The NFC East takes center stage this Sunday as two offensive juggernauts collide when the Washington Commanders visit the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. This classic divisional rivalry carries extra intrigue with former Cowboys defensive coordinator Dan Quinn now leading Washington into his old stomping grounds. The Cowboys bring explosive firepower, averaging 29 points per game behind the dynamic Dak Prescott, while the Commanders counter with their own aerial weapons led by dual-threat quarterback Jayden Daniels.
Both teams enter this crucial Week 7 matchup carrying momentum - Washington fresh off a heartbreaking 25-24 loss against the Bears on Monday night, and Dallas looking to bounce back from a disappointing 30-27 loss in Carolina. With divisional positioning on the line and a combined scoring average exceeding 54 points per game, this NFC East showdown promises fireworks under the bright lights of Jerry World.
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Commanders vs Cowboys Betting Odds
Date: Sunday, Oct. 19, 2025
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX
This Week 7 conference clash kicks off in the late afternoon window inside AT&T Stadium's climate-controlled environment, ensuring perfect conditions for this offensive showcase.
• Moneyline: Washington Commanders (-130) | Dallas Cowboys (+110)
• Spread: Washington Commanders -1.5 (-118) | Dallas Cowboys +1.5 (-110)
• Total: 55 (Over -110 | Under -110)
Betting odds courtesy of MGM.
The oddsmakers have installed the visiting Commanders as narrow road favorites at (-130), while the Cowboys return home as slight underdogs at (+110). The razor-thin 1.5-point spread suggests we're in for a coin-flip game that could swing either direction. That sky-high 55-point total reflects the explosive offensive capabilities both teams bring to this divisional duel.
Tale of the Tape: How These NFC East Powers Stack Up
When you break down the numbers, this matchup screams offensive showcase with subtle but critical differences that could decide the outcome. The Cowboys hold a slight edge in raw production, averaging 29 points and 387.5 total yards compared to Washington's 25.7 points and 345.7 yards per game.
The most glaring mismatch emerges on third down, where Dallas has been absolutely lethal at extending drives with a 43.1% conversion rate. The Commanders, meanwhile, have struggled to maintain possession in crucial situations, succeeding on just 33.3% of their third-down attempts - nearly a 10-point swing that could control the tempo of this game.
However, Washington flips the script once they reach the red zone. The Commanders have been surgical inside the 20, punching in touchdowns on an NFL-best 73.3% of their trips compared to Dallas's more modest 65.2% rate. This efficiency could prove crucial in a tight divisional battle.
Defensively, Washington's pass rush has generated more consistent pressure with 18 sacks to Dallas's 11, which could disrupt the Cowboys' rhythm. Both teams excel at protecting the football - the Commanders sport a +3 turnover differential while the Cowboys sit at +2, suggesting we shouldn't expect game-changing mistakes.
Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction: Our Fearless Forecast for Sunday's Showdown
This NFC East slugfest projects as the classic back-and-forth affair that makes divisional games must-watch television. While both offenses pack serious punch, we're identifying a crucial mismatch that should swing this game toward the home team.
Lock of the Week: Dallas Cowboys +1.5 (-110)
The deciding factor comes down to situational football, specifically third-down efficiency. The Cowboys have been exceptional at sustaining drives, converting on an impressive 43.1% of their third-down attempts compared to Washington's struggling 33.3% clip. That nearly 10-percentage-point gap means Dallas will control possession, keep Washington's explosive offense on the sideline, and dictate the game's rhythm in front of their home crowd.
In a game projected this close, superior ball control becomes the difference-maker.
Player Prop Lock: Jayden Daniels Anytime TD Scorer (+125)
Even with our Cowboys lean, we can't ignore Washington's red zone dominance. The Commanders convert an absurd 73.3% of their red zone opportunities into touchdowns, and Daniels's dual-threat ability makes him a constant scoring threat when the field shrinks. At plus-money odds, we're banking on Washington reaching pay dirt at least once with their mobile quarterback punching it in himself.
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Injury Report Analysis: Key Players to Monitor
Both teams are managing significant injury concerns heading into Sunday, with a combined 28 players appearing on the injury report. The health of several skill-position stars could dramatically impact this high-scoring affair.
Washington Commanders Injury Concerns
• WR Deebo Samuel (Heel): Did Not Participate In Practice
• DE Dorance Armstrong (Hamstring): Did Not Participate In Practice
• RB Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Calf): Did Not Participate In Practice
• WR Terry McLaurin (Quad): Limited Participation In Practice
• QB Jayden Daniels (Knee): Full Participation In Practice
The Commanders face a potential crisis at wide receiver with Samuel sidelined by a heel injury and McLaurin battling through quad discomfort. Losing both weapons would severely hamstring Washington's aerial attack. Defensively, pass rusher Armstrong's hamstring issue bears monitoring given the importance of pressuring Prescott.
Dallas Cowboys Injury Status
• WR CeeDee Lamb (Ankle): Limited Participation In Practice
• WR Jonathan Mingo (Knee): Limited Participation In Practice
• WR KaVontae Turpin (Foot): Limited Participation In Practice
• DE Marshawn Kneeland (Ankle): Limited Participation In Practice
• CB Trevon Diggs (Knee): Full Participation In Practice
The Cowboys' receiving corps is banged up, but could get the return of CeeDee Lamb, managing an ankle issue, as well as their explosive return man, KaVontae Turpin. More positive news in the secondary, where playmaking corner Trevon Diggs practiced fully, indicating he's ready to blanket Washington's receivers come Sunday.