Grading the 2022 NFL mock drafts: How did Mel Kiper, Daniel Jeremiah, Todd McShay, Peter King & other experts fare?

Joe Rivera

Grading the 2022 NFL mock drafts: How did Mel Kiper, Daniel Jeremiah, Todd McShay, Peter King & other experts fare? image

Pencils down!

The first round of the 2022 NFL Draft has come and gone, as have the plethora of mock drafts which have inundated the adoring draft public since the minute Super Bowl 56 ended are, finally, dead and buried.

The wildly entertaining and trade-heavy first-round of the 2022 draft led to some mock drafts getting crushed faster than many March Madness brackets — but that still won't preclude the experts from getting graded here.

Mock drafts are a fun exercise, generally: It's less about predicting and more about giving people legitimate talking points leading up to the draft. Still, guesstimating is a part of the process, and experts maintain "expert" status by getting these things right, after all.

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So, how did the following draft savants pan out? Let's grade them. The following experts got points for the following:

  • One full point for correct player, pick and team;
  • One half point for correct player and pick, but incorrect team;
  • One half point for correct player and team, but incorrect pick.

Here's how they all graded out:

Vinnie Iyer's mock draft (The Sporting News)

Iyer's final mock draft was released April 28:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Jacksonville JaguarsTravon WalkerEDGEGeorgia
2Detroit LionsAidan HutchinsonEDGEMichigan
3Houston TexansEvan NealOTAlabama
4New York JetsKayvon ThibodeauxEDGEOregon
5New York GiantsIkem EkwonuOT/GN.C. State
6Carolina PanthersMalik WillisQBLiberty
7New York Giants (from CHI)Sauce GardnerCBCincinnati
8Atlanta FalconsGarrett WilsonWROhio State
9Seattle Seahawks (from DEN)Charles CrossOTMississippi State
10New York Jets (from SEA)Jameson WilliamsWRAlabama
11Washington CommandersChris OlaveWROhio State
12Minnesota VikingsDerek Stingley Jr.CBLSU
13Houston Texans (from CLE)Jermaine Johnson IIEDGEFlorida State
14Baltimore RavensJordan DavisDTGeorgia
15Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA)Drake LondonWRUSC
16New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI)Trevor PenningOTNorthern Iowa
17Los Angeles ChargersTyler SmithGTulsa
18Philadelphia Eagles (from NO)Kyle HamiltonSNotre Dame
19New Orleans Saints (from PHI)George KarlaftisEDGEPurdue
20Pittsburgh SteelersKenny PickettQBPittsburgh
21New England PatriotsDevin LloydLBUtah
22Green Bay Packers (from LV)Treylon BurksWRArkansas
23Arizona CardinalsDevonte WyattDT/DEGeorgia
24Dallas CowboysZion JohnsonGBoston College
25Buffalo BillsAndrew Booth Jr.CBClemson
26Tennessee TitansKenyon GreenGTexas A&M
27Tampa Bay BuccaneersTyler LinderbaumCIowa
28Green Bay PackersBoye MafeEDGEMinnesota
29Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA)Jahan DotsonWRPenn State
30Kansas City ChiefsNakobe DeanLBGeorgia
31Cincinnati BengalsTrent McDuffieCBWashington
32Detroit Lions (from LAR)Desmond RidderQBCincinnati

Picks correct: 5/32

Noteworthy: The wildly unpredictable first round manifested itself on Thursday night — SN's Vinnie Iyer did have Charles Cross to the Seahawks, Trevor Penning to the Saints and Kenny Pickett to the Steelers beyond the top picks.

Mel Kiper Jr.'s mock draft (ESPN)

Kiper's latest mock draft was released April 28:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Jacksonville JaguarsTravon WalkerDEGeorgia
2Detroit LionsAidan HutchinsonDEMichigan
3Houston TexansIkem EkwonuOTN.C. State
4New York JetsSauce GardnerCBCincinnati
5New York GiantsCharles CrossOTMississippi State
6Carolina PanthersEvan NealOTAlabama
7New York Giants (from CHI)Jermaine Johnson IIDEFlorida State
8Atlanta FalconsGarrett WilsonWROhio State
9Seattle Seahawks (from DEN)Derek Stingley Jr.CBLSU
10New York Jets (from SEA)Drake LondonWRUSC
11Washington CommandersChris OlaveWROhio State
12Minnesota VikingsKayvon ThibodeauxDEOregon
13Houston Texans (from CLE)Kyle HamiltonSNotre Dame
14Baltimore RavensJordan DavisDTGeorgia
15Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA)Jameson WilliamsWRAlabama
16New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI)Trevor PenningOTNorthern Iowa
17Los Angeles ChargersDevin LloydILBUtah
18Philadelphia Eagles (from NO)Trent McDuffieCBWashington
19New Orleans Saints (from PHI)Kenny PickettQBPitt
20Pittsburgh SteelersMalik WillisQBLiberty
21New England PatriotsDaxton HillSMichigan
22Green Bay Packers (from LV)Kenyon GreenGTexas A&M
23Arizona CardinalsZion JohnsonG/CBoston College
24Dallas CowboysTyler SmithOT/GTulsa
25Buffalo BillsKaiir ElamCBFlorida
26Tennessee TitansJahan DotsonWRPenn State
27Tampa Bay BuccaneersDevonte WyattDTGeorgia
28Green Bay PackersChristian WatsonWRNorth Dakota State
29Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA)Skyy MooreWRWestern Michigan
30Kansas City ChiefsArnold EbiketieDEPenn State
31Cincinnati BengalsGeorge KarlaftisDEPurdue
32Detroit Lions (from LAR)Lewis CineSGeorgia

Picks correct: 4.5/32

Noteworthy: Kiper did have Kaiir Elam to the Bills — just at No. 23 overall, and not No. 25, where the Bills would ultimately make that pick. With some half-credit selections surrounding Elam, Lewis Cine (No. 32), Trevor Penning (No.  and Chris Olave (No. 11).

Todd McShay's mock draft (ESPN)

McShay's latest mock draft was released April 28:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Jacksonville JaguarsTravon WalkerDEGeorgia
2Detroit LionsAidan HutchinsonDEMichigan
3Houston TexansDerek Stingley Jr.CBLSU
4New York JetsIkem EkwonuOTN.C. State
5New York GiantsCharles CrossOTMississippi State
6Carolina PanthersEvan NealOTAlabama
7New York Giants (from CHI)Sauce GardnerCBCincinnati
8Atlanta FalconsKayvon ThibodeauxDEOregon
9Seattle Seahawks (from DEN)Jermaine Johnson IIDEFlorida State
10New York Jets (from SEA)Garrett WilsonWROhio State
11Washington CommandersDrake LondonWRUSC
12Minnesota VikingsKyle HamiltonSNotre Dame
13Dallas Cowboys (from CLE via HOU)Trevor PenningOTNorthern Iowa
14Baltimore RavensJordan DavisDTGeorgia
15Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA)Jameson WilliamsWRAlabama
16New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI)Chris OlaveWROhio State
17Los Angeles ChargersKaiir ElamCBFlorida
18Philadelphia Eagles (from NO)Trent McDuffieCBWashington
19New Orleans Saints (from PHI)Devonte WyattDTGeorgia
20Pittsburgh SteelersMalik WillisQBLiberty
21New England PatriotsDevin LloydILBUtah
22Green Bay Packers (from LV)Treylon BurksWRArkansas
23Arizona CardinalsJahan DotsonWRPenn State
24Houston Texans (from DAL)Tyler SmithOT/GTulsa
25Buffalo BillsBreece HallRBIowa State
26Tennessee TitansZion JohnsonC/GBoston College
27Tampa Bay BuccaneersKenyon GreenGTexas A&M
28Green Bay PackersLewis CineSGeorgia
29Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA)Daxton HillSMichigan
30Kansas City ChiefsGeorge PickensWRGeorgia
31Cincinnati BengalsQuay WalkerLBGeorgia
32Detroit Lions (from LAR)Kenny PickettQBPitt

Picks correct: 4.5/32

Noteworthy: McShay, one of the only mock drafts who had Tyler Smith going in the first round, had the player and the pick right — but not the team. The Cowboys, who needed O-line help, would take Smith in the first round, not the Texans as he predicted.

Daniel Jeremiah's mock draft (NFL Network)

Jeremiah's latest mock draft was released April 27:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Jacksonville JaguarsTravon WalkerEDGEGeorgia
2Detroit LionsAidan HutchinsonEDGEMichigan
3Houston TexansIkem EkwonuOTN.C. State
4New York JetsSauce GardnerCBCincinnati
5New York GiantsEvan NealOTAlabama
6Carolina PanthersCharles CrossOTMississippi State
7New York Giants (from CHI)Garrett WilsonWROhio State
8Atlanta FalconsJameson WilliamsWRAlabama
9New York Jets (from DEN via SEA)Drake LondonWRUSC
10Seattle Seahawks (from NYJ)Kayvon ThibodeauxEDGEOregon
11Washington CommandersChris OlaveWROhio State
12Minnesota VikingsDerek Stingley Jr.CBLSU
13Houston Texans (from CLE)Jermaine Johnson IIEDGEFlorida State
14Baltimore RavensJordan DavisDTGeorgia
15Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA)Kyle HamiltonSNotre Dame
16New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI)Trevor PenningOTNorthern Iowa
17Los Angeles ChargersKaiir ElamCBFlorida
18Philadelphia Eagles (from NWO)Trent McDuffieCBWashington
19New Orleans Saints (from PHI)Devin LloydLBUtah
20Pittsburgh SteelersKennny PickettQBPitt
21New England PatriotsZion JohnsonIOLBoston College
22Green Bay Packers (from LV)Treylon BurksWRArkansas
23Arizona CardinalsGeorge KarlaftisEDGEPurdue
24Dallas CowboysJahan DotsonWRPenn State
25Buffalo BillsBreece HallRBIowa State
26Tennessee TitansTyler SmithOTTulsa
27Tampa Bay BuccaneersLogan HallDLHouston
28Green Bay PackersQuay WalkerLBGeorgia
29Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA)Boye MafeEDGEMinnesota
30Kansas City ChiefsGeorge PickensWRGeorgia
31Cincinnati BengalsDavid OjaboEDGEMichigan
32Detroit Lions (from LAR)Malik WillisQBLiberty

Picks correct: 5/32

Noteworthy: Jeremiah was one of a few mocks listed here who had Kenny Pickett going to the Steelers. He also gets half credit for having Trevor Penning landing with the Saints, just at No. 16, not number 19.

Charles Davis' mock draft (NFL Network)

Davis' latest mock draft was released April 28:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Jacksonville JaguarsTravon WalkerDLGeorgia
2Detroit LionsAidan HutchinsonEDGEMichigan
3Houston TexansIkem EkwonuOTN.C. State
4New York JetsSauce GardnerCBCincinnati
5New York GiantsCharles CrossOTMississippi State
6Carolina PanthersEvan NealOTAlabama
7New York Giants (via CHI)Kayvon ThibodeauxEDGEOregon
8Atlanta FalconsJermaine Johnson IIEDGEFlorida State
9Seattle Seahawks (from DEN)Derek Stingley Jr.CBLSU
10New York Jets (from SEA)Drake LondonWRUSC
11Washington CommandersGarrett WilsonWROhio State
12Minnesota VikingsTrent McDuffieCBWashington
13Houston Texans (from CLE)Kyle HamiltonSNotre Dame
14Baltimore RavensJordan DavisDTGeorgia
15Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA)Jameson WilliamsWRAlabama
16New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI)Trevor PenningOTNorthern Iowa
17Los Angeles ChargersDevonte WyattDTGeorgia
18Philadelphia Eagles (from NO)Andrew BoothCBClemson
19New Orleans Saints (from PHI)Chris OlaveWROhio State
20Pittsburgh SteelersMalik WillisQBLiberty
21New England PatriotsDevin LloydLBUtah
22Green Bay Packers (from LV)Jahan DotsonWRPenn State
23Arizona CardinalsTreylon BurksWRArkansas
24Dallas CowboysKenyon GreenIOLTexas A&M
25Buffalo BillsBreece HallRBIowa State
26Tennessee TitansZion JohnsonIOLBoston College
27Tampa Bay BuccaneersKaiir ElamCBFlorida
28Green Bay PackersGeorge KarlaftisEDGEPurdue
29Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA)Daxton HillSMichigan
30Kansas City ChiefsSkyy MooreWRWestern Michigan
31Cincinnati BengalsKyler GordonCBWashington
32Detroit Lions (from LAR)Kenny PickettQBPittsburgh

Picks correct: 4.5/32

Noteworthy: Davis was oh so close to getting a few extra points for the Saints' picks — New Orleans' trade-up to No. 11 overall to secure Chris Olave means he gets half credit for that selection, and taking Trevor Penning at No. 16 as opposed to No. 19 also earns half credit. 

Dane Brugler's mock draft (The Athletic)

Brugler's latest mock draft was released April 28:

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Jacksonville JaguarsTravon WalkerEDGEGeorgia
2Detroit LionsAidan HutchinsonEDGEMichigan
3Houston TexansDerek Stingley Jr.CBLSU
4New York JetsIkem EkwonuOTN.C. State
5New York GiantsEvan NealOTAlabama
6Carolina PanthersCharles CrossOTMississippi State
7New York Giants (from CHI)Sauce GardnerCBCincinnati
8Atlanta FalconsJameson WilliamsWRAlabama
9Seattle Seahawks (from DEN)Kayvon ThibodeauxEDGEOregon
10New York Jets (from SEA)Jermaine Johnson IIEDGEFlorida State
11Washington CommandersDrake LondonWRUSC
12Minnesota VikingsKyle HamiltonSNotre Dame
13Houston Texans (from CLE)Garrett WilsonWROhio State
14Baltimore RavensTrevor PenningOTNorthern Iowa
15Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA)Jordan DavisDTGeorgia
16New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI)Chris OlaveWROhio State
17Los Angeles ChargersZion JohnsonOGBoston College
18Philadelphia Eagles (from NO)Trent McDuffieCBWashington
19New Orleans Saints (from PHI)Quay WalkerLBGeorgia
20Pittsburgh SteelersKenny PickettQBPitt
21New England PatriotsDevin LloydLBUtah
22Green Bay PackersTreylon BurksWRArkansas
23Arizona CardinalsGeorge KarlaftisEDGEPurdue
24Dallas CowboysKenyon GreenOGTexas A&M
25Buffalo BillsKaiir ElamCBFlorida
26Tennessee TitansJahan DotsonWRPenn State
27Tampa Bay BuccaneersLewis CineSGeorgia
28Green Bay PackersDrake JacksonEDGEUSC
29Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA)Christian WatsonWRNorth Dakota State
30Kansas City ChiefsBoye MafeEDGEMinnesota
31Cincinnati BengalsLogan HallDLHouston
32Detroit Lions (from LAR)Malik WillisQBLiberty

Picks correct: 6.5/32

Noteworthy: Brugler with a relatively strong showing, though a lot of that came from half-point picks, including the Jets taking Jermaine Johnson at No. 10 (New York traded back into the first round to select the pass rusher at No. 26).  

Peter King, NBC Sports

Peter King's mock draft was released on Monday, April 25.

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Jacksonville JaguarsTravon WalkerDLGeorgia
2Detroit LionsAidan HutchinsonEDGEMichigan
3Houston TexansIkem EkwonuOTNC State
4New York JetsSauce GardnerCBCincinnati
5New York GiantsCharles CrossOTMississippi State
6Carolina PanthersEvan NealOTAlabama
7New York Giants (from CHI)Kyle HamiltonSNotre Dame
8Atlanta FalconsDrake LondonWRUSC
9Houston Texans (from DEN via SEA)Garrett WilsonWROhio State
10New York Jets (from SEA)Jameson WilliamsWRAlabama
11Washington CommandersChris OlaveWROhio State
12Minnesota VikingsDerek StingleyCBLSU
13Seattle Seahawks (from CLE via HOU)Kayvon ThibodeauxEDGEOregon
14Baltimore RavensTrevor PenningOTNorthern Iowa
15Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA)Jordan DavisDTGeorgia
16New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI)Treylon BurksWRArkansas
17Los Angeles ChargersTrent McDuffieCBWashington
18Green Bay Packers (from NO via PHI)Jahan DotsonWRPenn State
19New Orleans Saints (from PHI)Devonte WyattDTGeorgia
20Pittsburgh SteelersKenny PickettQBPittsburgh
21New England PatriotsBernhard RaimannOTCentral Michigan
22Philadelphia Eagles (from GB)Devin LloydLBUtah
23Arizona CardinalsJermaine JohnsonEDGEFlorida State
24Dallas CowboysTyler LinderbaumCIowa
25Buffalo BillsZion JohnsonOLBoston College
26Tennessee TitansTyler SmithOTTulsa
27Tampa Bay BuccaneersDavid OjaboEDGEMichigan
28Green Bay PackersArnold EbiketieEDGEPenn State
29Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA)Christian WatsonWRNorth Dakota State
30Kansas City ChiefsLewis CineSGeorgia
31Cincinnati BengalsTrey McBrideTEColorado State
32Atlanta Falcons (from LAR via DET)Matt CorralQBOle Miss

Picks correct: 7/32

Noteworthy: The reigning, defending mock-draft master is back again, as King once again sets the high-water mark for correct picks in the first round.

Some of those were half-point picks, like Jordan Davis and Chris Olave. Still, King had the most right of anyone here, truly living up to his last name.

Joe Rivera