How MLB’s new ABS system could boost Lars Nootbaar

Mack Baltes

How MLB’s new ABS system could boost Lars Nootbaar image

St. Louis Cardinals outfielder Lars Nootbaar welcomed the news that MLB’s automated ball-strike (ABS) system will be fully implemented in 2026. Known as one of the league’s most disciplined hitters, Nootbaar could be among the biggest beneficiaries.

The numbers back that up. Last season, Nootbaar ranked in the 100th percentile in chase rate at just 16.9% and in the 98th percentile in walk rate at 12.8%. His elite zone awareness allows him to be highly selective, rarely chasing outside the strike zone. At his best, Nootbaar either punishes good pitches or draws walks.

Looking ahead, Nootbaar told the Athletic that the ability to challenge calls could change his approach, particularly with two strikes.

“With two strikes, I think the majority of hitters expand because we’re worried about striking out, but you also don’t necessarily want the call to be in the umpire’s hands,” Nootbaar said. “So now you can trust your eyes, and if it doesn’t go your way, then you at least have something to challenge. I still think there’s a place for umpires in this game. But this could have a ripple effect, where, if you’re feeling good as a hitter, and then you get a challenge go your way, all of a sudden something big can happen. I’m excited for it.”

The key phrase — “trust your eyes” — underscores why Nootbaar is so well-positioned for the ABS era. With some of the best plate discipline in baseball, the Cardinals’ outfielder could see his strengths amplified once the new system is in place.

Mack Baltes

Mack Baltes is a freelance writer with The Sporting News. He specializes in MLB and NBA, but also has experience covering the NFL, PGA Tour, English Premier League and NASCAR Cup Series. His work has been seen on Bleacher Report, Sports Illustrated, FanSided’s Redbird Rants and Enforce the Sport.