After three weeks of games, there are only three unbeaten teams in NFL. For the undefeated Chiefs, quarterback Patrick Mahomes has broken records on his way to becoming the league's top passer statistically. The Dolphins and Rams were pinned as playoff teams in AccuScore's preseason predictions, but Miami’s strong start has been a surprise for many.
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AccuScore has used data from the first three weeks of the 2018 season and simulated every remaining game. Updated playoff chances are below.
WEEK 4 NFL PICKS:
Against the spread | Straight up
NFL playoff chances 2018
| TEAM | Playoff chances | Week-to-week change |
| KANSAS CITY CHIEFS | 98 percent | 32 percent |
| LOS ANGELES RAMS | 90 percent | 4 percent |
| NEW ORLEANS SAINTS | 81 percent | 7 percent |
| NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 72 percent | -11 percent |
| MIAMI DOLPHINS | 67 percent | 18 percent |
| PITTSBURGH STEELERS | 62 percent | 22 percent |
| GREEN BAY PACKERS | 57 percent | -16 percent |
| PHILADELPHIA EAGLES | 56 percent | 14 percent |
| CAROLINA PANTHERS | 56 percent | 15 percent |
| JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS | 54 percent | -11 percent |
| LOS ANGELES CHARGERS | 48 percent | 7 percent |
| BALTIMORE RAVENS | 47 percent | -1 percent |
| MINNESOTA VIKINGS | 47 percent | -6 percent |
| ATLANTA FALCONS | 42 percent | -17 percent |
| NEW YORK GIANTS | 37 percent | 13 percent |
| TENNESSEE TITANS | 32 percent | 11 percent |
| DENVER BRONCOS | 31 percent | -9 percent |
| CHICAGO BEARS | 30 percent | 4 percent |
| DALLAS COWBOYS | 28 percent | -16 percent |
| INDIANAPOLIS COLTS | 25 percent | -6 percent |
| CINCINNATI BENGALS | 23 percent | -17 percent |
| WASHINGTON REDSKINS | 22 percent | 2 percent |
| HOUSTON TEXANS | 19 percent | 2 percent |
| DETROIT LIONS | 14 percent | 7 percent |
| TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | 13 percent | -5 percent |
| SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | 13 percent | 6 percent |
| SAN FRANCISCO 49ers | 12 percent | -8 percent |
| NEW YORK JETS | 11 percent | -18 percent |
| OAKLAND RAIDERS | 5 percent | -5 percent |
| CLEVELAND BROWNS | 4 percent | 3 percent |
| BUFFALO BILLS | 2 percent | 2 percent |
| ARIZONA CARDINALS | 1 percent | -5 percent |
NFL playoff odds
Biggest improvements in playoff chances:
| Kansas City Chiefs | +32 percent |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +22 percent |
| Miami Dolphins | +18 percent |
Biggest drops in playoff chances:
| New York Jets | -18 percent |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -17 percent |
| Atlanta Falcons | -17 percent |
AccuScore's NFL playoff probabilities will be updated on a weekly basis.