The Denver Broncos' clinching of a berth in the 2025-26 AFC Championship Game was bittersweet, as Bo Nix was reported to have broken his ankle. Now that the sophomore quarterback is out for the rest of the season, Denver must rely on backup quarterback Jarrett Stidham.
This QB news naturally caused chaos among Conference Championship betting markets -- especially player prop bets.
How should we approach the NFL betting slate for Patriots vs. Broncos props? Keep reading to find the best Anytime TD value bets and other picks for this NFL semifinals contest.
Best AFC Championship Game prop rankings: Anytime TD odds
We're using Anytime TD prop odds across notable sportsbooks. Use these numbers as a general guideline for the best buys across any operator that has these available.
- RJ Harvey (+138) • BetMGM
- New England Patriots D/ST (+600) • FanDuel
- Courtland Sutton (+275) • bet365
- Hunter Henry (+200) • BetMGM
- Jarrett Stidham (+500) • BetMGM
- TreVeyon Henderson (+200) • bet365 / DraftKings / FanDuel
- Kyle Williams (+1000) • DraftKings
The Pats' defense is in a prime spot to take advantage of any Stidham mistake.
The backup QB himself has the legs to scramble for a score if they reach the red zone.]
More on why Williams is the biggest sleeper pick for Patriots Anytime Touchdown odds.
MORE: AFC Championship Game odds and predictions
Best Broncos player props for AFC Championship Game
RJ Harvey: Over 65.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-105) • Fanatics Sportsbook
These odds are friendly enough for a player who should get at least 15 touches to take pressure off Jarrett Stidham.
Harvey ranked second-worst in SumerSports' explosive run percentage (2.74%) of 49 qualifying running backs. However, even with stacked boxes staring him down, his volume should allow him to clear this total.
If you don't have an account yet, lock in these favorable odds with our Fanatics betting promo code.
Jarrett Stidham: 20+ Rushing Yards (+154) • FanDuel Sportsbook
Stidham likely will be under plenty of pressure, and the veteran backup could slip away a few times or even go on designed runs to counter the Pats' defensive front.
Best Patriots player props for AFC Championship Game
TreVeyon Henderson: Over 1.5 Receptions (+165) • BetMGM Sportsbook
New England likely will need creative ways to get around Denver's top-notch pass coverage, and utilizing Henderson more often -- despite Mike Vrabel's obvious leaning on Rhamondre Stevenson -- would give them a huge advantage with speed.
Kyle Williams: 2+ Receptions (+320) • bet365 Sportsbook
Williams should have the most beneficial 1-on-1 matchup among the wide receivers, drawing weak-link CB Riley Moss on most nickel snaps instead of Patrick Surtain II or Ja'Quan McMillian.
In the regular season, SumerSports cites that the Pats finished first in EPA/Pass (0.35) out of 3-wide (11 personnel) sets. Drake Maye is comfortable slingin' it in this formation and could find Williams in a 1-on-1 spot that should favor the speedy downfield-centric rookie.
New England will rely on another rookie in a big spot against a tough defense in the need for big plays.