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Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr betting tips, predictions expert picks, odds for 2025 boxing fight

The Sporting News

Daniel Yanofsky

Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr betting tips, predictions expert picks, odds for 2025 boxing fight image

Did you miss Jake Paul in a boxing ring? If your answer was "no," he's not sorry to disappoint you. "The Problem Child" returns to the ring on Saturday night to face Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. 

Here's the latest betting tips, advice and odds for the return of boxing's most controversial fighter.

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Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. betting tips, expert picks and card predictions

Paul (11-1) has primarily competed against former MMA fighters and novice boxers.

His last fight was against 58-year-old Mike Tyson in November. The YouTuber-turned-boxer is on a five-fight win streak.

Chavez (54-6-1) is a former WBC middleweight champion who has gone 4-3 since losing against Canelo Alvarez in 2017. He has fought sparingly and has upset fans by missing weight or quitting early in fights. Still, the 39-year-old has promised he's motivated heading into this fight.

It's Paul vs. another boxer. But given Chavez's track record in and out of the ring over the years, how much of an edge does Paul have against him?

According to Paddy Power, Jake Paul is the 1/7 favourite, while Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. is the 9/2 underdog.  

The Sporting News' boxing expert Daniel Yanofsky has the lowdown to help you make your picks below.

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Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr expert betting tips — Daniel Yanofsky

Paul is a power puncher who can also fight effectively in and out of range. He landed 49 of 157 shots (31.2%) against Tommy Fury, knocking down the Love Island star in a loss.

Against Nate Diaz, Paul landed 174 of 491 shots (35.4%), landing 140 for power. Of those shots, 34 jabs kept Diaz at bay.

Against Andre August, Paul used his jabs to push his opponent back, and he used jabs, uppercuts, and body shots to bully Ryan Bourland.

Against Mike Perry, Paul landed 96 punches, 52 of them jabs. He knocked down Perry three times.

In his last fight against Mike Tyson, Paul landed 78 of 278 shots (28.1%), aiming for the body through the fight. The fight was contested under two-minute rounds and showcased Paul’s agility but also how old and fragile Tyson was at 58.

Paul vs. Chavez Tale of The Tape

In 2017, Chavez landed an average of six of 25 punches per round against Canelo Alvarez, only landing single-digit shots through the fight for 71 total strikes. When he quit after five rounds against Daniel Jacobs, Chavez landed 35 of 116 (30%) shots.

Since those fights against premier athletes, Chavez’s resume has also included former MMA fighters. Against Anderson Silva, who Paul knocked down, Chavez landed 53 of 153 shots (34.6%), only landing double-digit strikes in the last round. In his last fight against Uriah Hall, Chavez landed 68 of 168 strikes (40.5%), his best outing in years. 

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The Diaz fight was one of Paul’s most impressive wins, as his cardio got tested against someone known for wearing out an opponent. It’s doubtful his cardio will be tested against Chavez. 

There have always been questions surrounding Chavez’s dedication to the sport. While Paul has talked a lot of trash, he respects the skills of the former champion. He won’t be taking Chavez lightly, 

If the Chavez who many believed to be the future of boxing at one point shows up, Paul could be in trouble. Stranger things have happened outside this fight actually being booked.

Outside a knockdown or two, a decision win seems likely for Paul.

TSN'S PREDICTION: Jake Paul via unanimous decision

MORE: How to bet on boxing and win

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Daniel Yanofsky