Early-season storylines are beginning to take shape as contenders and pretenders are starting to emerge around the league. As trends continue to surface, let's take a look at the latest NFL MVP odds and picks through the first four games, with several standout individuals making an early case.
Josh Allen (+110 odds) is the clear front-runner for league MVP thus far, as the Buffalo Bills signal-caller has been simply sensational. For football fans looking a bit further down on the odds list, we'll break down three picks that are worth taking after Week 4.
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NFL MVP Odds and Picks: Best Bets After Week 4
| Player | NFL MVP Odds |
| Josh Allen | (+110) |
| Lamar Jackson | (+650) |
| Justin Herbert | (+700) |
| Patrick Mahomes | (+1000) |
| Jalen Hurts | (+1300) |
| Jordan Love | (+1600) |
| Baker Mayfield | (+1800) |
| Matthew Stafford | (+1800) |
| Jayden Daniels | (+2500) |
| Jared Goff | (+3000) |
Another standout performance from Josh Allen saw the Bills superstar throw for two touchdowns and rush for one more as Buffalo moved to a perfect (4-0). Allen sits alone at the top of the MVP odds list (+110) as the clear early-season favorite.
Week 4 action in the NFL was headlined by the Chiefs bulldozing the Ravens at home (37-20). The massive win for KC moved them to (2-2) on the season, and sent the Ravens reeling to (1-3), but the ramifications went much further.
Patrick Mahomes looked sharp, throwing for 270 yards and 4 touchdowns, and saw his MVP odds jump up to (+1000), good for fourth-best. On the other sideline, Lamar Jackson seriously struggled, throwing for less than 150 yards, tossing an interception, and losing a fumble. After being neck-and-neck with Josh Allen, Jackson's MVP odds tumbled to (+650), and could continue to fall as he left the game with a hamstring injury that could cloud his season going forward.
Outside of Allen at the top of the board, here are three picks to consider for NFL MVP with the first four weeks of the season (excluding Monday night) now in the rear-view mirror.
Justin Herbert (+700)
The Los Angeles Chargers (3-1) suffered their first defeat of the season yesterday, falling (21-18) to the Giants in the Meadowlands. It was an off-day for LA's Justin Herbert, who tossed two interceptions en route to the loss. However, Herbert was excellent in the first three weeks of the season, including a trademark Week 1 victory outdueling Patrick Mahomes.
Herbert has the third-most passing attempts in the NFL after Week 4, as LA has been airing it out to start the season. The emergence of Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston as a serious downfield threat, plus the return of Herbert's favorite target, Keenan Allen, sets up LA's quarterback with terrific weapons to continue his aerial assault.
With the third-best odds (+700) to win NFL MVP, the Chargers quarterback is certainly a good pick for football futures bettors.
Patrick Mahomes (+1000)
After a slow start to the season, the Kansas City Chiefs look to be getting back into form behind the stellar play of two-time league MVP Patrick Mahomes. In his last two games, Mahomes has thrown for nearly 500 yards with 5 touchdowns and no interceptions.
Week 4's victory over Baltimore was a massive win for the Chiefs, and Mahomes saw his MVP odds move to (+1000), the fourth shortest number to win the award. Things are trending up for Mahomes and KC as speedster wideout Xavier Worthy returned to the lineup yesterday following a Week 1 shoulder injury that cost him two games. Kansas City will also get back its top wide receiver Rashee Rice in Week 7 when he has finished serving his suspension.
This Kansas City team looks to be rounding into form, and with the return of its top pass-catchers, now might be the best time to bet on Mahomes to win MVP, as his odds (+1000) could continue to shorten.
Jordan Love (+1600)
For more of a longshot pick, Green Bay Packers QB Jordan Love is a value-packed (+1600), the sixth-best odds across the league. The Packers are fresh off a bizarre 40-40 tie in Dallas on Sunday Night Football in a game that saw very little defensive resistance from either side.
Love has been very impressive to start the season, already reaching the 1,000 passing yards mark, with eight touchdowns to just one interception. Through four games, the Packers are eighth in the NFL in passing yards, suggesting that Love should continue to throw it all over the field as the season rolls along.
Green Bay still has two primetime games on the schedule this season, so Love will certainly get his opportunities to win favor with the MVP voters. At (+1600) odds, he's certainly worth a shot as a dark horse to win the league's Most Valuable Player award.