Week 2 Thursday Night Football is almost here, and NFL fans can get all the latest with this Commanders vs. Packers betting preview featuring the best odds, player props, picks, and predictions. Each of these teams won in Week 1 and will look to keep it rolling with a primetime victory tonight.
- The Packers are 3.5-point home favorites against the Commanders on Thursday Night Football.
- Dual-threat quarterbacks Jayden Daniels and Jordan Love clash after both led their teams to impressive Week 1 victories.
- Betting trends point to a Packers home victory, but the Commanders have been a strong underdog play, setting up a compelling betting matchup.
Two NFC teams kick off Week 2 as the Washington Commanders travel to the historic Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football. This primetime matchup features a fascinating quarterback duel between two rising stars. For the Packers, Jordan Love looks to build on a clean and efficient Week 1 performance where he posted a 128.6 passer rating with two touchdowns and no interceptions. His command of the offense has Green Bay looking like a legitimate NFC contender.
Across the field, Jayden Daniels leads a potent Commanders offense that exploded for 220 rushing yards in their season-opening win. Daniels showcased his dynamic skillset, contributing through the air (212 yards, 1 TD) and on the ground, proving why the Commanders were NFC Champions last season. While both offenses looked sharp in their openers, this game could be decided by two formidable defensive units.
This article will break down the odds, include NFL betting bonuses, analyze key matchups, and provide our top betting picks and player props for this Thursday night showdown. We'll explore where the value lies in the spread, total, and prop markets to help you make your most informed wagers.
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Commanders vs. Packers Betting Preview for Thursday Night Football
The Commanders and Packers both enter this contest with 1-0 records. The action is set to kick off at Lambeau Field in Green Bay at 8:15 pm ET, and will be broadcast nationally on Amazon Prime Video. The weather forecast calls for an overcast evening with temperatures around 66°F and a light 5 mph wind, which should have minimal impact on the game.
Commanders vs. Packers Betting Odds
| Bet Type | Washington Commanders | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-115) | -3.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -189 |
| Total Points | Over 48.5 (-105) | Under 48.5 (-125) |
Odds as of September 11, 2025 from BetMGM.
The odds paint the Packers as solid home favorites, with their (-189) moneyline price implying a 62.5% chance to win this game. The Packers have been a force at Lambeau Field, going 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five home games. The Commanders, however, have been a profitable underdog, covering in three of their last four games when getting points.
Odds Movement & Analysis
The most significant line movement has been on the spread, which opened with the Packers as just 1.5-point favorites and has since been bet up to (-3.5). This two-point jump across the key number of three indicates strong market confidence in Green Bay following their dominant Week 1 performance and historical success at home. The Packers have won their last nine games when favored by fewer than seven points, making them a popular bet.
Conversely, the Commanders have an excellent track record against the spread, covering in four of their last five games against opponents with a winning record. This suggests that while the public may be backing the Packers, sharp bettors could see value in taking the points with a proven Commanders team. The total has remained steady at 48.5, though juice has shifted towards the under, suggesting the market expects a hard-fought defensive battle despite two high-powered offenses.
Injury Report
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Status | Fantasy/Betting Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quay Walker | LB | Quadriceps | Questionable | A key run-stopper for Green Bay. His absence would weaken the Packers' front seven and could open up running lanes for Jayden Daniels and Washington's RBs. |
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR | Calf | Questionable | A depth receiver for the Packers. If he's out, it could mean more targets for Romeo Doubs and Jayden Reed. |
| Tress Way | P | Not specified | Questionable | Washington's starting punter. His absence could impact the field position battle. |
| Dorance Armstrong | DE | Not specified | Questionable | A rotational pass rusher for the Commanders. His availability impacts the depth of their defensive line. |
Commanders vs. Packers – Key Matchups to Watch
The Quarterback Matchup
Love was surgical in Week 1, completing 72.7% of his passes with a pristine 128.6 rating. He'll face a Commanders secondary that held its Week 1 opponent to just 157 passing yards and a 59.3 QB rating. Washington’s defense generated significant pressure, and its ability to disrupt Love's timing will be crucial.
On the other side, Daniels (98.3 rating) faces a Packers pass defense that was equally impressive, allowing a 79.5% completion rate but generating four sacks and an interception. The battle in the trenches will dictate which quarterback finds success.
The Ground Game
The Commanders unleashed a punishing ground attack in Week 1, bulldozing their way to 220 yards at a staggering 6.9 yards per carry. They'll test a Packers run defense that completely shut down the Lions last weekend, allowing only 46 yards on the ground (2.1 YPC).
If Green Bay linebacker Quay Walker is limited or out, Washington's ground-and-pound approach could control the clock and keep the Lambeau crowd quiet.
Pass Catchers vs. Secondary
Washington boasts a formidable receiving corps led by Terry McLaurin, but they'll be tested by a physical Packers secondary that excels in man coverage. The key matchup will be how Washington's slot receivers and tight ends fare against Green Bay's linebackers and safeties.
For the Packers, a balanced group of young receivers will challenge a Commanders secondary that allowed the second-fewest passing yards per game in 2024. Look for Green Bay to exploit matchups with their tight ends in the red zone.
The Trench Battle
This is the marquee matchup. The Packers' offensive line, which boasts a top-five pass block win rate, will have its hands full with Washington's ferocious defensive front that racked up sacks and QB hits in Week 1.
The Commanders' line, anchored by Laremy Tunsil, will face its own massive test in Green Bay's newly acquired Micah Parsons, who has historically tormented Washington. Tunsil has held Parsons without a sack in their last two meetings, and winning that battle again is essential for Washington's success.
Commanders vs. Packers Player Props: Passing
| Player | Passing Yards | Passing TDs | Completions | Interceptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love (GB) | 233.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 19.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 0.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
| Jayden Daniels (WAS) | 226.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O +115 | U -149) | 20.5 (O -133 | U +100) | 0.5 (O +110 | U -149) |
Love's passing yards prop of 233.5 is well above his 188-yard performance in Week 1 but aligns with his 225.9 yards per game average from 2024. Against a tough Commanders pass defense, the under holds some appeal. Daniels' line is set at 226.5, slightly higher than his 212 yards in the opener. Given the strength of the Packers' pass rush, Daniels may rely more on his legs, making the under on his passing yards a solid look.
Rushing & Receiving Props
| PLayer | Rushing Yards | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | 76.5 (O -111 | U -118) | 11.5 (O -118 | U -111) | 1.5 (O -182 | U +135) | Yes -194 | No +150 |
| Austin Ekeler (WAS) | 21.5 (O -111 | U -118) | 21.5 (O -118 | U -115) | 2.5 (O -175 | U +135) | Yes +232 | No -280 |
| Terry McLaurin (WAS) | N/A | 52.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 4.5 (O +100 | U -133) | Yes +168 | No -200 |
| Romeo Doubs (GB) | N/A | 42.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 3.5 (O +105 | U -139) | Yes +230 | No -280 |
Jacobs' rushing line of 76.5 seems high against a Washington run defense that allowed only 74 yards total in Week 1. The under is tempting. For Washington, McLaurin's receiving prop of 52.5 yards is intriguing.
He's the clear top target and should see enough volume to surpass this number, even against a tough Packers secondary. The plus-money odds on his receptions over at 4.5 also present good value.
Commanders vs. Packers Picks & Prediction
This Thursday night clash presents a classic case of an unstoppable force meeting an immovable object. The Packers are nearly unbeatable at Lambeau Field, especially as favorites, where they are 10-1 straight up in their last 11 games. Love is playing with tremendous confidence, and the addition of Parsons has transformed their defense into an elite unit.
However, the Commanders are riding a wave of momentum, having won eight of their last nine games dating back to last season, and they excel in the underdog role, covering the spread in 80% of their last five games against winning teams.
The key to this game lies in the trenches. If Washington's offensive line, particularly Tunsil, can neutralize Parsons and the Packers' pass rush, Daniels will have opportunities to extend plays with his legs and find his receivers downfield. The Commanders' rushing attack, which was dominant in Week 1, could control the tempo and mitigate Green Bay's potent home-field advantage.
Still, Washington's historical struggles at Lambeau are difficult to ignore—they haven't won there since 1988. The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four primetime games and have a knack for making crucial halftime adjustments at home. While the Commanders will keep it close, the hostile environment and a late-game drive from Love should be enough for Green Bay to secure the win and the cover.
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Picks:
- ATS: Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: Under 48.5 (-125)
- Player Prop: Jayden Daniels UNDER 226.5 Passing Yards (-115)