Real Madrid look for their first road victory against their cross-town rivals since 2022 as they visit the Metropolitano to take on Atletico Madrid on Saturday in La Liga action.
Los Blancos have failed to win each of their last four visits to the Metropolitano, with adverse results in the Champions League, La Liga, and Copa del Rey in that time.
Yet under Xabi Alonso's leadership, Real Madrid have begun the new campaign in style, with six wins from six to start the year. They sit atop the league table by five points over Barcelona, having played an additional game.
Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, have been exceedingly poor to begin the year. They managed to scrape out a 3-2 win at Rayo Vallecano last time out, just the second victory on the season for Diego Simeone across any competition.
MORE: Predicted lineups, team news, and latest injury updates ahead of Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Real Madrid (+135 on DraftKings)
- Score prediction: Atletico Madrid 1-3 Real Madrid
There has been a significant gap between the performances of these two teams so far this season. Real Madrid have looked one of the best teams in the world under Xabi Alonso, who has managed to solve a number of issues from the previous managerial regime to get them back to their best.
Atleti, meanwhile, have struggled to defend in the classic Diego Simeone manner. They have kept just a single clean sheet through five league games plus one Champions League match.
| DraftKings (USA) | |
| Atletico Madrid win | +190 |
| Draw | +265 |
| Real Madrid win | +135 |
| Both teams to score | Y: -180 N: +140 |
| Over / Under 2.5 goals | O: -145 U: +115 |
| Real Madrid -0.5 goals | +125 |
| Atletico Madrid +0.5 goals | -175 |
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid match facts
- Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Kickoff Time: 4:15 p.m. p.m. local (10:15 a.m. ET / 7:15 a.m. PT)
- Location: Estadio Metropolitano (Madrid, Spain)
- Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
- Last meeting: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Real Madrid (Mar. 12, 2025 | Champions League)
MORE: A complete guide to betting on soccer in the United States
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid best bet
- Pick: Real Madrid over 2.5 total goals
- Odds: +310 (DraftKings)
Los Blancos have had the best attack in La Liga under Xabi Alonso so far, with an even greater expected goals tally than high-flying Barcelona. Kylian Mbappe has been exceptional, and Alonso has managed to revive Vinicius Jr. somewhat from his struggles last season while also working Rodrygo in.
Even without Jude Bellingham, they have seen Arda Guler blossom into an effective and dangerous No. 10, while Franco Mastantuono on the right has also been excellent.
Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, continue to leak goals, looking vulnerable on the counter and incapable of grinding games down when necessary. Look for Real Madrid to roll.
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid prop bet
- Pick: Kylian Mbappe anytime goal scorer
- Odds: +125 (DraftKings)
While we'd love to get more creative or unique with this selection, these odds are just too good to pass up on a player in electric form.
It appeared last season that for Kylian Mbappe to put up Ballon d'Or level numbers, his teammates would have to sacrifice their own production. This season, that narrative has been largely debunked, as Xabi Alonso has kept his Frenchman firing while also improving the performances of those around him.
Mbappe has benefitted some from his side's penalty luck, but as the team's designated spot-kick taker, that only adds value to his chances of finding the net. Searching for his second straight Pichichi trophy, Mbappe has found the net in all but one La Liga game this season.