Week 11 began with the Patriots winning by double digits over the Jets. There are another 14 games on Sunday and Monday, with just two teams on a bye. Below, we go over our favorite NFL picks against the spread.
NFL Picks ATS and Betting Odds for Week 11
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Commanders vs. Dolphins
This is an early start at 9:30 p.m. ET due to it being an international game being played in Spain. The Commanders are having a dreadful season after surprising the world to an NFC Championship last year, and the guess here is that continues Sunday against a Dolphins team that has been feisty after a tough start.
ATS Pick: Dolphins -2.5 (-110) FanDuel
Panthers vs. Falcons
Last time we saw these two teams play against each other the Panthers won in blowout fashion, 30-0. They seem to have figured out some stuff on both sides of the ball, most notably riding with Nico Dowdle on the ground. The Falcons, meanwhile, have now lost four straight games after beating the Bills. Not entirely sure the correct team is favored here.
ATS Pick: Panthers +3.5 (-110) Fanatics Sportsbook
Buccaneers vs. Bills
One of the better games in the early slot Sunday, featuring two teams who could use a win. The Bills just lost a shocker to the Dolphins, a game that was not even that competitive, while the Bucs are coming off a loss to the Patriots. The Bucs do seem to be getting healthier, but it does not help them on Sunday playing in Buffalo.
ATS Pick: Bills -5.5 (-110) BetMGM
Chargers vs. Jaguars
The Jaguars had a hot start to the season but have come crashing down over the last couple weeks, losers of four straight games after beating the Chiefs at the beginning of October. It goes to five losses in a row on Sunday against a Chargers team that is dealing with a bunch of injuries to their OL, but the Jaguars are not a team that can take advantage of that with bottom 10 pressure rate.
ATS Pick: Chargers -3 (-102) DraftKings
Bears vs. Vikings
The Bears have won six of seven games, and yet still do not feel as though they have put things together. They needed a late comeback two weeks in a row to beat the Bengals and Giants, only beating the Giants last week due to an injury to QB Jaxson Dart late in the game. The Vikings, meanwhile, have been putrid on offense with JJ McCarthy at QB. This feels like a toss-up, so we'll take the underdog getting a field goal.
ATS Pick: Bears +3 (-115) Fanatics Sportsbook
Packers vs. Giants
The news heading into this game is the fact that the Giants fired Brian Daboll and are rolling with Mika Kafka as their interim head coach. The second biggest news is that Jamies Winston is the starting QB for the Giants for the injured Dart. The fired head coach bump seems to work every year in the NFL, so we'll trust the system again Sunday.
ATS Pick: Giants +7 (-104) FanDuel
Bengals vs. Steelers
Last time we saw these two teams play was a 33-31 Bengals victory on Thursday Night Football back in October. The Steelers defense has cratered this year, while the Bengals defense has cratered for three straight years. That said, 5.5 points is too rich for a Steelers team that cannot stop anybody and have not looked good on offense recently.
ATS Pick: Bengals +5.5 (-108) DraftKings
Texans vs. Titans
Probably the grossest game on the slate, featuring two offenses that are stuck in mud. The different, however, is that the Texans defense is among the best in the NFL while the Titans are already on to the off-season.
ATS Pick: Texans -5.5 (-115) BetMGM
49ers vs. Cardinals
The 49ers are finally getting healthy on offense, with QB Brock Purdy and WR Ricky Pearsall set to return from injury this Sunday. The opposite is happening to the Cardinals, who will be missing their No. 1 WR in Marvin Harrison Jr. Due to an appendectomy. Even without MHJ, the Cardinals love playing in close games (last week notwithstanding). This game stays within a field goal.
ATS Pick: Cardinals +3 (-102) Caesars Sportsbook
Seahawks vs. Rams
This game and the Sunday Night Football matchup are the two best games of the day, both of which should have major implications on the NFC playoff seeding. Both teams specifically are on a roll, and it is hard to bet against them both. The Rams offense led by Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay is a football nerds dream going up against the Mike MacDonald Seahawks defense. We'll give this edge to the Rams, but it's close.
ATS Pick: Rams -3 (-105) DraftKings
Ravens vs. Browns
The Ravens have looked like a different team now that they have gotten some pieces back healthy, the most important of which being the status of QB Lamar Jackson. After missing practice Wednesday due to knee soreness, he looks as though he will be fine for Sunday, a game in which the Ravens should roll.
ATS Pick: Ravens -7.5 (-108) DraftKings
Chiefs vs. Broncos
Despite the Broncos being tied with the best record in the AFC, nobody really believes in them, which is hard to disagree with considering how poorly QB Bo Nix has played. The Broncos’ defense is legit, but so is the Chiefs, and we'll trust Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to be able to scheme some stuff up on offense to win this one relatively comfortably.
The Pick: Chiefs -3.5 (-114) Caesars Sportsbook
Lions vs. Eagles
One of the two teams between winner of this game or the Seahawks-Rams game mentioned earlier is most likely going to be the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoffs. It is hard to understate the importance of this game, which the Lions get the best of on Sunday night. The Eagles offense too often looks like they've never played football before to trust them to keep up with the Lions.
The Pick: Lions +2.5 (+100) BetMGM
Cowboys vs. Raiders
This is the first game we will see of the "new look" Cowboys defense that made two trades at the deadline, most importantly acquiring Quinnen Williams from the Jets. While it is unlikely that their defense is going to be much better than the abomination we saw pre trades, they should be able to beat a bad Raiders team.
The Pick: Cowboys -3.5 (-102) BetMGM