Tonight's NBA slate delivers a showcase of elite talent across multiple marquee matchups, creating compelling opportunities in the player prop market. The action features MVP candidates like Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, alongside dynamic playmakers such as Trae Young and emerging stars like Victor Wembanyama.
Best NBA Player Props for Tuesday
The evening's most intriguing contests pit the New York Knicks against the Minnesota Timberwolves in a physical battle featuring Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert's defensive prowess. Meanwhile, a heavyweight clash in Dallas showcases Jokic's Denver Nuggets taking on a Mavericks squad leaning heavily on Anthony Davis due to key injuries.
With multiple All-Stars navigating challenging matchups and depleted rosters, identifying value in the prop betting market requires careful analysis of usage rates, defensive matchups, and situational factors.
We've dissected every game on tonight's board to uncover the strongest prop betting opportunities for each team in action.
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Tonight's Best NBA Player Prop Picks for Every Team
Our analysis has identified the top prop value for one key player from every team taking the court tonight.
| Team | Opponent | Player Pick | Prop Bet & Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | ATL | Coby White | Under 4.5 Assists (+114) |
| Atlanta Hawks | CHI | Trae Young | Over 8.5 Assists (-107) |
| Denver Nuggets | DAL | Nikola Jokic | Under 10.5 Assists (-121) |
| Dallas Mavericks | DEN | Anthony Davis | Over 23.5 Points (-123) |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | SAS | Jalen Williams | Under 19.5 Points (-124) |
| San Antonio Spurs | OKC | Victor Wembanyama | Over 8.5 Rebounds (-122) |
| New York Knicks | MIN | Donte DiVincenzo | Over 3.5 Assists (-141) |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | NYK | Rudy Gobert | Under 11.5 Rebounds (-137) |
Featured Plays of the Night
These selections represent our highest-confidence prop bets from tonight's extensive slate.
Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 Rebounds (-137)
While Gobert remains one of the league's premier rebounding forces, he faces a formidable challenge against the Knicks' relentless glass-crashing unit. New York deploys multiple athletic rebounders like Josh Hart and Mitchell Robinson who aggressively pursue every missed shot. The physical nature of this matchup should create significant competition for rebounds, making it difficult for Gobert to secure his typical dominance on the boards.
Trae Young Over 8.5 Assists (-107)
As Atlanta's offensive conductor, Young enters an ideal setup against Chicago's defense. With athletic finishers like Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu ready to capitalize on his court vision, Young should find numerous opportunities to rack up assists. The manageable 8.5 line provides solid value, especially considering some books have already moved this total higher.
Donte DiVincenzo Over 3.5 Assists (-141)
The absence of Jalen Brunson forces a significant redistribution of playmaking responsibilities for New York. DiVincenzo steps into an expanded role as a primary ball-handler, tasked with creating opportunities for scorers like Julius Randle. Despite the heavy juice, this prop reflects the oddsmakers' recognition of his elevated usage in the offense.
Key NBA Injuries and Lineup Changes for November 14
Understanding injury impacts remains crucial for identifying prop betting value, as lineup changes can dramatically shift player roles and usage patterns.
• Jalen Brunson (Ankle) & OG Anunoby (Ankle) - OUT: The Knicks face Minnesota without two core contributors, fundamentally altering their offensive structure. Brunson's absence as the primary ball-handler creates a significant void in playmaking duties. This situation directly benefits Donte DiVincenzo, who assumes greater facilitating responsibilities, while Julius Randle likely sees increased usage across multiple statistical categories.
• Victor Wembanyama (Calf) - Questionable: The Spurs' franchise cornerstone remains day-to-day for the Thunder matchup. His potential availability becomes even more valuable given Oklahoma City's own injury concerns in the frontcourt. If active, Wembanyama could exploit size mismatches, particularly in rebounding situations against a potentially undermanned Thunder interior.
• Oklahoma City Thunder Multiple Injuries: The Thunder enter with question marks surrounding Chet Holmgren (Back), Alex Caruso (Finger), and Jaylin Williams (Foot). If Holmgren and Caruso sit, it significantly impacts OKC's defensive scheme while potentially funneling more offensive responsibility through secondary scorers, though increased defensive attention on role players could limit their production.
• Aaron Gordon (Hamstring) - OUT: Denver's versatile forward remains sidelined, removing a key target for Nikola Jokic's passing game. Gordon's absence as a rim-runner and cutter limits the Nuggets' vertical spacing, which could impact Jokic's assist opportunities and supports the under on his distribution numbers.
• Dallas & Atlanta Roster Notes: The Mavericks continue operating without Kyrie Irving (Knee), Dereck Lively II (Foot), and Danté Exum (Knee), placing additional scoring burden on available stars. For Atlanta, Kristaps Porziņģis' absence (Reconditioning) solidifies the roles of interior players as primary targets for Trae Young's playmaking.
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Matchups & Prop Analysis
Here's our detailed breakdown of each contest and the reasoning behind our top prop selections.
Chicago Bulls @ Atlanta Hawks
Bulls Pick: Coby White Under 4.5 Assists (+114)
White has transformed into a reliable scoring option for Chicago, but his playmaking consistency remains questionable in certain game scripts. Against Atlanta's up-tempo style, White may prioritize his own scoring opportunities, particularly in transition situations where the Hawks push pace. The plus-money odds provide excellent value on a player whose assist production can vary significantly based on game flow.
Hawks Pick: Trae Young Over 8.5 Assists (-107)
This matchup sets up perfectly for Young's orchestration skills at State Farm Arena. The absence of Kristaps Porziņģis clarifies the roles of Onyeka Okongwu and Jalen Johnson as primary finishers around the basket, giving Young reliable targets throughout the game. Chicago's defense will struggle to contain his penetration and court vision, creating multiple assist opportunities.
Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks
Nuggets Pick: Nikola Jokic Under 10.5 Assists (-121)
Despite Jokic's reputation as the league's premier passing big man, his assist numbers face constraints without key offensive weapons. Aaron Gordon's hamstring injury removes one of his most effective cutting targets and lob threats. Against a Mavericks defense that will focus on limiting Denver's role players, Jokic may find fewer reliable assist opportunities, making the under on this double-digit total attractive.
Mavericks Pick: Anthony Davis Over 23.5 Points (-123)
With multiple key players unavailable, Dallas leans heavily on their remaining stars for offensive production. Davis becomes the focal point of the scoring attack against a Denver team missing interior defender Aaron Gordon. Expect the Mavericks to establish Davis early and often, particularly in the post where he can exploit size advantages.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
Thunder Pick: Jalen Williams Under 19.5 Points (-124)
Williams has emerged as a valuable secondary scorer, but tonight's environment presents challenges. The Thunder's injury situation potentially allows San Antonio's defense to key in on complementary players while primarily focusing on containing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. This additional defensive attention could limit Williams' clean scoring opportunities throughout the contest.
Spurs Pick: Victor Wembanyama Over 8.5 Rebounds (-122)
Contingent on Wembanyama's availability, this prop offers significant value given Oklahoma City's frontcourt uncertainties. If Chet Holmgren and Jaylin Williams sit, the Thunder face a considerable size disadvantage that Wembanyama can exploit. His length and positioning should allow him to control the glass and comfortably exceed this modest rebounding total.
New York Knicks @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Knicks Pick: Donte DiVincenzo Over 3.5 Assists (-141)
The simultaneous absence of Brunson and Anunoby completely reshapes New York's offensive approach. DiVincenzo inherits significant ball-handling responsibilities, positioning him to facilitate for Julius Randle and other scorers. While the juice is heavy, the line appears conservative for a player stepping into such an expanded playmaking role.
Timberwolves Pick: Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 Rebounds (-137)
This selection reflects the Knicks' identity as one of the league's most aggressive rebounding teams rather than any deficiency in Gobert's ability. New York's commitment to crashing the glass with multiple players like Mitchell Robinson and Josh Hart creates constant competition in the paint. This collective rebounding effort should limit Gobert's opportunities to reach the 12-rebound threshold.