The Chicago Bears and Washington Commanders are set to deliver fireworks under the Monday Night Football lights in a Week 6 showdown that carries serious emotional weight. This isn't just another regular season matchup - it's a revenge game for Chicago after last year's crushing 18-15 loss on a dramatic Hail Mary pass. Both teams enter with potent offenses averaging over 25 points per game, but the psychological element of this primetime rematch adds an extra layer of intensity.
The Bears bring a dynamic offense led by second-year signal caller Caleb Williams, while the Commanders counter with their explosive quarterback, Jayden Daniels. Chicago has shown remarkable efficiency in clutch situations, converting 45.5% of their third downs, which could be the key to controlling this high-scoring affair. With playoff implications already starting to matter in October, this national showcase gives both teams a chance to make a statement in the competitive NFC landscape.
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Bears vs. Commanders Betting Odds
Date: Monday, October 13, 2025
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Northwest Stadium — Landover, MD
Weather: Partly cloudy with 13 mph winds from the NNE
This Week 6 conference clash puts Washington in the driver's seat as home favorites, with the betting market expecting a competitive shootout between two explosive offenses.
• Moneyline: Commanders (-250) | Bears (+200)
• Spread: Commanders -5.5 (-110) | Bears +5.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 50 (Over -110 | Under -120)
Betting odds courtesy of MGM
The Commanders opened as 4.5-point favorites, but the line has moved to (-5.5), suggesting early money is backing the home team. The 50-point total reflects the offensive firepower both squads have displayed this season, setting up what should be a high-scoring Monday night thriller.
Statistical Showdown: Offense vs. Defense Battle Lines
When you break down the numbers, this matchup reveals a fascinating clash of contrasting strengths. Washington holds the edge in total production, averaging 349 yards and 26 points per game compared to Chicago's 328 yards and 25.2 points per contest. The Commanders have built their success around a ferocious pass rush that's already collected 15 sacks this season.
Here's where it gets interesting: the Bears have mastered situational football in ways that could neutralize Washington's advantages. Chicago converts a league-leading 45.5% of their third-down attempts, while the Commanders struggle at just 32.7%. That efficiency could be crucial for keeping Washington's offense on the sideline during extended Bears drives.
The turnover battle heavily favors Chicago, as they've created 9 takeaways (including 7 interceptions) compared to Washington's modest 3. This opportunistic defense gives the Bears multiple paths to stay competitive, even if they're outgained statistically. The key matchup will pit Washington's 15-sack pass rush against Chicago's ability to execute quick-hitting plays and sustained drives.
Bears vs. Commanders Prediction: Chicago Covers in Revenge Game
While Washington's balanced attack and home-field advantage make them rightful favorites, the 5.5-point spread feels too generous for a team facing Chicago's specific strengths. The Bears have the exact formula needed to keep this game close: elite third-down efficiency and a defense that creates game-changing turnovers.
Fearless Forecast: Bears +5.5 (-110)
Chicago's 45.5% third-down conversion rate is a game-changer that will allow them to control the clock and limit possessions for Washington's potent offense. Combined with their 9 turnovers created this season, the Bears have multiple ways to swing momentum in their favor. Even if the Commanders win outright, Chicago's situational excellence should keep them within the number.
Lock of the Week: D'Andre Swift Over 2.5 Receptions (-149)
With Washington's pass rush generating 15 sacks, expect the Bears to counter with quick checkdowns to running back D'Andre Swift. Young quarterbacks like Caleb Williams typically lean heavily on their safety valve against fierce pressure, making Swift's receiving line of just 2.5 receptions very achievable in what figures to be a high-pressure environment.
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Injury Report: Washington's Receiving Corps in Serious Doubt
Injuries could dramatically shift the complexion of this Monday night showdown, with Washington facing major question marks about their top offensive playmakers while Chicago appears relatively healthy.
Washington Commanders
The Commanders are sweating bullets over their receiving corps, with multiple key targets missing practice time:
• WR Terry McLaurin (Quad): Did Not Participate In Practice
• WR Deebo Samuel (Heel): Did Not Participate In Practice
• WR Noah Brown (Groin): Did Not Participate In Practice
• RB Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Calf): Did Not Participate In Practice
With McLaurin and Brown already ruled out, losing Samuel would be catastrophic for Washington's offensive identity. With their top three receivers all missing practice, quarterback Jayden Daniels could be forced to develop instant chemistry with backup targets in a primetime environment.
Chicago Bears
The Bears enter Monday night in much better shape health-wise, with most key contributors appearing ready to go:
• DL Grady Jarrett (Knee): Did Not Participate In Practice
• LB T.J. Edwards (Hamstring): Full Participation In Practice
• TE Colston Loveland (Hip): Full Participation In Practice
• RB Kyle Monangai (Thigh): Full Participation In Practice
Chicago's primary concern is defensive lineman Grady Jarrett, whose absence could weaken their pass rush. However, key players like linebacker T.J. Edwards participating fully suggests the Bears will be close to full strength for their revenge game opportunity.