Week 8 of the college football season rolls along today with a massive top ten SEC showdown in Athens. Before kickoff arrives, football fans and gamblers can read up on the best Ole Miss-Georgia betting picks for wagering on the matchup.
- The Ole Miss Rebels bring their high-powered offense to Athens, looking to snap a 29-year losing streak at Sanford Stadium against the Georgia Bulldogs.
- Georgia's elite run defense will be tested by the Rebels' balanced attack, while the Bulldogs' ground game has a significant advantage against a porous Ole Miss front.
- The betting line has shifted two full points in favor of Ole Miss, moving from (+9.5) to (+7.5), indicating significant market respect for the visiting Rebels.
An SEC showdown with significant conference and playoff implications is set for Athens, as the Ole Miss Rebels travel to take on the Georgia Bulldogs. This matchup features a classic clash of styles: the Rebels' explosive, up-tempo offense against the Bulldogs' physical, defense-first identity. The memory of Ole Miss's victory over Georgia last season adds a compelling revenge narrative for the home team, who are looking to reassert their dominance between the hedges.
Leading the charge for Ole Miss is quarterback Trinidad Chambliss, who orchestrates an offense averaging a blistering 37.8 points and 515.3 total yards per game. Chambliss has been efficient, completing over 65% of his passes while piloting an attack that is lethal both through the air (311 YPG) and on the ground (204.3 YPG).
Across the field, Georgia quarterback Gunner Stockton helms a more methodical offense that relies on a powerful rushing attack (185.5 YPG) and opportunistic passing. While his numbers are more modest, Stockton's job is to manage the game and avoid mistakes, leaning on a defense that allows just 17 points per contest.
This article will break down the betting odds, analyze key matchups, and provide our top picks and player props to help you make informed wagers on this pivotal SEC clash.
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Ole Miss-Georgia Betting Picks
The Ole Miss Rebels (6-0) and Georgia Bulldogs (6-0) will square off at Sanford Stadium in Athens, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm ET, with national television coverage on ABC. The weather forecast calls for a perfect fall afternoon for football, with temperatures around 67°F and light winds, ensuring conditions won't impact play-calling for either team.
Ole Miss vs Georgia Betting Odds
| Bet Type | Ole Miss Rebels | Georgia Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-113) | -7.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +224 | -278 |
| Total Points | Over 54.5 (-107) | Under 54.5 (-113) |
Odds as of October 15 from consensus data.
Based on the current moneyline, the odds imply a 73.6% chance for the Georgia Bulldogs to win at home. The Ole Miss Rebels are given a 30.9% chance to pull off the upset. Georgia has struggled to cover large spreads this season (2-4 ATS), while Ole Miss has been a covering machine at 5-1 ATS. The total of 54.5 reflects the market's expectation of points, largely driven by the Rebels' offensive firepower.
Ole Miss vs Georgia Odds Movement & Analysis
The most significant line movement has been on the point spread, which opened with the Bulldogs as 9.5-point favorites and has since been bet down a full two points to (-7.5). This substantial shift indicates that early and respected money has backed the Rebels, suggesting bettors believe their offense can keep this game within a touchdown. The total has also seen upward movement, climbing from an opening line of 53.5 to 54.5, a nod to the Rebels' quick-strike capability and potential for a high-scoring affair.
This movement creates a fascinating dynamic for college football betting enthusiasts. The public is reportedly siding with Ole Miss and the points (62% of bets), but sharp money has also shown interest in the Georgia moneyline. The value on Ole Miss at (+9.5) has vanished, but at the key number of (+7.5), they remain an attractive underdog. For those backing Georgia, the line move provides a much better number than the opening market price.
Ole Miss vs Georgia – Key Matchups to Watch
Trinidad Chambliss vs Georgia Pass Defense
The Ole Miss air raid, averaging 311 passing yards per game, presents the toughest challenge the Georgia secondary has faced this season. Chambliss has been excellent, posting a 164.7 QB rating. However, he's facing a Georgia defense that allows just 215.5 passing yards per game and excels at limiting explosive plays at home. The Bulldogs' pass rush has only generated 8 sacks, so creating pressure without blitzing will be critical to prevent Chambliss from picking them apart.
Georgia Running Game vs Ole Miss Run Defense
This is where the Bulldogs have a massive advantage on paper. Their offense churns out 185.5 rushing yards per game at a 4.5 yards-per-carry clip. They will face an Ole Miss run defense that has been gashed for 157.7 yards per game and a whopping 4.78 yards per carry. If Georgia can establish its ground-and-pound attack, it will control the clock, keep the Rebels' explosive offense on the sideline, and wear down the Ole Miss front seven. This matchup could very well decide the game.
Ole Miss Pass Catchers vs Georgia Secondary
Receivers Daequan Wright and Cayden Lee are the primary weapons for the Rebels. Lee was particularly effective in last season's matchup, using his speed to create yards after the catch. They will be challenged by a disciplined Georgia secondary that tackles well in space. The battle in the slot will be crucial, as Ole Miss will use motion and RPOs to try and create favorable matchups against Georgia's linebackers and nickel corners.
Georgia Offensive Line vs Ole Miss Pass Rush
While Georgia's offense is built on the run, Stockton will need time to operate on crucial third downs. The Bulldogs' offensive line has allowed just eight sacks all season. They face an Ole Miss defensive front that has been disruptive, tallying nine sacks and 10 QB hits. If the Rebels can generate a pass rush and force Stockton into hurried decisions, it could lead to turnovers, as Georgia currently sits at an even zero in turnover differential.
Ole Miss vs Georgia Passing Props
| Player | Passing Yards | Passing TDs | Completions | INTs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinidad Chambliss (MISS) | 245.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O +189 | U -258) | N/A | N/A |
| Gunner Stockton (UGA) | 215.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O +175 | U -241) | N/A | N/A |
Ole Miss vs Georgia Rushing & Receiving Props
| Player | Rushing Yards | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kewan Lacy (MISS) | 72.5 (O -115 | U -115) | N/A | N/A | Yes -147 | No +112 |
| Daequan Wright (MISS) | N/A | 49.5 (O -115 | U -115) | N/A | Yes +277 | No -400 |
| Colbie Young (UGA) | N/A | 39.5 (O -115 | U -115) | N/A | Yes +279 | No -400 |
Chambliss's passing yards prop of 245.5 seems low for a quarterback averaging over 300 yards per game, but it's adjusted for the quality of the Georgia defense. Still, Ole Miss will likely be forced to throw to keep pace, making the over an intriguing play. For Georgia, the rushing props will be more popular, but Colbie Young's receiving line at 39.5 yards is attainable against an Ole Miss secondary that can give up chunk plays.
Ole Miss vs Georgia Picks & Prediction
This game hinges on a simple question: Can the Bulldogs' overwhelming advantage in the trenches overcome the Rebels' explosive offensive firepower? While Georgia's defense is elite, they have shown vulnerability against mobile quarterbacks and high-tempo schemes. The Rebels' offense, which ranks 6th nationally in DVOA, is built to exploit exactly that. Trinidad Chambliss's dual-threat ability will stress Georgia's defensive ends and force their linebackers to play disciplined, assignment-sound football for four quarters.
On the other side of the ball, Georgia's path to victory is clear: dominate the line of scrimmage with their rushing attack. The Bulldogs should be able to bulldoze through an Ole Miss run defense, giving up nearly five yards per carry. By controlling the clock and finishing drives in the red zone—something they struggled with in last year's loss—they can dictate the terms of engagement. However, Ole Miss has been excellent in situational football, boasting a top-tier third-down defense (31% allowed) and elite red zone touchdown efficiency (68% TD rate).
Given the significant line movement toward Ole Miss and their consistent ability to cover spreads (5-1 ATS), taking the points is the logical play. Georgia has failed to cover in four of six games this season and is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games against top-10 opponents. Ole Miss has the offensive scheme and quarterback play to hang around and potentially win this game outright. I expect a close, hard-fought battle that comes down to the final possession.
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Picks:
- Against the Spread: Ole Miss Rebels +7.5 (-113)
- Over/Under: Over 54.5 (-107)
- Player Prop: Trinidad Chambliss Over 245.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Public Betting Splits
- Spread: 62% of public bets are on the Ole Miss Rebels +7.5.
- Moneyline: Sharp money has reportedly favored the Georgia Bulldogs ML, despite the public backing the underdog.
- Total: Action is heavier on the Over 54.5, aligning with the Rebels' offensive identity.
Recent History: Ole Miss Rebels vs Georgia Bulldogs
In their most recent meeting in 2024, the Rebels defeated the Bulldogs 28-10 in Athens. Ole Miss controlled the game, with then-QB Jaxson Dart accounting for 249 total yards. The Rebels' defense stifled Georgia, holding them to just 4-of-13 on third down and a single field goal in the red zone. That loss serves as a major motivational factor for a Georgia team seeking revenge on their home turf.