Packers vs. Bears predictions: NFC Wild Card early best bets, odds, picks against the spread, moneyline, total

Tim Heaney

Packers vs. Bears predictions: NFC Wild Card early best bets, odds, picks against the spread, moneyline, total image

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We're treated to a classic "divisional rivals meet in the playoffs for the third time" setting for the first primetime matchup in the 2025-26 NFL playoffs.

The NFC North champion and No. 2 seed Chicago Bears (11-6) host the seventh-seeded Green Bay Packers (9-7-1) on Saturday at 8 p.m. ET.

The two clubs split their first pair of games this year, with this rubber match proving highly volatile, especially in early NFL betting odds.

How should gamblers handle odds for this first-round matchup? Keep scrolling to see the clearest paths to bet on Packers-Bears in the Wild Card Playoffs.

Packers vs. Bears betting odds

For this list, I'm using DraftKings Sportsbook odds for Packers-Bears, current as of Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET.

I will not necessarily use these odds for finding the best bets on this NFC Wild Card game. (Learn why bettors should use multiple sportsbook apps.)

  • Moneyline: Packers (-112) • Bears (-108)
  • Spread (ATS): Packers -1.5 (-122) • Bears +1.5 (-125)
  • Total: Over 45.5 (-110) • Under 45.5 (-110)
  • Implied Point Totals Score: Packers 23.5, Bears 22

The moneyline and spread have see-sawed back and forth aggressively since lines opened up Sunday night (or before then) on DraftKings, FanDuel, and more major outlets.

These latest odds before publish represent a large push toward the Packers.

Packers vs. Bears best bet

Over 45.5 (-110) • DraftKings / Fanatics Sportsbook / bet365 Sportsbook

Read below for more betting tips on this Bears vs. Packers Over/Under total pick.

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Packers vs. Bears predictions and betting angles

More importantly than analyzing betting trends, which are often deployed in betting punditry universally without context, bettors should consider what angles can affect the event action and follow a betting trail from that.

Which game preview guidelines should Bears vs. Packers bettors follow?

Recent samples from Weeks 14, 16

Many times in these three-game histories, the other matchups came much, much earlier in the season. With the way the schedule fell this season, we have a recent sample size and events to analyze, which should apply to this matchup more appropriately than others. 

This head-to-head history should provide more useful information than most others.

Will weather impact Bears-Packers?

Chicago football in January always brings up climate concerns.

Early forecasts says Saturday will hover around 30 degrees with possibly a touch of snow.

Check back for an update later this week on whether the weather should change your approach.

Emerging quarterbacks battle for third time this season

Neither Williams nor Love did too much in carrying their teams in the two meetings; however, Love suffered an injury during the Week 16 clash that abruptly ended his day, and he did pass for 3 touchdowns in Week 14.

Outside of maybe Christian Watson lately, Love hasn't had a true alpha target since TE Tucker Kraft (torn ACL) was lost for the season. Williams has a bigger crew of spoils in the pass-catching department. 

🎫 MORE: Early NFL Wild Card lines to bet

Will ground games take over?

Both teams could pivot to leaning on their running backs should field conditions or game flow dictate it. 

The Packers have battle-tested bellcow Josh Jacobs and up-and-coming, change-of-pace carrier Emanuel Wilson. Chicago boasts an often dynamic tandem of D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai. 

While this may point toward hammering the Under on the total, both teams have ranked in the bottom half or third in rushing defense for most of the season; the offensive line has the advantage on each side.

This could lead to them tripping into the Over even if it's a run-heavy battle, given the breakaway ability of both backfields.

Will Rome Odunze return for Bears?

This is the one major point in favoring more scoring, despite the run games being capable.

Odunze was in the midst of a breakout sophomore season under Ben Johnson's offense before being limited, and then shut down for five games to end the season, with a stress fracture in his foot.

With a solid 1.77 yards per route run (35th in the league) and 13.9-yards average depth of target (aDOT, ranked 13th), Odunze expands the downfield upside of this offense.

Will Micah Parsons' absence hurt Packers?

The All-Pro pass-rusher was lost to a torn ACL in Week 15. Green Bay defeated Chicago in Week 14 and lost the Bears in Week 16, so that's a telling tale of his impact.

Green Bay logged two sacks in the latter contest but didn't disrupt Williams too much; he went for 250 and 2 through the air. 

Packers vs. Bears bet on the Over/Under total

Over 45.5 (-110) or wait on better • DraftKings Sportsbook

We got the bounce down a point, but I preferred taking the chance on Over 46.5 at more favorable (-102) juice at DK earlier.

Any cold-weather panic still may push this total down, so we still can wait on a better number.

This underestimates how much the Bears offense could rebound with Odunze back in the fold. With the recent emergence of two talented rookie pass-catcheres in WR Luther Burden II and TE Colston Loveland to complement DJ Moore, re-injecting Odunze into this fold will give Green Bay plenty of trouble.

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Packers vs. Bears spread bet (ATS)

LEAN: Bears +1.5 (-122) • FanDuel Sportsbook

I'm more willing to back the Bears as home underdogs if I had to choose.

Packers vs. Bears moneyline bet

Wait for Chicago to hit plus-money

Though each side has value, this evenly matched game doesn' present enough to chase until one side hits +100 or better.

Packers vs. Bears betting trends data

Again, these should not be considered gospel but can help inform betting decisions on the fringes.

  • ATS record 2025: Green Bay 7-10 • Bears 10-7
  • Over/Under record 2025: Packers 9-8 • Bears 8-8-1

📋 MORE: How sportsbooks set betting lines

Best sportsbooks for Packers vs. Bears bets that may be available in your area

Even if sports betting is legal in your state, not all sportsbooks may be available to you. Here are some of the most popular options to look into: 

🆓 MORE: How to use bonus bets when signing up for a sportsbook

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