NHL awards 2021-22: Odds, best bets, predictions for Norris Trophy

Jackie Spiegel

NHL awards 2021-22: Odds, best bets, predictions for Norris Trophy image

The 2021-22 NHL season is just around the corner and, while the awards won't be handed out for a handful of months, the debate is already raging regarding who will take home the hardware.

Last year saw a few expected names in Connor McDavid (Hart Trophy), Auston Matthews (Rocket Richard Trophy) and Aleksander Barkov (Selke Trophy). There were a bunch of surprises, such as Marc-Andre Fleury winning his first Vezina (then getting traded) and sophomore defenseman Adam Fox winning the Norris. A couple of winners went wire to wire, including Kirill Kaprizov's Calder Trophy twirl.

What the upcoming season will bring is anyone's guess, but expect those names mentioned above — and a couple more — are in the conversations. Sporting News breaks down the talk heading into the new season with predictions, odds and the best bets for the Norris Trophy. The award is given to the league's top defenseman and voted on by the members of the Professional Hockey Writers Association.

ODDS, SN PREDICTIONS: Stanley Cup | Calder | Vezina | Hart 

Norris Trophy best bets

The Norris Trophy has quickly evolved into a young stars trophy. Last year, Adam Fox — in only his second season — captured the award. Fellow sophomore Cale Makar came in second. Those two should be among the top contenders in 2021-22, alongside the third finalist from last season, Victor Hedman. The Lightning defenseman, by the way, has been a finalist for three straight years after winning it in 2018. Dougie Hamilton should be a strong contender despite being in a new system, as well as another young defenseman who has become the main guy on the Bruins blueline: Charlie McAvoy. The only player who could knock all these offensive defensemen off the top spot is Jaccob Slavin, who would easily win the award for best defensive defenseman if it ever came to fruition.

Top five best bets:

PlayerTeamOdds
Cale MakarColorado Avalanche+350
Adam FoxNew York Rangers+700
Victor HedmanTampa Bay Lightning+700
Dougie HamiltonNew Jersey Devils+1200
Charlie McAvoyBoston Bruins+1200

SN's Norris Trophy dark horse prediction: Darnell Nurse

The Oilers defenseman's game continues to grow, evolve and just get better and better over time. In 2021 he finished seventh in the Norris Trophy voting after a 2021 campaign that saw him collect 36 points and an impressive plus-27. His 16 goals were not only a career-high but also ranked second in the NHL among D-men, behind Jakob Chychrun's 18. And he was fourth in ice time (25:38) among all skaters. He's not a top offensive defenseman like Hedman — or even teammate Tyson Barrie, who had the most points about blueliners in 2021 — but Nurse does have a solid two-way game that could see his name rise to the top of some ballots come voting time.

NHL 2021-22: Top 10 defensemen | Top 10 goalies | Top 10 forwards | Top 25 under 25

SN's Norris Trophy prediction: Adam Fox

He'll be pushed by the likes of Cale Makar, but there's no reason to think Fox won't repeat in 2022. Yes, the Rangers have a new coach and likely a new gameplan, but the 23-year-old is a star. In just two career seasons, he has posted back-to-back 40-plus points (42 as a rookie and 47 in 2021 in just 55 games). His ice time jumped up almost six minutes to 24:42 per game last season while he got more defensive zone starts, per Hockey Reference.

2021-22 Norris Trophy winner odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings.

PlayerTeamOdds
Cale MakarColorado Avalanche+350
Adam FoxNew York Rangers+700
Victor HedmanTampa Bay Lightning+700
Dougie HamiltonNew Jersey Devils+1200
Charlie McAvoyBoston Bruins+1200
Jaccob SlavinCarolina Hurricanes+1700
Miro HeiskanenDallas Stars+1700
Quinn HughesVancouver Canucks+1700
Roman JosiNashville Predators+1700
Aaron EkbladFlorida Panthers+2000
Jared SpurgeonMinnesota Wild+2000
John CarlsonWashington Capitals+2000
Morgan RiellyToronto Maple Leafs+2000
Alex PietrangeloVegas Golden Knights+2000
Ryan PulockNew York Islanders+2000
Shea TheodoreVegas Golden Knights+2000
Devon ToewsColorado Avalanche+2500
Jeff PetryMontreal Canadiens+2500
FieldAll other players not listed+2500
Adam PelechNew York Islanders+3000
Brent BurnsSan Jose Sharks+3000
John KlingbergDallas Stars+3000
Kris LetangPittsburgh Penguins+3000
Nate SchmidtWinnipeg Jets+3000
Torey KrugSt. Louis Blues+3000
Ryan EllisPhiladelphia Flyers+3000
Drew DoughtyLos Angeles Kings+3500
Mark GiordanoSeattle Kraken+3500
MacKenzie WeegerFlorida Panthers+3500
Jakob ChychrunArizona Coyotes+3500
Alex EdlerLos Angeles Kings+4000
Darnell NurseEdmonton Oilers+4000
Josh MorrisseyWinnipeg Jets+4000
Matt DumbaMinnesota Wild+4000
Matt GrzelcykBoston Bruins+4000
Erk KarlssonSan Jose Sharks+5000
Ivan ProvorovPhiladelphia Flyers+5000
Mikhail SergachevTampa Bay Lightning+5000
Ryan SuterDallas Stars+5000
Samuel GirardColorado Avalanche+5000
Alec MartinezVegas Golden Knights+6000
Brett PesceCarolina Hurricanes+6000
Jacob TroubaNew York Rangers+7500
Keith YandlePhiladelphia Flyers+7500
Tyler MyersVancouver Canucks+10000
Tyson BarrieEdmonton Oilers+10000

Jackie Spiegel