Two NFC East teams are looking to bounce back on Sunday, but one will become 0-2. Our Giants-Cowboys betting preview analyzes player props, sportsbook odds and promotions for this Week 2 matchup. Kickoff is set for 1 pm ET at AT&T Stadium.
- The Cowboys are dominant 4.5-point home favorites over the Giants in this classic NFC East rivalry matchup.
- Dallas has won eight consecutive games against New York, covering the spread in six of those contests.
- Player props are favoring a strong offensive day for the Cowboys, with Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb positioned for big performances.
An old NFC East rivalry gets renewed in Week 2 as the Dallas Cowboys host the New York Giants. Both teams are looking to secure their first divisional win of the season after stumbling out of the gate in Week 1. The Cowboys' offense, led by quarterback Dak Prescott, aims to exploit a Giants defense that was gashed on the ground last week, while New York hopes its new-look offense under veteran Russell Wilson can find its footing against a formidable Dallas defensive front.
Prescott's opening week was a mixed bag, as he completed 61.8% of his passes for 188 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions in a 24-20 loss. Across the field, Wilson's debut with the Giants was a struggle; he posted a meager 59.3 QB rating, completing just 45.9% of his passes for 157 yards in a 21-6 defeat. The history in this matchup is heavily one-sided, with Dallas looking to extend its long winning streak over a Giants team that has been dreadful on the road.
This preview will break down the odds, analyze critical matchups, and provide our top picks and player prop bets for this divisional showdown.
Giants vs. Cowboys Betting Odds
| Bet Type | New York Giants | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-102) | -4.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | +194 | -235 |
| Total Points | Over 44.5 (-115) | Under 44.5 (-105) |
Odds from FanDuel.
Based on the current moneyline odds, the market implies the Cowboys have a strong chance to win this game. After removing the vig, Dallas has an implied win probability of approximately 67.4%, while the Giants have a 32.6% chance of pulling off the upset. The Cowboys have been a juggernaut at home when favored, winning 16 of their last 18 such games.
Conversely, the Giants have been abysmal as underdogs, dropping 11 of their last 12 contests in that role. The total of 44.5 points leans towards a higher-scoring affair, a trend supported by Dallas games at AT\&T Stadium, where the over has hit in 13 of their last 16 home games as favorites.
Moneyline (vig-free): Dallas Cowboys \~67.4%, New York Giants \~32.6%
Odds Movement & Analysis
The NFL betting line for this matchup has seen significant movement in favor of the Cowboys. After opening at -3 (+100), the spread has shifted a full point and a half to -4.5 (-120). The moneyline has seen an even more dramatic move, with Dallas opening at -144 and steaming all the way to -235.
This substantial shift indicates that early and heavy money has come in on the Cowboys, likely driven by Dallas's overwhelming historical success against the Giants, their strong home-field advantage, and New York's dismal offensive performance in Week 1. The total has remained stable at 44.5, suggesting the market is aligned on the expected point production.
Key Matchups to Watch
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Quarterback vs. Pass Defense
Prescott didn't light up the stat sheet in Week 1 (188 yards, 76.6 rating), but he faces a Giants defense that allowed a 98.3 passer rating in its opener. The Cowboys' offensive line provides excellent protection, and Prescott has historically carved up the Giants' secondary.
For New York, Wilson is under pressure after a dismal debut (45.9% completion rate). He'll be staring down a Dallas pass rush that can wreak havoc and a secondary that knows how to capitalize on mistakes.
Running Game vs. Run Defense
This is the most significant mismatch of the game. The Cowboys' ground attack was explosive in Week 1, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. They now face a Giants run defense that was obliterated for 220 yards and 6.9 yards per carry.
If Dallas establishes the run early with Javonte Williams, it will control the clock and set up play-action, making for a long day for New York's defense. The Giants' run game was stagnant, managing only 3.2 yards per carry against a stout front.
Pass Catchers vs Secondary
CeeDee Lamb remains the focal point for Dallas and has a history of torching the Giants. He'll be a matchup nightmare for New York's cornerbacks.
For the Giants, Malik Nabers will be tested against an aggressive and talented Dallas secondary. The ability of New York's receivers to create separation will be crucial for Wilson to have any success through the air.
Offensive Line vs Pass Rush
The Giants' offensive line surrendered two sacks in Week 1 and now has to contend with a relentless Cowboys pass rush. If they can't protect Wilson, the offense will continue to sputter.
On the other side, the Cowboys' formidable offensive line will look to neutralize the Giants' pass rush, which did manage to collect three sacks in its first game. Winning this battle in the trenches will dictate the flow of the game.
Giants-Cowboys Player Props: Passing
| Player | Passing Yards | Passing TDs | Completions | INTs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 245.5 (O -114 | U -114) | 1.5 (O -158 | U +118) | 21.5 (O -140 | U +106) | 0.5 (O -118 | U -115) |
| Russell Wilson (NYG) | 217.5 (O -114 | U -114) | 1.5 (O +152 | U -205) | 19.5 (O -118 | U -112) | 0.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
Prescott's passing yards prop of 245.5 seems very attainable against a Giants team he has consistently performed well against. Given the expectation that Dallas will control the game, he should have ample opportunity to connect with his receivers.
Wilson's line of 217.5 passing yards appears optimistic, considering his offense generated only 231 total yards in Week 1 and faces a much tougher defense this week. Use the bet365 bonus code TSN365 and find several boosts for these props.
Rushing & Receiving Props
| Player | Rushing Yards | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (DAL) | 53.5 (O -114 | U -114) | 12.5 (O -114 | U -114) | 2.5 (O -106 | U -125) | Yes -120 | No -110 |
| Tyrone Tracy (NYG) | 54.5 (O -114 | U -114) | 12.5 (O -114 | U -114) | 2.5 (O +104 | U -138) | Yes +135 | No -175 |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | N/A | 78.5 (O -114 | U -114) | 6.5 (O -114 | U -114) | Yes +100 | No -130 |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | N/A | 76.5 (O -114 | U -114) | 6.5 (O +100 | U -132) | Yes +130 | No -170 |
Lamb's receiving yards prop at 78.5 is a strong candidate for an over. He is the undisputed top target for Prescott and has historically dominated the Giants. For the Giants, Nabers' line of 76.5 receiving yards is ambitious for a rookie facing a top-tier defense in a challenging road environment.
The rushing matchup heavily favors Williams, whose 53.5-yard line looks modest against a run defense that was just shredded.
Giants vs. Cowboys Picks & Prediction
All signs point toward another dominant performance by the Cowboys in this long-standing NFL rivalry. The most glaring advantage lies in the trenches, where the Cowboys' offense should control the line of scrimmage against a porous Giants run defense.
After allowing 220 rushing yards in Week 1, New York is ill-equipped to handle Dallas's ground-and-pound attack, which will open up the play-action pass for Prescott. He has been surgical against the Giants throughout his career, and with Lamb presenting a constant mismatch, the Cowboys' offense is poised to move the ball effectively and put up points.
On the other side of the ball, the Giants' offense is in disarray. Wilson and his unit managed just 231 total yards last week, and they now face a Dallas defense that is faster, more athletic, and boasts a superior pass rush. The trends are overwhelmingly against New York: they are 1-12 in their last 13 games, 0-6 against the spread on the road, and have lost eight straight to the Cowboys.
Dallas, meanwhile, is 16-2 straight up in their last 18 games as a home favorite. The 4.5-point spread feels insufficient to account for the massive disparities between these two teams. I expect Dallas to win comfortably, covering the spread in the process.
Picks:
- Dallas Cowboys -4.5 (-120)
- Over 44.5 (-115)
- CeeDee Lamb Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Recent History of the NFC East Battle
The Cowboys have utterly dominated this series in recent years, winning the last eight consecutive matchups against the Giants. Not only have they won, but they have often done so in convincing fashion, covering the spread in six of those eight victories.
The Giants have particularly struggled at AT\&T Stadium, where they have not won since 2016. These games have often been high-scoring, with the over hitting in five of the last eight meetings, largely due to Dallas's offensive firepower.