Only four weeks remain in the 2018 NFL regular season, and the playoff race is getting hotter, especially the last wild card spot in the AFC.
Right now Baltimore has the strongest grip with its 7-5 record and with home games remaining against Cleveland and Tampa Bay. Denver also has a favorable schedule, but due to an early loss to Baltimore, the Broncos need to run the table. Indianapolis, Miami and Tennessee need to win at least three games and get help from others.
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In the NFC, Philadelphia, Minnesota and spiraling Carolina are in the mix for the last playoff spot. Dallas has played well recently and is on its way to the NFC East title.
AccuScore has used data from the first 13 weeks of the 2018 season and simulated every remaining game. Updated playoff chances are below.
WEEK 14 NFL PICKS:
Against the spread | Straight up
NFL playoff chances
| TEAM | Playoff chances | Week-to-week change |
| LOS ANGELES RAMS | 100 percent | 0 percent |
| KANSAS CITY CHIEFS | 100 percent | 0 percent |
| NEW ORLEANS SAINTS | 100 percent | 0 percent |
| NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 99.7 percent | 0.3 percent |
| HOUSTON TEXANS | 97.9 percent | 1.8 percent |
| LOS ANGELES CHARGERS | 96.1 percent | 7.9 percent |
| CHICAGO BEARS | 85.3 percent | -5.5 percent |
| PITTSBURGH STEELERS | 85.4 percent | -11.3 percent |
| SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | 79.8 percent | 14.9 percent |
| DALLAS COWBOYS | 66.7 percent | 17.4 percent |
| BALTIMORE RAVENS | 64.2 percent | 30 percent |
| PHILADELPHIA EAGLES | 54.1 percent | -1 percent |
| MINNESOTA VIKINGS | 54.8 percent | -2.3 percent |
| CAROLINA PANTHERS | 45.5 percent | -11.5 percent |
| DENVER BRONCOS | 28.5 percent | 0.8 percent |
| TENNESSEE TITANS | 11.3 percent | 3.5 percent |
| INDIANAPOLIS COLTS | 8.4 percent | -26 percent |
| MIAMI DOLPHINS | 6.8 percent | -0.2 percent |
| WASHINGTON REDSKINS | 5.1 percent | -1.2 percent |
| TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | 2.8 percent | 2 percent |
| NEW YORK GIANTS | 2.6 percent | 1.1 percent |
| GREEN BAY PACKERS | 2.2 percent | -5.4 percent |
| JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS | 1.1 percent | -1.7 percent |
| DETROIT LIONS | 0.6 percent | -0.8 percent |
| CINCINNATI BENGALS | 0.4 percent | -3.5 percent |
| ATLANTA FALCONS | 0.6 percent | -7.7 percent |
| CLEVELAND BROWNS | 0.2 percent | -1.2 percent |
| BUFFALO BILLS | 0 percent | -0.5 percent |
| NEW YORK JETS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
| SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
| ARIZONA CARDINALS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
| OAKLAND RAIDERS | 0 percent | 0 percent |
NFL playoff odds
Biggest improvements in playoff chances:
| Baltimore Ravens | 30 percent |
| Dallas Cowboys | 17 percent |
| Seattle Seahawks | 15 percent |
Biggest drops in playoff chances:
| Indianapolis Colts | -26 percent |
| Carolina Panthers | -12 percent |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | -11 percent |
AccuScore's NFL playoff probabilities will be updated on a weekly basis.