Somebody is going to suffer a devastating loss Sunday night, when the Kansas City Chiefs visit the New York Giants. Before kickoff arrives, football fans can get the best Chiefs-Giants props for betting on the action.
Both teams are 0-2 to start the year. One team will get a chance to right the ship this evening, while the other could be in major trouble. Since 2002, just three of 96 teams to start 0-3 have gone on to make the playoffs. Will that bring out some desperation and standout play that you can cash in on as you fill out your prop bet tickets? It very well could.
Check below for our favorite Chiefs vs Giants prop picks.
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Mahomes Under 33.5 pass attempts
Falling 20-17 to the Eagles last weekend in a Super Bowl rematch, Kansas City looked very vanilla offensively. Whether it's how they want to play or not, they have to stick to a simple formula: Nothing flashy, don’t turn the ball over, try to establish the run and do your best to protect Patrick Mahomes.
If that sounds like a yawn, it is. The truth is, the Chiefs’ offense has been this middling for years now, the talent erosion and exodus when winning titles is real. With a shady offensive line, Kansas City won’t want to throw too much against a stacked Giants’ D-line that can get after the passer.
Not including Mahomes’ 13 carries through two weeks, the Chiefs’ rush attack has had 40 total runs and picked up just 96 yards, a paltry 2.4 clip. I think KC will commit heavily to the run Sunday, and work to protect their star player. Part of that will be to not let Mahomes sit in the pocket under siege.
He threw 29 times for the Chiefs last game, down 10 from his opening start against LA. I think the formula calls for KC to take pressure off their QB now.
Skattebo Over 33.5 yards rushing
After rushing for -3 yards in his NFL debut against Washington, rookie Cam Skattebo looked much better in Week 2 against Dallas, rushing 13 times for 42 yards and a score.
They weren’t eye-popping numbers, and I’d usually lean towards a rookie struggling his next time out, as consistency is one of the hallmarks of rookie play. However, the stakes have changed for Skattebo. Fellow Giants running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. is questionable for Sunday with a chest injury, Skattebo will likely get the start and all the reps that come with it.
Kansas City’s run defense is middle of the pack, allowing 106 yards per game. On a down-to-down basis, the numbers look much better for KC, as they allow just 3.6 yards per carry, the seventh-best mark in the NFL. That shouldn’t be a problem for Skattebo, who averaged just 3.2 yards per tote in the win against the Cowboys.
If Russell Wilson is able to deliver the deep ball like he did against Dallas, coverage should respect the pass, leaving Skattebo enough daylight to cruise past this total.
Burns Over 0.5 sacks
Mahomes has only been sacked four times this season, which is a modest number. But he’s been knocked down a league-leading 13 times through two weeks. And at just 2.0 seconds, he has the shortest pocket time of any starting QB – measured as the average time between snapping the ball and throwing or snapping the ball and getting pressured.
All that’s to say the Chiefs haven’t done a great job of protecting their superstar, even with his ability to escape the pocket and make plays off script. Enter Brian Burns, who leads the team with three sacks on the year.
While teammates Kayvon Thibodeaux (1.5), Abdul Carter (0.5) and Dexter Lawrence (0) all try to get up to dominant speed, Burns has recorded a sack in both games. He’s played the Chiefs just once in his career, and recorded a sack against Mahomes, in a game way back in 2020, while Burns was still with the Panthers.
With KC’s O-line play in flux, this matchup sets up nicely for Burns to get another. Take Burns to get a sack with one of the NFL betting bonuses on DraftKings.