The Bengals-Broncos game lost a lot of excitement after the injury to Joe Burrow, who is out for this game and pretty much the entirety of the regular season. That said, they are still 2-1 on the year, and have talent at the skill positions in Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Chase Brown. They will be heading to Denver for the second of a Monday Night Football doubleheader with kickoff set for 8:15 pm ET.
Below, we will be focusing on our favorite Bengals-Broncos props. Use NFL betting bonuses on FanDuel to make these MNF picks.
Bengals-Broncos Prop | Odds |
J.K. Dobbins Over 64.5 Rushing Yards | -114 on FanDuel |
Troy Franklin Over 3.5 Receptions | -114 on FanDuel |
Dobbins Rushes With Success
This is a line that J.K. Dobbins has gone over in two of the three games to start this year, and the only game he went under was Week 1, when he ended with 63 rushing yards. Now, he gets a matchup against one of the worst rush defenses in the entire NFL. The Cincinnati Bengals just got torched by Jordan Mason to the tune of 116 yards last week, and the week before they allowed Travis Etienne to hit his over/under, recording 71 yards on an o/u at 55.5.
Overall, they've allowed the sixth-most rushing yards to RBs in the NFL, and the eighth-most adjusted yards before contact. The only reason they are not in the top in terms of rushing yards allowed is they had a good Week 1 against a Browns offense that essentially had no RBs. Over the last two weeks specifically, they have allowed 145 rushing yards per game, which would lead the NFL. They just do not have a good roster to defend the run, as they only have one plus run defender in Trey Hendrickson, which you can easily neutralize.
The rest of their DL and linebackers are below-average. They have been torched by gap-scheme runs and is struggling in the interior specifically. Unfortunately for them, the Broncos OL is very good. In three games this year, as the Broncos are averaging the most yards before contact in the entire NFL. Dobbins has 16, 14 and 11 carries, rushing for at least 60 yards in all three games.
He should get double-digit carries once again in this one, a game in which they should be leading throughout and are leaning on the ground game, and the Broncos aren't using there other RBs that much. Dobbins is coming off a season high in terms of snap share from last week at 71%. Win your first $5 bet with the FanDuel promo code offer to get a $200 bonus for this pick.
Franklin Records at Least Four Receptions
After a disappointing rookie season, Troy Franklin has been heavily utilized to begin this season. Heading into Week 4, Franklin leads the entire NFL in designed targets with seven. There are a couple players below him with six, but none matching his seven designed targets. That is an important stat, as it means that the Broncos are designing plays and play-calls specifically to get the ball into Franklins hands, which are high value targets for a reception prop.
He hit this in the first two games of the year but missed it in the last one. The good news, however, is that he is playing 73.7% of the snaps, after only playing 37.6% of the snaps last year. He is on the field a ton in general, and in passing plays as well, with 73.8% route participation on the year, that has jumped up to 85.9% over the last two weeks, which leads the Denver Broncos.
The best matchup advantage for the Broncos through the air is Franklin in the slot. He runs 68% of his routes in the slot, which leads the Broncos, and the Bengals currently allow the 10th-most receptions to slot receivers in the entire NFL and the 8th-most targets. Even further than that, the Bengals run a two-high safety defense over 58% of the time, and Franklins targets per route run increases by 17% against two-high looks.