Two classic rivalries highlight the Week 14 schedule.
Which one is better?
The Pittsburgh Steelers face the Baltimore Ravens at 1 p.m. ET — a renewal of their AFC North rivalry that has arguably been the best one of the 21st century. Hard hits. Low-scoring nailbiters, and two long-time coaches in Mike Tomlin and John Harbaugh have been responsible for that. Now, Aaron Rodgers gets his first look at it.
Rodgers finished 10 of 21 for 117 yards in a 26-7 loss against Buffalo in Week 13. He called out the Steelers' receivers after the loss to the Bills, and that could lead to more unraveling with a loss here.
Rodgers is very familiar with the next rivalry. The Chicago Bears travel to face the Green Bay Packers at 4:25 p.m. ET in the NFL's oldest-and-most-classic rivalry. The Packers have won nine of the last 10 meetings, but the Bears are in first in the NFC North under first-year coach Ben Johnson and QB Caleb Williams. Green Bay is coming off a Thanksgiving victory against Detroit, and Jordan Love and Micah Parsons are at the top of their game.
Both games should live up to the hype to start the December schedule.
Straight up: 126-67-1 (10-6 in Week 13)
Against the spread: 93-98-3 (7-9 in Week 13)
Here are our straight-up picks for Week 14. Odds according to Caesars.
NFL picks, predictions for Week 14
- Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions (-3)
Thursday, 8:15 p.m., Prime Video
Both teams are in the thick of the NFC playoff hunt. Dallas has allowed 69.7 rushing yards per game through a three-game winning streak. Detroit is at home and in desperation mode in the NFC North. The Lions have allowed 29 points per game in their last three home games.
Pick: Lions 28, Cowboys 24
- Seattle Seahawks (-8) at Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox
Seattle is 5-1 S/U on the road this season — and they have maintained an even turnover margin in those games. Sam Darnold has 11 TDs and seven interceptions on the road, so Atlanta will have opportunities. The Falcons have four of their last five games on the road, but they also are 4-0 ATS as an underdog.
Pick: Seahawks 26, Falcons 18
- Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills (-5.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox
Are the Bengals loading up for a run with Joe Burrow? Cincinnati is 2-0 S/U against the Bills with Burrow, and he averages 295 passing yards with four TDs and no interceptions in those games. Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen averages 261 yards with one TD and two interceptions. Cincinnati is better with Burrow, and the defense has allowed 360.3 yards per game the last three weeks. Buffalo averages 32.5 points per game at home, but they are 3-3 ATS.
Pick: Bills 31, Bengals 28
- Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox
Shedeur Sanders vs. Cam Ward? That's the best way to sell what could be a low-scoring game between struggling offenses. Cleveland ranks 29th in scoring offense (16.2 ppg). Tennessee is last (14.2 ppg). Sanders has taken just four sacks through two starts. Ward has taken an average of four sacks per game on the road. Could Myles Garrett break the sack record this week?
Pick: Browns 17, Titans 12
- Washington Commanders (-1.5) at Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox
It's almost an impossible game to pick without clarity on the quarterback situations. Jayden Daniels (elbow) could return next week, though Marcus Mariota has played well enough in back-to-back overtime losses to the Dolphins and Broncos. Minnesota QBs have averaged 135.8 passing yards through a four-game losing streak. Will JJ McCarthy be back? Washington finally breaks a seven-game losing streak.
Pick: Commanders 22, Vikings 19
- Miami Dolphins (-2.5) at New York Jets
Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS
The Dolphins are on a three-game winning streak and are inching closer to getting back to.500. Miami's defense has forced seven turnovers during that win streak, and the Jets have forced just two turnovers this season. Miami can win with that formula with De'Von Achane, who averaged 142.7 rushing yards per game in that streak.
Pick: Dolphins 24, Jets 17
- New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS
Baker Mayfield is playing through a shoulder injury, and the Bucs are in a tight race with the Panthers — who have a bye week — in the NFC South. New Orleans is eliminated from playoff contention but is very much in contention for the No. 1 draft pick. The Saints are 1-3 ATS as an underdog of five points or more and lost 23-3 to Tampa Bay in Week 8.
Pick: Buccaneers 30, Saints 16
- Indianapolis Colts (-1.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS
Are the Colts in trouble in the AFC South? Indianapolis has been limited to 80 rushing yards per game the last two weeks, and despite steady play from Daniel Jones, the team is 3-4 in one-score games. This feels like a tough road matchup against the Jaguars. Jacksonville is on a three-game winning streak and brings the league's top rushing defense to the field.
Pick: Jaguars 24, Colts 22
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS
Who wants to win the AFC North? The Ravens and Steelers are tied at the top with matching.500 records. Baltimore beat Pittsburgh twice at home last season — including a 28-14 victory in the AFC playoffs. It's a desperation game on both sides; meaning it will be close.
Pick: Ravens 23, Steelers 20
- Denver Broncos (-7.5) at Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, 4:05 p.m., CBS
The Raiders kept the first matchup competitive in a 10-7 loss, but that was a Thursday game. Las Vegas is 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the road. The Broncos have three of their last four games at home — and home-field advantage in the AFC is in play. This isn't the spot for a letdown. Denver broke an eight-game losing streak on the road against the Raiders last year. That trend continues.
Pick: Broncos 26, Raiders 16
- Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-5.5)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., Fox
It's the best game of the week. This is the ultimate prove-it game for Chicago, which has been a great underdog this season at 5-2 ATS and 5-2 S/U. If the protection for Caleb Williams is there, then the Bears can score a second straight win at Lambeau Field. That would also take command of the NFC North. Last year's meetings were decided by a combined total of three points. The Packers are 2-4 ATS at home. How much does losing Devonte Wyatt (ankle) for the season impact Green Bay's interior defense? That's something to watch closely after the Bears' impressive performance against the Eagles in Week 13.
Pick: Packers 28, Bears 20
- Los Angeles Rams (-8) at Arizona Cardinals
Sunday, 4:25 p.m., Fox
How will the Rams bounce back after a road loss against the Panthers? The Cardinals are 1-5 S/U at home, but only one of those games have been decided by four or more points. That was a 41-22 loss to NFC West division rival San Francisco. Matthew Stafford gets Los Angeles back on track.
Pick: Rams 31, Cardinals 21
- Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)
Sunday, 8:20 p.m., NBC Peacock
This is an every-week occurrence with the Chiefs, who are two games behind in the AFC playoff picture. The Texans are hot at the right time — and C.J. Stroud had 276 passing yards in his first game back from a concussion. Kansas City is still 5-1 S/U at home, and they are 4-1-1 ATS. We're going to trust Patrick Mahomes one more time.
Pick: Chiefs 26, Texans 20
- Philadelphia Eagles (-3) at Los Angeles Chargers
Monday, 8:15 p.m., ESPN
Justin Herbert will undergo a procedure on his left hand this week, but the Chargers' quarterback does not expect to miss time. Eagles defensive coordinator Vic Fangio is under some heat after Philadelphia gave up 281 rushing yards in a 24-15 loss to the Bears. Don't threaten Jim Harbaugh — who worked with Fangio in San Francisco — with a good time. Los Angeles is 4-0 S/U in prime-time games this season.
Pick: Chargers 21, Eagles 17