Chiefs playoff picture: Updated chances for Kansas City to make 2025 NFL postseason in Week 14

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Chiefs playoff picture: Updated chances for Kansas City to make 2025 NFL postseason in Week 14 image

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The Kansas City Chiefs' struggles come as a surprise to many in the NFL community. The combination of Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid has been untouchable since it began. 

The reality of the NFL is that if you aren't actively improving, you're falling behind. We're so used to dynasties that the Chiefs' dominance over the league seems brief. However, if there is one thing that Mahomes has shown us, it's that as soon as you count them out, you're quickly reminded who the Chiefs are. 

There's no doubt the Chiefs' backs are against the wall following the loss to the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving. As a result, the matchup on Sunday Night Football between the Houston Texans and Kansas City is a must-win for the Chiefs. 

Here is more on the Chiefs' chance to make the 2025 postseason heading into Week 14. 

MORE: Predicting the 2025 NFL playoff picture heading into Week 14

Chiefs playoff picture

The loss in Dallas on Thanksgiving moves the Chiefs to 6-6, which did not move Kansas City in the playoff standings. The Chiefs will head into Week 14 with the No. 10 spot in the AFC, and likely need to win out to have a shot at the playoffs. 

Heading into Week 14, the Chiefs have a 33% chance to make the playoffs according to Next Gen Stats. 

RankTeamRecord
1New England Patriots11-2
2Denver Broncos10-2
3Jacksonville Jaguars8-4
4Baltimore Ravens6-6
5Los Angeles Chargers8-4
6Indianapolis Colts8-4
7Buffalo Bills8-4
8Houston Texans7-5
9Pittsburgh Steelers6-6
10Kansas City Chiefs6-6
11Miami Dolphins5-7
12Cincinnati Bengals4-8
13New York Jets3-9
14Cleveland Browns3-9
15Las Vegas Raiders2-10
16Tennessee Titans1-11

AFC West standings

While the chances are slim, the Chiefs still have a shot to win their division. While other factors would need to happen, it starts with the Chiefs winning the remainder of their games. This begins with the daunting task of taking on the Houston Texans defense on SNF. 

TeamRecord
Denver Broncos10-2
Los Angeles Chargers8-4
Kansas City Chiefs6-6
Las Vegas Raiders2-10

MORE WEEK 14 NFL:

Chiefs remaining schedule

The Chiefs' remaining opponents include two key games against strong divisional teams and two matchups where Kansas City is heavily favored.

The Tennessee Titans and the Las Vegas Raiders are two more winnable games for the Chiefs. However, the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers are as close to must-win games as the Chiefs have had.

If Kansas City can win all remaining games, there's a strong chance of qualifying for the playoffs. Although a loss won't necessarily eliminate the Chiefs, additional losses will increase their dependence on help from other teams in the league. 

WeekOpponent
15vs. Chargers
16at Titans
17vs. Broncos
18at Raiders
Fantasy Football Intern

Contributing Writer