The Green Bay Packers head to Arlington for a pivotal Week 4 showdown against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium, setting up one of the most compelling storylines of the early season. This matchup carries extra emotional weight as former Cowboys star Micah Parsons returns to face his old team for the first time since joining Green Bay's defense.
The Cowboys enter this contest averaging 24.0 points per game behind quarterback Dak Prescott, while the Packers have been methodical under Jordan Love, posting a league-best 47.5% third-down conversion rate.
Dallas has been opportunistic early on, sitting pretty with a +5 turnover differential, but they'll face their biggest test yet against a Green Bay defense that's been relentless getting to the quarterback with 10.0 sacks already this season.
With both teams looking to establish themselves in the NFC hierarchy, this Sunday night clash promises fireworks as two contrasting styles collide under the bright lights.
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Packers vs Cowboys Betting Odds
Kickoff: 8:20 PM ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX
Weather: Indoor venue with retractable dome roof eliminates weather concerns
The NFL betting market has established clear expectations for this conference matchup. Green Bay enters as road favorites with emotional storylines surrounding the game.
- Moneyline: Packers (-345) | Cowboys (+275)
- Spread: Packers -7 (-110) | Cowboys +7 (-110)
- Total (Over/Under): O/U 47.5 (Over -105 / Under -115)
Betting odds courtesy of DraftKings.
The Packers' moneyline price reflects oddsmakers' confidence in their ability to handle the hostile environment and emotional subplot. Dallas finds itself in the unfamiliar position of significant home underdogs at (+285).
Packers vs Cowboys Statistical Breakdown: Tale of Two Philosophies
Trough three weeks, the Cowboys hold a slight scoring edge at 24.0 points per game compared to the Packers' 21.3 PPG, but Dallas will have to operate without star wideout CeeDee Lamb who will miss tonight's game with an ankle injury.
After adding Parsons into the mix, the Packers now feature a suffocating pass rush, already tallying 10.0 sacks this season compared to Dallas's 4.0. This disparity becomes crucial when considering how Green Bay can disrupt Prescott's rhythm and force the mistakes that have plagued opposing quarterbacks.
Where Green Bay truly shines is sustaining drives. Their 47.5% third-down conversion rate ranks among the league's best, giving them the ability to control clock and field position against a Cowboys defense that thrives on creating quick changes of possession.
The key matchup will be whether Parsons and company can generate enough pressure to knock the Cowboys out of their turnover-creation rhythm while Love navigates what should be a hostile crowd eager to see their former defensive star.
Dallas generates more total yardage at 393.7 yards per game, but the Packers' efficiency on money downs suggests they can move the chains when it matters most. This sets up a chess match between two teams with completely different DNA.
Packers vs Cowboys Fearless Forecast: Best Bets for Sunday Night
Our Lock of the Week: Packers-Cowboys Total Points Under 47.5 (-115)
The Packers have one of the best defenses in the NFL, holding the Lions to just 13 points earlier this season. And the offense actually struggled a bit last week, only scoring 10 points in a loss to the Browns. We think they'll do enough to get a win over the Cowboys, but it doesn't look to be like a high-scoring affair.
Dak Prescott Over 0.5 Interceptions (-164)
While the Cowboys have been excellent protecting the football this season, Prescott faces his biggest test yet against a Packers pass rush that leads the league with 10.0 sacks. That constant pressure forces quarterbacks into rushed decisions, and even the most careful signal-callers crack under relentless heat.
Parsons brings extra motivation facing his former team, and that Green Bay front figures to be flying around all night. One errant throw under duress feels inevitable against a defense this disruptive, making this prop our confident secondary play despite the juice.
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Packers vs Cowboys Injury Report: Key Health Concerns
The injury landscape heading into Sunday night carries significant implications for both game plans, with several impact players dealing with various ailments that could shape how this contest unfolds.
Dallas Cowboys Injury Notes
- CeeDee Lamb (WR): Did Not Participate In Practice (Ankle)
- DaRon Bland (CB): Limited Participation In Practice (Foot)
- Trevon Diggs (CB): Full Participation In Practice (Knee)
Green Bay Packers Injury Notes
- Josh Jacobs (RB): Limited Participation In Practice (Ankle)
- Micah Parsons (DL): Limited Participation In Practice (Back)
- Jordan Love (QB): Full Participation In Practice (Left Thumb)
- Tucker Kraft (TE): Limited Participation In Practice (Knee)
The biggest loss for Dallas is Lamb who will miss the game with an ankle issue. Lamb's absence limits the ceiling of the Dallas passing attack. For Green Bay, Parsons' back concern bears watching given the emotional storylines, though his limited participation suggests he'll battle through any discomfort to face his former teammates.
Josh Jacobs' ankle status will be crucial for the Packers' ability to establish ground control and take pressure off Love in what promises to be a raucous environment. While Love received full practice reps, the Packers will need their full complement of weapons to execute their methodical offensive approach successfully.