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England World Cup squad odds and Thomas Tuchel's predicted XI before festive football

Peter Fitzpatrick

England World Cup squad odds and Thomas Tuchel's predicted XI before festive football image

Getty

Trent Alexander-Arnold and Ollie Watkins head a whole cluster of players given around a 50% chance of making England's World Cup squad according to the latest odds as the tournament moves ever closer. 

England have been placed into a group with old rivals Croatia, as well as Ghana and Panama. 

Who starts that first game against Luka Modric and company is still up for debate with Jude Bellingham looking to find his way back into Thomas Tuchel's first choice lineup. 

Both Bellingham and Phil Foden  have been in and out of favour with Morgan Rogers quickly making himself undroppable. 

Let's take a look at the current odds for selection ahead of the busy festive football calendar.

MORE: How does the FIFA World Cup draw work?

World Cup Squad Size 2026

It's not been confirmed how many players will be in the squads, with FIFA reportedly contemplating expanding national team rosters from 26 in 2022 to 30 players next summer. Whether it's 26 or 30 players will heavily shape selection, so squad betting odds could greatly change in the coming months. 

England World Cup Squad Odds

With many players firmly odds on for selection, let's focus on those closer to the evens mark who might be sweating on their place when Tuchel finalises his squad. 

PlayerOdds
Trent Alexander-Arnold5/4
Ollie Watkins5/6
Adam Wharton10/11
Jarrod Bowen10/11
Djed Spence1/1
Noni Madueke11/10
Valentino Livramento5/4
Jarell Quansah5/4
Nick Pope7/4
Trevoh Chalobah7/4
Morgan Gibbs-White7/4

The biggest beneficiary of the latest odds movement was Nico O'Reilly, now 1/2 having been 7/4 during the November international break. Falling out of favour at the wrong time are Arsenal's out of favour Myles Lewis-Skelly (2/1 from 4/7) and Aston Villa's goal-shy Ollie Watkins, now out to 5/6, who did get a much-needed brace against Brighton recently.

Who will make the England squad for the 2026 World Cup?

The odds reflect who is already guaranteed a place on the plane across the Atlantic barring injury, with captain Harry Kane, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka  and  Jordan Pickford all first-choice picks.

From here, things get a bit more interesting with Tuchel having so many options in almost every position. For example, the likes of Djed Spence (1/1) and Jarrod Bowen (10/11) - continue to get minutes but are rated around 50% likely for selection with the bookies.

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Thomas Tuchel's Predicted England World Cup XI

Tuchel has tried out plenty of players and systems in his short and mostly unimpressive start with England, but it feels likely he will play a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation next summer to get the best out of his best players. This is how we think the Three Lions might line up come June 2026. 

Predicted England Team for the 2026 World Cup

(4-3-3): Pickford (GK) - James, Stones, Guehi, O'Reilly - Rice, Anderson - Saka, Bellingham, Rogers - Kane 

EXPLAINED: How to bet in-play | Free betting games | Best sports to bet on

Senior Editor