The betting landscape has been completely altered by the confirmed absence of Bucks superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo (groin), shifting the 76ers to road favorites and forcing a redistribution of Milwaukee's offense.
The most exploitable mismatch of the game is on the glass, where Andre Drummond and the 76ers can attack a Milwaukee squad that ranks a woeful tied for 26th in the NBA with a 46.4% total rebound rate.
With Giannis sidelined, expect Bucks sharpshooter AJ Green, who hits 47.4% of his attempts from deep, to see an increase in volume against a 76ers team that allows opponents to take 37.8 three-point attempts per game.
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76ers vs Bucks Player Props
A clash of Eastern Conference contenders takes center stage as the Philadelphia 76ers travel to face the Milwaukee Bucks in a matchup that has been dramatically reshaped by injury news. The Bucks, originally expected to be home favorites behind the ever-dominant Giannis Antetokounmpo, now find themselves as underdogs after their superstar was ruled out with a groin strain. For the road 76ers, this represents a golden opportunity to steal a victory, with the explosive scoring of Tyrese Maxey leading their offensive charge.
The central NBA betting storyline revolves around the availability of Philadelphia's Joel Embiid, who remains day-to-day with knee concerns. While Andre Drummond has been a force on the glass in Embiid's absence, the team's championship aspirations shift dramatically depending on their big man's status. Can Maxey and a deep supporting cast capitalize on Milwaukee's weakened state, or will the Bucks' elite three-point shooting keep them competitive at home?
This Eastern Conference showdown tips off at 8:00 PM ET on Thursday from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, with coverage on NBCS-PH+ and FDSWI providing all the action for bettors looking to exploit the reshaped prop markets.
76ers vs Bucks Props Odds: Top Markets to Target
The individual performance markets in this matchup offer a treasure trove of betting opportunities, with availability questions creating volatile prop lines across the board. The confirmed absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo has shifted focus to supporting cast members, while Philadelphia's injury uncertainty has bookmakers hedging their positions.
Here's a comprehensive look at the consensus prop lines for all key players:
| Player | Points | Assists | Rebounds | 3PM | Double-Double | 1st Basket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | O/U 25.5 (-111/-118) | O/U 6.5 (-151/+115) | O/U 4.5 (-112/-119) | O/U 2.5 (+100/-132) | N/A | +750 |
| Joel Embiid | O/U 28.5 (-116/-113) | O/U 4.5 (-168/+126) | O/U 11.5 (-121/-110) | O/U 1.5 (+132/-177) | -140 | +650 |
| Andre Drummond | O/U 12.5 (-115/-114) | N/A | O/U 12.5 (+103/-136) | N/A | +220 | +1200 |
| Bobby Portis | O/U 14.5 (-111/-119) | O/U 2.5 (-176/+131) | O/U 8.5 (-106/-125) | O/U 1.5 (+109/-144) | +160 | +950 |
| AJ Green | O/U 10.5 (-109/-122) | O/U 1.5 (+124/-166) | O/U 3.5 (-127/-104) | O/U 2.5 (+108/-142) | +450 | +1400 |
Odds represent consensus lines across major sportsbooks
Expert Player Prop Predictions and Analysis
With Giannis Antetokounmpo's 19.1 shots per game needing redistribution, the prop betting landscape offers clear value opportunities. Our analysis focuses on statistical edges where team strengths exploit opponent weaknesses.
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Philadelphia 76ers Best Bet: Andre Drummond Over 12.5 Rebounds
The Pick: Andre Drummond Over 12.5 Rebounds (+103)
This represents a textbook strength-versus-weakness matchup. Drummond faces the NBA's 28th-ranked rebounding team (46.4% total rebound rate) while bringing elite glass-cleaning ability to the table. Milwaukee's defensive rebounding struggles (72.4%) create perfect conditions for Drummond's offensive rebounding specialty, where he averages 3.2 per game.
Recent performance supports this projection. Over his last five contests, Drummond has exploded for 13.2 rebounds per game as his role solidified. The market's slight underdog pricing on the over (+103) fails to account for the favorable matchup dynamics.
Situational Trend: Drummond has recorded double-digit rebounds in 5 of 5 recent starts, a 100% rate that demonstrates consistent production when given extended minutes against inferior rebounding teams.
Milwaukee Bucks Best Bet: AJ Green Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
The Pick: AJ Green Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+108)
Green enters this matchup as Milwaukee's most reliable perimeter threat, converting a scorching 47.4% of his three-point attempts while averaging 3.1 makes per game. With Giannis's absence creating additional offensive responsibilities, Green's volume should increase against a Philadelphia defense that permits 37.8 opponent three-point attempts per game.
The role clarity makes this prop particularly attractive. Green's offensive identity revolves exclusively around perimeter shooting, with 89.2% of his recent field goal attempts coming from beyond the arc. The combination of increased opportunity and favorable defensive matchup creates clear value.
Situational Trend: Green has demonstrated both consistency and ceiling potential from beyond the arc in his most recent extended action.