score.
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