The Chicago Bears head to Philadelphia this Friday for what promises to be one of the more intriguing NFC matchups of the week. Both teams enter at 8-3 and this matchup figures to have significant implications on the postseason picture.
Bears vs Eagles Odds, Props, and Best Bets
The Bears bring a potent offense that's averaging 26.3 points per game, led by quarterback Caleb Williams and his favorite target, DJ Moore. Williams has shown remarkable poise in his development, orchestrating an attack that converts on 42.2% of third downs - a stat that could prove crucial in keeping pace with Philadelphia's talented but too often sputtering unit.
Speaking of the Philadelphia Eagles, they've got their own weapons that make Lincoln Financial Field a tough place to visit. Jalen Hurts commands an offense featuring Saquon Barkley and A.J. Brown, a group that may score slightly fewer points per game (23.2) but excels when it matters most. Philadelphia's 77.8% red zone conversion rate is absolutely elite and represents their biggest advantage in this matchup.
With both teams protecting the football well - Chicago sits at +16 in turnover differential while the Eagles are at +7 - this shapes up as a battle where execution in key moments will determine the outcome.
Bears vs Eagles Betting Odds
This NFC clash kicks off at 3:00 PM EST on Friday, November 28, 2025, at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.
- Moneyline: Philadelphia Eagles -340 | Chicago Bears +270
- Spread: Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | Chicago Bears +7 (-105)
- Total: Over/Under 44 (Over -105 | Under -115)
Betting odds courtesy of Bet365.US.NJ
The Eagles enter as substantial home favorites at -340 on the moneyline, with oddsmakers setting the spread at a full touchdown. That -7 line suggests oddsmakers expect a comfortable Philadelphia victory, while the Bears sit as sizable underdogs at +270. The total of 44 points indicates expectations for a moderate-scoring affair, which makes sense given both teams' defensive capabilities.
Statistical Battle: Offense vs Efficiency
When you break down the numbers, this matchup presents a fascinating contrast between volume and precision. The Bears have been the more productive offensive unit on paper, racking up 369.6 total yards per game to go with those 26.3 points. Chicago's ability to sustain drives has been particularly impressive, converting on 42.2% of third-down attempts.
Philadelphia counters with something even more valuable - ruthless efficiency in scoring situations. While the Eagles generate fewer yards (303.6 per game) and points (23.2 PPG), their 77.8% red zone touchdown rate is absolutely devastating. Compare that to Chicago's 57.9% red zone efficiency, and you see where Philadelphia holds a massive edge.
The pass rush battle should be entertaining, with both teams getting after opposing quarterbacks effectively. Chicago has registered 23 sacks this season compared to Philadelphia's 22, so neither offensive line can afford to take plays off.
But perhaps the most telling stat is turnover differential. The Bears have been ball hawks all season, creating that league-best +16 margin through aggressive defensive play. The Eagles aren't far behind at +7, and both teams are coming off clean games without turnovers. This suggests we could see a chess match where one big defensive play swings momentum.
Bears vs Eagles Prediction and Best Bets
Don't let that -7 spread fool you - this game should be much closer than the betting line suggests. Philadelphia has clear advantages, particularly that red zone efficiency that could be the difference maker. When the Eagles get inside the 20, they're practically automatic at finding the end zone.
However, Chicago brings exactly the type of style that can frustrate a home favorite. The Bears control possessions with their superior third-down conversion rate, and their opportunistic defense has a knack for creating the kind of game-changing turnovers that keep contests tight. Williams has shown he can handle hostile road environments, while that +16 turnover differential suggests Chicago is due for at least one momentum-shifting takeaway.
Expect the Eagles to win at home, but don't expect them to run away with it. Philadelphia's struggles on third down (34.6%) could keep Chicago in striking distance throughout.
Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles 27, Chicago Bears 23
Best Bet: Chicago Bears +7 (-105)
The value here lies in Chicago's ball control and defensive playmaking ability. That 42.2% third-down conversion rate means the Bears will likely control the clock and limit Philadelphia's possessions. More importantly, their +16 turnover differential screams that they're going to create at least one extra possession through a big defensive play. Getting a full touchdown with an underdog this capable of keeping things close is excellent value.
Best Prop Bet: Saquon Barkley Over 101.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
Philadelphia's game plan should revolve around Barkley, especially against a Bears defense that's generated 23.0 sacks this season. The Eagles will likely lean heavily on their star running back through both carries and checkdowns to neutralize Chicago's pass rush. With individual prop lines around 78.5 rushing yards and 19.5 receiving yards, Barkley projects for heavy involvement in what should be a physical, grind-it-out contest.
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Injury Report: Key Players to Monitor
Both teams are dealing with significant injury concerns heading into Friday's matchup, with 23 total players listed across both injury reports. The status of several key contributors could dramatically impact the game's flow.
Chicago Bears Injury Concerns
The Bears' biggest worry is at linebacker, where three linebackers will all miss the game:
- T.J. Edwards (LB): Did Not Participate In Practice (Hand)
- Ruben Hyppolite II (LB): Did Not Participate In Practice (Shoulder)
- Noah Sewell (LB): Did Not Participate In Practice (Elbow)
Edwards is the anchor of Chicago's linebacker corps, and his absence creates a significant vulnerability in run defense.
Philadelphia Eagles Injury Concerns
The Eagles are managing issues on both sides of the ball, particularly along the offensive line:
- Xavier Gipson (WR): Did Not Participate In Practice (Shoulder)
- Lane Johnson (T): Did Not Participate In Practice (Foot)
While stars like Saquon Barkley (Groin) and DeVonta Smith (Shoulder) were full participants, Lane Johnson remains out. Against a Bears defense with 23 sacks, Philadelphia's typically consistent pass protection will face a stiff test this afternoon.