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Heavy track winners in 2025 Melbourne Cup?

Sean Dillon

Which 2025 Melbourne Cup runners have won on a heavy track? image

The 2025 Melbourne Cup is set to be run on a very wet Flemington track, with up to 20 - 40mm of rain expected to fall on Monday alone.

This could see the track labelled 'heavy', which could swing the race in favour of horses who run well on heavy ground. AllSportsPeople looks at all 2025 Melbourne Cup runners with wins on a heavy track.

Arapaho (3) has the most experience of any Melbourne Cup runners, racing on heavy tracks nine times for two wins, two second places and two third-place finishes, but the Rachel King ridden horse is an outside favourite.

Current favourite Half Yours (14) has one win from one start on a heavy track and will be ridden by acclaimed jockey Jamie Melham, while 2019 Cup-winning jockey Craig Williams will ride Buckaroo (2) who has one win from two starts on a heavy track, while Presage Nocturne (6) has one win and two second-place finishes from four starts and will have Stephane Pasquier as jockey.

MORE: Melbourne Cup track rating: Flemington conditions and weather forecast for 2025 race

2024 Melbourne Cup winning jockey Robbie Dolan will be riding Royal Supremacy (22), while Puerto Rican jockey John Velazquez will be riding Parchment Party, with both horses winning on a heavy track in one start.

Three-time Melbourne Cup-winning jockey Kerrin McEvoy will be riding Absurde (9), who has one win from two starts on a heavy track, while German jockey Thore-Hammer Hansen will ride Flatten The Curve (10), who has a record of two wins, one second place and one third place from eight starts.

The last of nine horses with wins on heavy tracks is Smokin' Romans (12), who will be ridden by Ben Melham, who has one win and three second-place finishes from five finishes on a heavy track.

Melbourne Cup 2025: Field, gates, odds

Odds correct as of 3/11/2025, courtesy of Neds

Runner (Barrier)

Jockey

Trainer

Odds

1. Al Riffa (19)

Mark Zahra

Joseph O'Brien

$8

2. Buckaroo (12)

Craig Williams

Chris Waller

$9

3. Arapaho (15)

Rachel King

Bjorn Baker

$41

4. Vauban (2)

Blake Shinn

Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

$23

5. Chevalier Rose (5)

Damian Lane

Hisashi Shimizu

$34

6. Presage Nocturne (9)

Stephane Pasquier

Alessandro Botti

$8.50

7. Middle Earth (13)

Ethan Brown

Ciaron Maher

$41

8. Meydaan (22)

James McDonald

Simon & Ed Crisford

$19

9. Absurde (4)Kerrin McEvoyWillie Mullins$19
10. Flatten The Curve (17)Thore-Hammer HansenHenk Grewe$21

11. Land Legend (16)

Joao Moreira

Chris Waller

$61

12. Smokin' Romans (11)

Ben Melham

Ciaron Maher

$61

13. Changingoftheguard (24)

Tim Clark

Kris Lees

$61

14. Half Yours (8)

Jamie Melham

Tony & Calvin McEvoy

$7

15. More Felons (23)Tommy BerryChris Waller$41

16. Onesmoothoperator (6)

Harry Coffey

Brian Ellison

$26

17. Further (7)

Michael Dee

Andrew Balding

$26

18. Parchment Party (3)

John Velazquez

William Mott

$51

19. Athabascan (1)Declan BatesJohn O'Shea & Tom Charlton$81
20. Goodie Two Shoes (20)Wayne LordanJoseph O'Brien$41

21. River Of Stars (14)

Beau Mertens

Chris Waller

$17

22. Royal Supremacy (21)Robbie DolanCiaron Maher$31

23. Torranzino (18)

Celine Gaudray

Paul Preusker

$34

24. Valiant King (10)

Jye McNeil

Chris Waller

$8

Editorial Team