Hunter Greene's name feels like one of those that's in trade rumors just for the heck of it.
Everyone with the Cincinnati Reds has said Greene won't be traded. Reporters continue to indicate that Greene probably won't be traded.
Yet on every offseason list, there's Greene's name. That's how things work when a smaller-market team like Cincinnati has a star like Greene.
But the reality truly is that Greene is probably staying put.
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ESPN's Jeff Passan and Kiley McDaniel wrote a new article on Tuesday in which they gave Greene just a 10% chance of being moved this offseason.
"Cincinnati's cadre of excellent arms -- Greene, Andrew Abbott, Nick Lodolo, Chase Burns, Brady Singer, Rhett Lowder -- has opened the door for the best of the bunch to move," the duo writes. "Don't bet on it, though. The Reds have Greene for four more years at $60 million, and in a world where Dylan Cease is getting $210 million over seven years, frontline pitchers on inexpensive contracts are extremely valuable."
Greene is a pitcher unlike any other. He threw his fastball at an average of 99.4 miles per hour in 2025, something no other starting pitcher came close to.
"The pitch was effective, too: the second-best fastball among starters on a per-pitch basis," Passan and McDaniel write. "Greene has just two other pitches -- a slider and splitter -- that both sit in the upper-80s. He somehow started throwing his slider 2.9 mph harder in 2025 but with almost exactly the same amount of movement, so it's now a plus pitch, too. He can work on fine-tuning his splitter locations and/or adding a fourth pitch, along with trying to exceed his career high of 150⅓ innings in a season."
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There's always the chance that the Reds turn back on their statements and actually do get an offer for Greene they can't refuse.
But with such a strong pitching unit, Cincinnati would be justified going into the new year with its rotation intact, especially considering Greene's cost is a bargain.
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